29 Sep 2026 at 04:15:07 hyperliquid

Long Trade on LINK (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 10.76 LINK at 15.193$ per unit. Take profit: 15.5728 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 14.4497 (4.89 %)

LINK LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 04:15 → 06:05 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 15.193$

Qty 10.7633 LINK

Size 163.5261$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 15.5728 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.09$

SL 14.4497 (-4.89%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.51

Status win PnL +2.50% / +4.09$ MAE -0.72% MFE +2.76% 0.6R expires 29 Sep 10:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 164226)
#8 / 86 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 04:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8958

Quality Score
0.675
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
93.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 04:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#8 / 86 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.89 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#8 / 86 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.89 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.13×ATR
4h clear —
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

29/09 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

29/09 03:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4345
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range transition 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 88.9%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : broad_risk_on
Leadership : alts
% Positive (universe)
15m 59.4%
1h 79.7%
4h 97.1%
24h 62.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 29.0% +0.02%
4h 91.3% +2.75%
24h 50.7% +1.42%
Dispersion : 0.225
Universe : 69 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 29/09 04:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8750
Score SMA
0.6805
Rank
#2 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9886
Rank Norm SMA
0.5931
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9612 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 10.15% · r3d: 10.84% · ema21_slope: 1.1780% · dist_ema21: 20.549%
Force Relative 25% 0.9637 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 11.32% · rs_3d: 11.57% · beta_24h: 1.140
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 4.20× · zscore_50: 4.700 · trend: 146.48%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8495 ADX: 41.9 (trend) · Chop: 26.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.1824 ATR%: 5.453% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.6752
Score SMA
0.5916
Rank
#8 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8958
Rank Norm SMA
0.6038
Calculé le
29/09/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8282 r1h: 1.488% · r4h: 2.432% · r1d: 11.26% · r3d: 7.90% · ema21_slope: 0.2449% · dist_ema21: 2.172%
Force Relative 25% 0.7836 rs_1h: 1.523% · rs_4h: 1.343% · rs_1d: 10.04% · rs_3d: 8.06% · beta_24h: 3.697
Volume 20% 0.2907 rvol_20: 0.64× · zscore_50: 0.180 · trend: -8.14%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6050 ADX: 27.0 (trend) · Chop: 53.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.071% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.7393
Score SMA
0.6562
Rank
#6 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9592
Rank Norm SMA
0.6574
Calculé le
29/09/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8172 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.432% · r1d: 11.26% · r3d: 7.90% · ema21_slope: 0.3483% · dist_ema21: 6.323%
Force Relative 25% 0.8423 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.343% · rs_1d: 10.04% · rs_3d: 8.06% · beta_24h: 2.404
Volume 20% 0.5282 rvol_20: 1.13× · zscore_50: 0.407 · trend: 99.74%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8210 ADX: 38.5 (trend) · Chop: 32.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.9086 ATR%: 3.274% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.892% (0.7433)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.027% 0.2R -0.717% 0.2R 1.4× 12
2h +2.758% 0.6R -0.717% 0.2R 3.8× 24

computed 19 minutes ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.83
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bearish_transition moderate balanced expansion bull_high_confirmed
66%
noisy_chop 47% late — — 0.83 bull_high +12.96% +0.90 27/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 43% mid — — 0.61 bull_high +2.28% +0.71 29/09 00:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate explosive expansion_after_compression bull_high
65%
noisy_chop 39% early — near 0.1ATR 0.61 range_medium +0.12% +0.58 29/09 03:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced compression bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 40% late — — 0.65 range_low +0.54% +0.01 29/09 03:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
166852
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
66%
late 12b 3.0ATR noisy_chop 47% 0.543

—

—

4.20 above_value +4.11 ATR inside #92609 27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:19
4h
170569
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
59%
mid 1b 1.7ATR noisy_chop 43% 0.635

—

—

1.13 value +3.56 ATR — #94210 29/09 00:00
upd 29/09 04:14
1h anchor
170568
↑ up bull_high
65%
early 3b 1.1ATR noisy_chop 39% 0.786

—

near 0.1ATR

0.64 value +3.56 ATR — #94210 29/09 03:00
upd 29/09 04:14
15m
170472
↔ neutral bull_high
60%
late 15b 1.5ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.635

—

—

0.27 value +2.88 ATR — #94035 29/09 03:45
upd 29/09 04:01
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 12b — 5.738×ATR p77 +3.006×ATR p97
4h ↓ down mid 1b — 1.143×ATR p0 +1.739×ATR p71
1h ↑ up early 3b — 1.854×ATR p17 +1.073×ATR p46
15m ↑ up late 15b — 4.069×ATR p81 +1.494×ATR p71

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 14.44973008
  2. tp_price: 15.572825
  3. atr: 0.29730797
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-29T14:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 6
  2. total: 87
  3. score: 0.8088
  4. delta_2h: 0.1859
  5. extension_atr: 0.89
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8973
  9. confidence: 0.992

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 04:15 15.19300000 0%
2 05:15 15.29400000 +0.665%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
15.193 14.4497 15.5728 0.51 15.349
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 15.193
  • Stop Loss: 14.4497
  • Take Profit: 15.5728

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 14.4497 - 15.193 = -0.7433

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 15.193 - 15.5728 = -0.3798

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3798 / -0.7433 = 0.511

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
163.5261 100 10.7633 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.7433

Taille de position = 8 / -0.7433 = -10.76

Taille de position USD = -10.76 x 15.193 = -163.48

Donc, tu peux acheter -10.76 avec un stoploss a 14.4497

Avec un position size USD de -163.48$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -10.76 x -0.7433 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -10.76 x -0.3798 = 4.09

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.09$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -10.76
  • Taille de position USD -163.48
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.09
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.511

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 4.09 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.89 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
4.09 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.7174 % 14.66 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
15.193 14.4497 15.5728 0.51 15.349
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 15.193
  • Stop Loss: 14.4497
  • Take Profit: 15.5728

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 14.4497 - 15.193 = -0.7433

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 15.193 - 15.5728 = -0.3798

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3798 / -0.7433 = 0.511

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.892% (0.7433)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.027% 0.2R -0.717% 0.2R 1.4× 12
2h +2.758% 0.6R -0.717% 0.2R 3.8× 24

computed 19 minutes ago

Commentaires

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