Long Trade on SKY (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 2792.55 SKY at 0.083$ per unit. Take profit: 0.09013 (8.63 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0801 (3.46 %)
29 Sep 2026 at 06:14:29
hyperliquid
SKY
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Sep 2026 06:14
(open)
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.08297$
Qty 2792.5453 SKY
Size 231.6947$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.09013 (+8.63%)
TP $ 19.99$
SL 0.0801 (-3.46%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2.49
Status
open
PnL
+2.05%
expires
29 Sep 18:14
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 164535)
#44 / 85
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 06:00
score du 29/09/2026 06:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5230
Quality Score
0.517
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 06:02
29/09 06:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#44 / 85
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.46 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#44 / 85
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.46 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.91×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.05×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.61×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 29/09 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 29/09 05:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4353
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | transition | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
84.9%
Impulse :
+0.00
Participation :
broad_risk_on
Leadership :
alts
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 53.0% |
| 1h | 75.8% |
| 4h | 89.4% |
| 24h | 77.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 53.0% | +0.02% |
| 4h | 77.3% | +2.17% |
| 24h | 63.6% | +2.44% |
Dispersion :
0.273
Universe :
66
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
29/09 06:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6797
Score SMA
0.6133
Rank
#26
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7159
Rank Norm SMA
0.5713
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7265 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.48% · r3d: 2.74% · ema21_slope: 1.0833% · dist_ema21: 11.330% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6177 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.32% · rs_3d: 3.46% · beta_24h: 1.108 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 5.71× · zscore_50: 5.648 · trend: 288.22% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7157 | ADX: 25.9 (trend) · Chop: 29.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.420% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/09/2026 06:00
Score brut
0.5165
Score SMA
0.5964
Rank
#44
/ 85
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5230
Rank Norm SMA
0.6562
Calculé le
29/09/2026 06:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7304 | r1h: 1.752% · r4h: 5.183% · r1d: 2.88% · r3d: 4.48% · ema21_slope: 0.0176% · dist_ema21: 3.835% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6886 | rs_1h: 1.296% · rs_4h: 4.204% · rs_1d: 0.96% · rs_3d: 4.20% · beta_24h: 2.808 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1613 | rvol_20: 0.23× · zscore_50: -0.695 · trend: -44.25% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5098 | ADX: 15.6 (weak) · Chop: 53.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.219% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/09/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.6807
Score SMA
0.6449
Rank
#11
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8032
Rank Norm SMA
0.7260
Calculé le
29/09/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8275 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 4.843% · r1d: 3.58% · r3d: 2.44% · ema21_slope: 0.2758% · dist_ema21: 4.344% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7545 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 3.755% · rs_1d: 2.36% · rs_3d: 2.61% · beta_24h: 1.530 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3965 | rvol_20: 0.88× · zscore_50: 0.403 · trend: 32.22% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7063 | ADX: 26.2 (trend) · Chop: 39.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5854 | ATR%: 4.244% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 0
ML Pullback Score:
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.57 | bull_high | +12.96% | +0.74 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.40 | bull_high | +2.28% | +0.55 | 29/09 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.37 | range_medium | +0.44% | +0.16 | 29/09 05:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.41 | bull_low_confirmed | +0.78% | +0.47 | 29/09 05:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
167083 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
mid 12b 1.2ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.659 |
— — |
5.71 | above_value | +0.67 ATR | — | #92665 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:30
|
|
4h
170725 |
↑ up | bull_high |
56%
|
early 7b 0.9ATR | noisy_chop 37% | 0.829 |
— — |
0.88 | above_value | +1.72 ATR | — | #94264 |
29/09 00:00
upd 29/09 04:21
|
|
1h
anchor
171522 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
57%
|
mid 13b 1.9ATR | noisy_chop 41% | 0.521 |
— — |
0.23 | above_value | +1.68 ATR | — | #94697 |
29/09 05:00
upd 29/09 06:13
|
|
15m
171438 |
↑ up | bull_high |
53%
|
late 1b 2.2ATR | noisy_chop 51% | 0.342 |
— near -0.9ATR |
0.33 | value | +1.83 ATR | — | #94525 |
29/09 05:45
upd 29/09 06:04
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 3.964×ATR | p53 | +1.236×ATR | p71 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 1.579×ATR | p0 | +0.866×ATR | p50 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 13b | — | 3.115×ATR | p63 | +1.903×ATR | p77 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 1b | — | 2.365×ATR | p31 | +2.186×ATR | p89 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.9444
- reason: up_bo width=2.32×ATR dur=39b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)
- stop_price: 0.08010423
- tp_price: 0.09013092
- atr:
- score: 0.87439681024326
- expires_at: 2026-09-29T22:14:21.850604
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.87439681024326
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.2322
- obi_top10 : 0.0748
- micro_price : 0.08334468
- spread_pct : 0.072003
- mid_price : 0.08336
- bid_wall_price : 0.082
- bid_wall_size : 353669
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.0846
- ask_wall_size : 207952
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.2065
- obi_top5_std : 0.1162
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6997
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.082309
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.07825
- balance_zone_mid:
0.0802795
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790539200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790676000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.3159
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
39
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8744
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790672400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.082309
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.641
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.3766
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
8
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
10
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.0017527 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
39
inside_close_ratio
0.641
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3766
Signaux confirmants (14)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:14 | 0.08296900 | -0.001% |
| 2 | 06:25 | 0.08296900 | -0.001% |
| 3 | 06:35 | 0.08296900 | -0.001% |
| 4 | 06:45 | 0.08255200 | -0.504% |
| 5 | 06:55 | 0.08255200 | -0.504% |
| 6 | 07:06 | 0.08255200 | -0.504% |
| 7 | 07:16 | 0.08368100 | +0.857% |
| 8 | 07:26 | 0.08368100 | +0.857% |
| 9 | 07:36 | 0.08368100 | +0.857% |
| 10 | 07:46 | 0.08312700 | +0.189% |
| 11 | 07:55 | 0.08312700 | +0.189% |
| 12 | 08:06 | 0.08312700 | +0.189% |
| 13 | 08:19 | 0.08389200 | +1.111% |
| 14 | 08:29 | 0.08389200 | +1.111% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6997ms
Confidence avant OB :
87%
→
94%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.232
avg 0.207
± 0.116
OBI Top 10
0.075
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0834
Micro Price
0.0833
Spread
0.0720%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0820
Size
353,669.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0846
Size
207,952.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08297 | 0.0801 | 0.09013 | 2.49 | 0.08467 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.08297
- Stop Loss: 0.0801
- Take Profit: 0.09013
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0801 - 0.08297 = -0.00287
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08297 - 0.09013 = -0.00716
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00716 / -0.00287 = 2.4948
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 231.6947 | 100 | 2792.5453 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00287
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00287 = -2787.46
Taille de position USD = -2787.46 x 0.08297 = -231.28
Donc, tu peux acheter -2787.46 avec un stoploss a 0.0801
Avec un position size USD de -231.28$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2787.46 x -0.00287 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2787.46 x -0.00716 = 19.96
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.96$
Résumé
- Taille de position -2787.46
- Taille de position USD -231.28
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.96
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4948
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.63 % | 19.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.46 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0 $ | 2.05 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08297 | 0.0801 | 0.09013 | 2.49 | 0.08467 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.08297
- Stop Loss: 0.0801
- Take Profit: 0.09013
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0801 - 0.08297 = -0.00287
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08297 - 0.09013 = -0.00716
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00716 / -0.00287 = 2.4948
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.