Long Trade on APT (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 263.92 APT at 0.847$ per unit. Take profit: 0.9231 (8.95 %) & Stop Loss: 0.817 (3.58 %)
29 Sep 2026 at 08:12:11
hyperliquid
APT
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Sep 2026 08:12
(open)
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.8473$
Qty 263.9224 APT
Size 223.6215$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.9231 (+8.95%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 0.817 (-3.58%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
open
PnL
-1.10%
expires
29 Sep 20:12
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 164656)
#53 / 86
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 08:00
score du 29/09/2026 08:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4128
Quality Score
0.480
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 08:00
29/09 08:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#53 / 86
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.58 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#53 / 86
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.58 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.82×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.27×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.82×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 29/09 00:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 29/09 06:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4361
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | transition | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
83.8%
Impulse :
+0.00
Participation :
broad_risk_on
Leadership :
alts
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 47.0% |
| 1h | 84.9% |
| 4h | 84.9% |
| 24h | 81.8% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 47.0% | -0.01% |
| 4h | 75.8% | +0.84% |
| 24h | 59.1% | +2.02% |
Dispersion :
0.164
Universe :
66
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
29/09 08:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5950
Score SMA
0.6831
Rank
#39
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5682
Rank Norm SMA
0.7312
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7121 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.93% · r3d: -4.97% · ema21_slope: 2.1965% · dist_ema21: 12.950% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6046 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.76% · rs_3d: -4.25% · beta_24h: 1.820 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5064 | rvol_20: 1.13× · zscore_50: 0.946 · trend: 56.56% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8595 | ADX: 43.1 (trend) · Chop: 28.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.084% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.4798
Score SMA
0.5677
Rank
#53
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4128
Rank Norm SMA
0.5737
Calculé le
29/09/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6140 | r1h: 1.761% · r4h: 1.482% · r1d: 3.08% · r3d: -0.41% · ema21_slope: 0.0223% · dist_ema21: 2.594% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5935 | rs_1h: 1.373% · rs_4h: 1.034% · rs_1d: 1.59% · rs_3d: -0.61% · beta_24h: 2.828 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5510 | rvol_20: 1.83× · zscore_50: 1.044 · trend: 1.56% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4696 | ADX: 13.3 (weak) · Chop: 55.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.976% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.5084
Score SMA
0.5985
Rank
#51
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5412
Rank Norm SMA
0.5770
Calculé le
29/09/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7033 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.482% · r1d: 3.08% · r3d: -0.41% · ema21_slope: -0.0232% · dist_ema21: 2.010% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6256 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.034% · rs_1d: 1.59% · rs_3d: -0.61% · beta_24h: 2.352 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2823 | rvol_20: 0.81× · zscore_50: -0.464 · trend: -2.68% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4502 | ADX: 20.9 (weak) · Chop: 65.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6935 | ATR%: 3.919% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 0
ML Pullback Score:
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
67%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.69 | bull_high | +12.96% | +0.95 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.38 | bull_high | +2.28% | -0.39 | 29/09 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_high |
41%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.32 | range_medium | +0.16% | +0.26 | 29/09 06:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | near -1.5ATR | 0.71 | bull_low_confirmed | +0.80% | +0.22 | 29/09 07:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
166869 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
67%
|
mid 12b 1.2ATR | noisy_chop 38% | 0.546 |
— — |
1.13 | above_value | -0.94 ATR | — | #92613 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:20
|
|
4h
170575 |
↑ up | bull_high |
55%
|
early 16b 0.2ATR | noisy_chop 34% | 0.561 |
— — |
0.76 | above_value | +0.71 ATR | — | #94213 |
29/09 00:00
upd 29/09 04:14
|
|
1h
anchor
171889 |
↔ neutral | range_high |
41%
|
mid 8b 0.5ATR | noisy_chop 37% | 0.608 |
— — |
0.83 | above_value | +0.65 ATR | — | #94818 |
29/09 06:00
upd 29/09 07:10
|
|
15m
172226 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
late 11b 3.1ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.352 |
— near -1.5ATR |
7.48 | above_value | +0.65 ATR | — | #94818 |
29/09 07:45
upd 29/09 08:01
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 4.554×ATR | p53 | +1.188×ATR | p61 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 16b | — | 1.645×ATR | p0 | +0.188×ATR | p7 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 2.305×ATR | p54 | +0.537×ATR | p38 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 3.807×ATR | p78 | +3.127×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8185
- reason: up_bo width=2.25×ATR dur=28b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.81698806
- tp_price: 0.92307984
- atr:
- score: 0.81853261641807
- expires_at: 2026-09-30T00:12:03.273397
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.81853261641807
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0843
- obi_top10 : -0.014
- micro_price : 0.84795889
- spread_pct : 0.011794
- mid_price : 0.84795
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.86
- ask_wall_size : 246139.77
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0789
- obi_top5_std : 0.1131
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7005
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.83645
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.8007
- balance_zone_mid:
0.818575
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790586000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790683200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.2528
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
28
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: forming
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8185
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790679600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.83645
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8571
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.6837
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
8
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.01586936 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
28
inside_close_ratio
0.8571
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.6837
Signaux confirmants (7)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:12 | 0.84730000 | 0% |
| 2 | 08:23 | 0.84730000 | 0% |
| 3 | 08:34 | 0.84730000 | 0% |
| 4 | 08:44 | 0.84620000 | -0.13% |
| 5 | 08:54 | 0.84620000 | -0.13% |
| 6 | 09:04 | 0.84620000 | -0.13% |
| 7 | 09:15 | 0.83850000 | -1.039% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7005ms
Confidence avant OB :
82%
→
82%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.084
avg 0.079
± 0.113
OBI Top 10
-0.014
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.8480
Micro Price
0.8480
Spread
0.0118%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.8600
Size
246,139.77
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8473 | 0.817 | 0.9231 | 2.5 | 0.838 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.8473
- Stop Loss: 0.817
- Take Profit: 0.9231
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.817 - 0.8473 = -0.0303
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8473 - 0.9231 = -0.0758
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0758 / -0.0303 = 2.5017
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 223.6215 | 100 | 263.9224 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0303
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0303 = -264.03
Taille de position USD = -264.03 x 0.8473 = -223.71
Donc, tu peux acheter -264.03 avec un stoploss a 0.817
Avec un position size USD de -223.71$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -264.03 x -0.0303 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -264.03 x -0.0758 = 20.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.01$
Résumé
- Taille de position -264.03
- Taille de position USD -223.71
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.01
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5017
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.95 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.58 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0 $ | -1.10 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8473 | 0.817 | 0.9231 | 2.5 | 0.838 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.8473
- Stop Loss: 0.817
- Take Profit: 0.9231
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.817 - 0.8473 = -0.0303
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8473 - 0.9231 = -0.0758
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0758 / -0.0303 = 2.5017
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
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Commentaires
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