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Long Trade on PUMP

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29 Sep 2026 at 06:15:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 17994.11 PUMP at 0.00503$ per unit. Take profit: 0.005158 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.004587 (8.84 %)

PUMP LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 06:15 → 07:15 · 59 minutes

Position

Entry 0.005032$

Qty 17994.1069 PUMP

Size 90.5463$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.005158 (+2.5%)

TP $ 2.27$

SL 0.004587 (-8.84%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.28

Status win PnL +2.50% / +2.27$ expires 29 Sep 12:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 164533)
#10 / 85 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 06:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6099

Quality Score
0.630
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
251.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 06:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#10 / 85 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.84 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#10 / 85 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.84 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.61×ATR
4h near 0.31×ATR
1d clear 0.59×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

29/09 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

29/09 05:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4353
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range transition 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 84.9%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : broad_risk_on
Leadership : alts
% Positive (universe)
15m 53.0%
1h 75.8%
4h 89.4%
24h 77.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 53.0% +0.02%
4h 77.3% +2.17%
24h 63.6% +2.44%
Dispersion : 0.273
Universe : 66 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 29/09 06:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6884
Score SMA
0.5155
Rank
#19 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7955
Rank Norm SMA
0.2623
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7531 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.45% · r3d: 17.48% · ema21_slope: 0.8425% · dist_ema21: 16.156%
Force Relative 25% 0.6463 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.29% · rs_3d: 18.20% · beta_24h: 1.135
Volume 20% 0.9455 rvol_20: 3.45× · zscore_50: 2.712 · trend: 73.56%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7455 ADX: 32.6 (trend) · Chop: 41.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 10.266% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 06:00
Score brut
0.6298
Score SMA
0.5758
Rank
#10 / 85
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6099
Rank Norm SMA
0.4998
Calculé le
29/09/2026 06:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6649 r1h: -0.416% · r4h: 1.968% · r1d: 5.46% · r3d: 12.64% · ema21_slope: -0.1681% · dist_ema21: 1.187%
Force Relative 25% 0.6315 rs_1h: -0.873% · rs_4h: 0.990% · rs_1d: 3.54% · rs_3d: 12.36% · beta_24h: 4.242
Volume 20% 0.3756 rvol_20: 1.07× · zscore_50: 0.388 · trend: -6.22%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4721 ADX: 17.6 (weak) · Chop: 59.7 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.7490 ATR%: 3.753% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.6628
Score SMA
0.5686
Rank
#16 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7508
Rank Norm SMA
0.4069
Calculé le
29/09/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8626 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 4.412% · r1d: 3.15% · r3d: 9.64% · ema21_slope: 0.9037% · dist_ema21: 5.692%
Force Relative 25% 0.7461 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 3.323% · rs_1d: 1.92% · rs_3d: 9.80% · beta_24h: 2.375
Volume 20% 0.5033 rvol_20: 1.08× · zscore_50: 0.713 · trend: 72.71%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7500 ADX: 30.0 (trend) · Chop: 35.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0433 ATR%: 5.870% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -8.843% (0.0004)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.742% 0.3R -1.212% 0.1R 2.3× 12

computed 18 minutes ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score:
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion bull_high_confirmed
65%
noisy_chop 40% mid — — 0.51 bull_high +12.96% +0.61 27/09 20:00
4h ↑ up range bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 42% early — near 0.3ATR 0.28 bull_high +2.28% +0.95 29/09 00:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind normal bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 35% early — — 0.36 range_medium +0.44% -0.52 29/09 05:00
15m ↑ up range range weak grind volatile_reversal bull_high
50%
noisy_chop 36% early — near 0.2ATR 0.50 bull_low_confirmed +0.78% +0.21 29/09 05:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
167076 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
65%
mid 12b 1.4ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.674

—

—

3.45 value +2.09 ATR — #92663 27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:29
4h
170719 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
57%
early 3b 0.8ATR noisy_chop 42% 0.700

—

near 0.3ATR

1.08 above_value -0.90 ATR — #94262 29/09 00:00
upd 29/09 04:21
1h anchor
171520 		↔ neutral bull_high
54%
early 7b 0.3ATR noisy_chop 35% 0.666

—

—

1.07 above_value +0.50 ATR — #94695 29/09 05:00
upd 29/09 06:13
15m
171436 		↑ up bull_high
50%
early 13b 0.4ATR noisy_chop 36% 0.541

—

near 0.2ATR

4.10 above_value -0.04 ATR — #94523 29/09 05:45
upd 29/09 06:04
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 12b — 3.05×ATR p30 +1.436×ATR p78
4h ↓ down early 3b — 1.881×ATR p0 +0.809×ATR p50
1h ↑ up early 7b — 1.834×ATR p25 +0.339×ATR p20
15m ↑ up early 13b — 2.377×ATR p42 +0.366×ATR p17

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00458741
  2. tp_price: 0.0051578
  3. atr: 0.00017784
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-29T16:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 5
  2. total: 87
  3. score: 0.8015
  4. delta_2h: 0.0562
  5. extension_atr: 0.33
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.6278
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.005032 0.004587 0.005158 0.28 0.005686
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.005032
  • Stop Loss: 0.004587
  • Take Profit: 0.005158

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.004587 - 0.005032 = -0.000445

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.005032 - 0.005158 = -0.000126

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000126 / -0.000445 = 0.2831

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
90.5463 90.5463 17994.1069 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.000445

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000445 = -17977.53

Taille de position USD = -17977.53 x 0.005032 = -90.46

Donc, tu peux acheter -17977.53 avec un stoploss a 0.004587

Avec un position size USD de -90.46$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -17977.53 x -0.000445 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -17977.53 x -0.000126 = 2.27

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.27$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -17977.53
  • Taille de position USD -90.46
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.27
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2831

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 2.27 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
8.84 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
2.27 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.2122 % 13.71 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.005032 0.004587 0.005158 0.28 0.005686
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.005032
  • Stop Loss: 0.004587
  • Take Profit: 0.005158

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.004587 - 0.005032 = -0.000445

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.005032 - 0.005158 = -0.000126

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000126 / -0.000445 = 0.2831

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -8.843% (0.0004)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.742% 0.3R -1.212% 0.1R 2.3× 12

computed 18 minutes ago

Commentaires

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