Short Trade on ZEC (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 0.12 ZEC at 1421.6$ per unit. Take profit: 1386.06 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1487.2627 (4.62 %)
Short Trade on ZEC (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 0.12 ZEC at 1421.6$ per unit. Take profit: 1386.06 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1487.2627 (4.62 %)
Position
Entry 1421.6$
Qty 0.1218 ZEC
Size 173.2003$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 1386.06 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.33$
SL 1487.2627 (-4.62%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.54
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1842
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.00×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 4.40×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 7.64×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 29/09 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/09 06:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | -2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | transition | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
| 15m | 53.0% |
| 1h | 18.2% |
| 4h | 71.2% |
| 24h | 74.2% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 48.5% | +0.01% |
| 4h | 68.2% | +0.67% |
| 24h | 50.0% | +1.27% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6887 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -6.60% · r3d: -4.67% · ema21_slope: 2.3279% · dist_ema21: 7.286% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5521 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -5.44% · rs_3d: -3.95% · beta_24h: 1.343 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4283 | rvol_20: 1.04× · zscore_50: 0.732 · trend: 20.26% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9796 | ADX: 59.4 (trend) · Chop: 40.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.053% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3039 | r1h: -0.295% · r4h: 0.667% · r1d: -8.74% · r3d: -7.51% · ema21_slope: -0.4422% · dist_ema21: -1.905% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3263 | rs_1h: -0.025% · rs_4h: 0.642% · rs_1d: -10.00% · rs_3d: -7.32% · beta_24h: 3.139 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1567 | rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -0.839 · trend: -40.51% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8156 | ADX: 42.4 (trend) · Chop: 42.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.957% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4591 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 3.397% · r1d: -7.61% · r3d: -7.19% · ema21_slope: -0.2306% · dist_ema21: -6.774% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3523 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.308% · rs_1d: -8.83% · rs_3d: -7.02% · beta_24h: 3.582 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4745 | rvol_20: 1.40× · zscore_50: 0.262 · trend: 34.71% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6763 | ADX: 21.2 (weak) · Chop: 30.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6421 | ATR%: 4.074% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.56 | bull_high | +12.96% | +0.93 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | range_high |
32%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.53 | bull_high | +2.28% | -0.70 | 29/09 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.32 | range_medium | +0.16% | -0.72 | 29/09 06:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.64 | range_low | +0.47% | +0.16 | 29/09 06:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
167103 |
↑ up | bull_high |
58%
|
late 61b 0.7ATR | noisy_chop 38% | 0.610 |
— — |
1.04 | below_value | -2.64 ATR | — | #92671 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:31
|
|
4h
170740 |
↔ neutral | range_high |
32%
|
late 14b -1.9ATR | noisy_chop 43% | 0.643 |
— — |
1.40 | below_value | -4.44 ATR | — | #94269 |
29/09 00:00
upd 29/09 04:22
|
|
1h
anchor
171946 |
↓ down | bear_high |
57%
|
early 6b -1.0ATR | noisy_chop 45% | 0.418 |
— — |
0.22 | below_value | -4.79 ATR | inside | #94874 |
29/09 06:00
upd 29/09 07:12
|
|
15m
171861 |
↓ down | bear_high |
62%
|
early 8b 0.6ATR | noisy_chop 42% | 0.372 |
— near -0.4ATR |
0.36 | below_value | -4.69 ATR | — | #94702 |
29/09 06:45
upd 29/09 07:04
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 61b | — | 7.686×ATR | p93 | +0.652×ATR | p29 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 4.662×ATR | p85 | -1.867×ATR | p76 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 2.249×ATR | p36 | -0.953×ATR | p42 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 1.516×ATR | p0 | +0.613×ATR | p25 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1421.6 | 1487.2627 | 1386.06 | 0.54 | 1440.5 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1487.2627 - 1421.6 = 65.6627
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1421.6 - 1386.06 = 35.54
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 35.54 / 65.6627 = 0.5413
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 173.2003 | 100 | 0.1218 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 65.6627 = 0.12
Taille de position USD = 0.12 x 1421.6 = 170.59
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.12 avec un stoploss a 1487.2627
Avec un position size USD de 170.59$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.12 x 65.6627 = 7.88
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.88$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.12 x 35.54 = 4.26
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.26$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.33 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.62 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0 $ | -1.33 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1421.6 | 1487.2627 | 1386.06 | 0.54 | 1440.5 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1487.2627 - 1421.6 = 65.6627
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1421.6 - 1386.06 = 35.54
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 35.54 / 65.6627 = 0.5413
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