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Short Trade on NIL

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29 Sep 2026 at 06:45:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NIL (momentum_pullback_v1)

With 3931.2 NIL at 0.0813$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07934 (2.36 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08329 (2.5 %)

NIL SHORT momentum_pullback_v1 hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 06:45 → 07:20 · 34 minutes

Position

Entry 0.08126$

Qty 3931.2039 NIL

Size 319.4339$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.07934 (+2.36%)

TP $ 7.55$

SL 0.08329 (-2.5%)

SL $ 7.98$

RR 0.95

Status loss PnL -2.50% / -7.98$ expires 29 Sep 18:45

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 164531)
#60 / 85 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 06:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0401

Quality Score
0.508
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 06:31

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#60 / 85 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.50 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#60 / 85 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.50 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 2.49×ATR
4h near -1.46×ATR
1d clear 2.80×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

29/09 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/09 05:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4355
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 -2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range transition 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 84.9%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : broad_risk_on
Leadership : alts
% Positive (universe)
15m 25.8%
1h 56.1%
4h 83.3%
24h 77.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 34.9% -0.12%
4h 81.8% +1.24%
24h 53.0% +1.63%
Dispersion : 0.167
Universe : 66 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 29/09 06:31 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5750
Score SMA
0.6900
Rank
#49 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4545
Rank Norm SMA
0.7101
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7143 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -11.25% · r3d: -24.58% · ema21_slope: 6.8745% · dist_ema21: 17.106%
Force Relative 25% 0.5000 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -10.09% · rs_3d: -23.85% · beta_24h: 0.671
Volume 20% 0.5018 rvol_20: 0.96× · zscore_50: 0.420 · trend: 129.64%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9021 ADX: 48.2 (trend) · Chop: 4.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 17.707% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 06:00
Score brut
0.5081
Score SMA
0.4943
Rank
#60 / 85
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0401
Rank Norm SMA
0.3298
Calculé le
29/09/2026 06:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2916 r1h: 0.501% · r4h: 1.593% · r1d: -5.01% · r3d: -23.38% · ema21_slope: -0.3727% · dist_ema21: -2.952%
Force Relative 25% 0.3030 rs_1h: 0.044% · rs_4h: 0.614% · rs_1d: -6.93% · rs_3d: -23.66% · beta_24h: 2.066
Volume 20% 0.6790 rvol_20: 2.82× · zscore_50: 0.796 · trend: -9.54%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7271 ADX: 41.6 (trend) · Chop: 53.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.880% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.3120
Score SMA
0.5594
Rank
#86 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.4701
Calculé le
29/09/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3231 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.053% · r1d: -4.76% · r3d: -24.75% · ema21_slope: -0.9672% · dist_ema21: -12.806%
Force Relative 25% 0.3826 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.036% · rs_1d: -5.98% · rs_3d: -24.58% · beta_24h: 7.049
Volume 20% 0.1478 rvol_20: 0.36× · zscore_50: -0.783 · trend: -64.48%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5992 ADX: 25.7 (trend) · Chop: 52.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.818% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.498% (0.0020)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.245% 0.1R -4.940% 2.0R 0.1× 12

computed 18 minutes ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score:
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 46% early — — 0.31 bull_high +12.96% +1.00 27/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range strong grind compression bull_high
50%
noisy_chop 48% late near -1.5ATR — 0.12 bull_high +2.28% -1.00 29/09 00:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 38% mid — — 0.09 range_medium +0.44% -0.44 29/09 05:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 38% early — — 0.36 range_low +0.63% +0.03 29/09 06:15
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
167062 		↑ up bull_high
64%
early 4b 0.7ATR noisy_chop 46% 0.824

—

—

0.96 below_value -9.44 ATR — #92660 27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:29
4h
170710 		↔ neutral bull_high
50%
late 22b -1.7ATR noisy_chop 48% 0.621

near -1.5ATR

—

0.36 below_value -12.52 ATR — #94259 29/09 00:00
upd 29/09 04:20
1h anchor
171517 		↓ down bear_high
51%
mid 13b -1.2ATR noisy_chop 38% 0.513

—

—

2.82 below_value -14.62 ATR — #94692 29/09 05:00
upd 29/09 06:13
15m
171689 		↓ down bear_high
57%
early 7b -0.1ATR noisy_chop 38% 0.672

—

—

1.72 below_value -14.62 ATR — #94692 29/09 06:15
upd 29/09 06:33
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 4b — 3.947×ATR p42 +0.673×ATR p49
4h ↓ down late 22b — 7.067×ATR p85 -1.748×ATR p75
1h ↓ down mid 13b — 2.924×ATR p62 -1.194×ATR p46
15m ↑ up early 7b — 1.413×ATR p8 -0.115×ATR p7

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_pullback_v1 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.083291
  2. tp_price: 0.07934127
  3. atr: 0.00076589
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-29T22:45:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 87
  2. total: 87
  3. score: 0.2916
  4. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0401
  5. rank_velocity: -0.0401
  6. pullback_depth_atr: 4.3
  7. trigger_price: 0.081377
  8. fip_24h: 0
  9. confidence: 1
  10. market_structures
  11. market_structures
  12. 15m_version: 1.1
  13. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-28 18:30:00
                    [1] => 0.086384
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-28 20:30:00
                    [1] => 0.089427
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-28 22:00:00
                    [1] => 0.085919
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-28 23:30:00
                    [1] => 0.088743
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-29 04:00:00
                    [1] => 0.08
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-29 04:15:00
                    [1] => 0.082306
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-29 05:30:00
                    [1] => 0.080729
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-29 06:15:00
                    [1] => 0.083291
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-29 08:30:00
                    [1] => 0.081377
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-29 10:30:00
                    [1] => 0.080797
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.4432411665126
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.56809039939602
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 17
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.71784843496666
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  14. market_structures
  15. 1H_version: 1.1
  16. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-24 21:00:00
                    [1] => 0.11632
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-25 06:00:00
                    [1] => 0.10256
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-25 12:00:00
                    [1] => 0.14015
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-26 23:00:00
                    [1] => 0.10735
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-27 05:00:00
                    [1] => 0.094705
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-27 09:00:00
                    [1] => 0.11422
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-27 14:00:00
                    [1] => 0.10009
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-28 15:00:00
                    [1] => 0.082
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-28 20:00:00
                    [1] => 0.089427
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-29 04:00:00
                    [1] => 0.08
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -8.3274626231451
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.475
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 14
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 11.78375
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    17. ¸

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 06:45 0.08125600 -0.005%
2 07:15 0.08136800 +0.133%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.44%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.57%
Bars Since Swing High
17 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.72%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0061
7.37%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0007
0.83%
DateTime Price Type
2026-09-28 18:30:00 0.086384 ↓ Low
2026-09-28 20:30:00 0.089427 ↑ High
2026-09-28 22:00:00 0.085919 ↓ Low
2026-09-28 23:30:00 0.088743 ↑ High
2026-09-29 04:00:00 0.08 ↓ Low
2026-09-29 04:15:00 0.082306 ↑ High
2026-09-29 05:30:00 0.080729 ↓ Low
2026-09-29 06:15:00 0.083291 ↑ High
2026-09-29 08:30:00 0.081377 ↓ Low
2026-09-29 10:30:00 0.080797 ↓ Low
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-8.33%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.47%
Bars Since Swing High
14 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
11.78%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0569
68.27%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0007
0.83%
DateTime Price Type
2026-09-24 21:00:00 0.11632 ↑ High
2026-09-25 06:00:00 0.10256 ↓ Low
2026-09-25 12:00:00 0.14015 ↑ High
2026-09-26 23:00:00 0.10735 ↑ High
2026-09-27 05:00:00 0.094705 ↓ Low
2026-09-27 09:00:00 0.11422 ↑ High
2026-09-27 14:00:00 0.10009 ↓ Low
2026-09-28 15:00:00 0.082 ↓ Low
2026-09-28 20:00:00 0.089427 ↑ High
2026-09-29 04:00:00 0.08 ↓ Low

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.08126 0.08329 0.07934 0.95 0.08408
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.08126
  • Stop Loss: 0.08329
  • Take Profit: 0.07934

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.08329 - 0.08126 = 0.00203

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.08126 - 0.07934 = 0.00192

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00192 / 0.00203 = 0.9458

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
319.4339 100 3931.2039 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00203

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00203 = 3940.89

Taille de position USD = 3940.89 x 0.08126 = 320.24

Donc, tu peux acheter 3940.89 avec un stoploss a 0.08329

Avec un position size USD de 320.24$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 3940.89 x 0.00203 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 3940.89 x 0.00192 = 7.57

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.57$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 3940.89
  • Taille de position USD 320.24
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 7.57
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.9458

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.36 % 7.55 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.5 % 7.98 $
PNL PNL %
-7.98 $ -2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.8235 % 153.05 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.08126 0.08329 0.07934 0.95 0.08408
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.08126
  • Stop Loss: 0.08329
  • Take Profit: 0.07934

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.08329 - 0.08126 = 0.00203

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.08126 - 0.07934 = 0.00192

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00192 / 0.00203 = 0.9458

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.07934
            [entry_price] => 0.08126
            [stop_loss] => 0.083493
            [rr_ratio] => 0.86
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-29 11:20:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.07934
            [entry_price] => 0.08126
            [stop_loss] => 0.083696
            [rr_ratio] => 0.79
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-29 11:20:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.07934
            [entry_price] => 0.08126
            [stop_loss] => 0.083899
            [rr_ratio] => 0.73
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-29 11:20:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.07934
            [entry_price] => 0.08126
            [stop_loss] => 0.084305
            [rr_ratio] => 0.63
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-29 11:20:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.498% (0.0020)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.245% 0.1R -4.940% 2.0R 0.1× 12

computed 18 minutes ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.