Long Trade on ETHFI (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 212.21 ETHFI at 0.76$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7795 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7228 (4.96 %)
29 Sep 2026 at 08:15:14
hyperliquid
ETHFI
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
29 Sep 2026 08:15
→ 09:55
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.7605$
Qty 212.211 ETHFI
Size 161.3929$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.7795 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.03$
SL 0.7228 (-4.96%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.5
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +4.03$
MAE -1.23%
MFE +8.09%
1.6R
expires
29 Sep 14:15
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 164684)
#6 / 86
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 08:00
score du 29/09/2026 08:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8803
Quality Score
0.719
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 08:01
29/09 08:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#6 / 86
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#6 / 86
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.39×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.13×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.03×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 29/09 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 29/09 06:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4361
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | transition | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
83.8%
Impulse :
+0.00
Participation :
broad_risk_on
Leadership :
alts
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 47.0% |
| 1h | 84.9% |
| 4h | 84.9% |
| 24h | 81.8% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 47.0% | -0.01% |
| 4h | 75.8% | +0.84% |
| 24h | 59.1% | +2.02% |
Dispersion :
0.164
Universe :
66
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
29/09 08:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4877
Score SMA
0.5134
Rank
#78
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1250
Rank Norm SMA
0.1415
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6972 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.68% · r3d: -1.59% · ema21_slope: 1.0051% · dist_ema21: 5.579% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6018 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.52% · rs_3d: -0.87% · beta_24h: 1.053 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1873 | rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -0.575 · trend: -30.77% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6041 | ADX: 29.8 (trend) · Chop: 56.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.096% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.7192
Score SMA
0.5285
Rank
#6
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8803
Rank Norm SMA
0.4003
Calculé le
29/09/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7785 | r1h: 1.075% · r4h: 5.301% · r1d: 11.33% · r3d: 4.20% · ema21_slope: 0.1899% · dist_ema21: 5.946% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7859 | rs_1h: 0.686% · rs_4h: 4.853% · rs_1d: 9.83% · rs_3d: 3.99% · beta_24h: 3.284 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4453 | rvol_20: 0.92× · zscore_50: 0.102 · trend: 78.85% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6881 | ADX: 22.6 (weak) · Chop: 31.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.097% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.7038
Score SMA
0.5009
Rank
#8
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8000
Rank Norm SMA
0.2424
Calculé le
29/09/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7448 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 5.301% · r1d: 11.33% · r3d: 4.20% · ema21_slope: -0.0848% · dist_ema21: 6.705% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8218 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 4.853% · rs_1d: 9.83% · rs_3d: 3.99% · beta_24h: 3.941 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7614 | rvol_20: 2.88× · zscore_50: 1.337 · trend: 18.79% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5181 | ADX: 16.1 (weak) · Chop: 52.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6418 | ATR%: 4.075% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.957%
(0.0377)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.039% | 0.2R | -1.059% | 0.2R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.299% | 0.7R | -1.227% | 0.3R | 2.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +8.087% | 1.6R | -1.227% | 0.3R | 6.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +8.087% | 1.6R | -1.227% | 0.3R | 6.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +8.087% | 1.6R | -1.227% | 0.3R | 6.6× | 96 |
computed 29 minutes ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.8
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.57 | bull_high | +12.96% | +0.75 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.43 | bull_high | +2.28% | -0.00 | 29/09 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
67%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.51 | range_medium | +0.16% | +0.70 | 29/09 06:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.65 | bull_low_confirmed | +0.80% | +0.34 | 29/09 07:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
166984 |
↑ up | bull_high |
68%
|
early 12b 0.6ATR | noisy_chop 41% | 0.678 |
— near 0.0ATR |
0.45 | above_value | +0.29 ATR | — | #92641 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:26
|
|
4h
170655 |
↑ up | bull_high |
61%
|
early 5b 0.5ATR | noisy_chop 40% | 0.694 |
— near 0.1ATR |
1.67 | above_value | +0.16 ATR | — | #94241 |
29/09 00:00
upd 29/09 04:18
|
|
1h
anchor
171918 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
67%
|
late 8b 2.4ATR | noisy_chop 47% | 0.630 |
— near 0.4ATR |
1.92 | above_value | +2.05 ATR | — | #94846 |
29/09 06:00
upd 29/09 07:11
|
|
15m
172254 |
↑ up | bull_high |
64%
|
late 15b 2.5ATR | noisy_chop 44% | 0.607 |
— — |
0.35 | above_value | +2.05 ATR | — | #94846 |
29/09 07:45
upd 29/09 08:03
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 12b | — | 2.116×ATR | p0 | +0.57×ATR | p34 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.917×ATR | p3 | +0.473×ATR | p31 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 4.991×ATR | p90 | +2.426×ATR | p92 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 15b | — | 5.419×ATR | p84 | +2.528×ATR | p87 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.72283168
- tp_price: 0.77954325
- atr: 0.01507933
- expires_at: 2026-09-29T18:15:14+00:00
Details
- rank: 6
- total: 86
- score: 0.7898
- delta_2h: 0.0337
- extension_atr: 2.65
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8832
- confidence: 0.941
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:15 | 0.76053000 | +0.004% |
| 2 | 09:15 | 0.75388000 | -0.87% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7605 | 0.7228 | 0.7795 | 0.5 | 0.7734 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.7605
- Stop Loss: 0.7228
- Take Profit: 0.7795
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7228 - 0.7605 = -0.0377
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7605 - 0.7795 = -0.019
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.019 / -0.0377 = 0.504
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 161.3929 | 100 | 212.211 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0377
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0377 = -212.2
Taille de position USD = -212.2 x 0.7605 = -161.38
Donc, tu peux acheter -212.2 avec un stoploss a 0.7228
Avec un position size USD de -161.38$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -212.2 x -0.0377 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -212.2 x -0.019 = 4.03
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.03$
Résumé
- Taille de position -212.2
- Taille de position USD -161.38
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.03
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.504
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.03 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.96 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 4.03 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.2268 % | 24.75 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7605 | 0.7228 | 0.7795 | 0.5 | 0.7734 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.7605
- Stop Loss: 0.7228
- Take Profit: 0.7795
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7228 - 0.7605 = -0.0377
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7605 - 0.7795 = -0.019
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.019 / -0.0377 = 0.504
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.957%
(0.0377)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.039% | 0.2R | -1.059% | 0.2R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.299% | 0.7R | -1.227% | 0.3R | 2.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +8.087% | 1.6R | -1.227% | 0.3R | 6.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +8.087% | 1.6R | -1.227% | 0.3R | 6.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +8.087% | 1.6R | -1.227% | 0.3R | 6.6× | 96 |
computed 29 minutes ago
Commentaires
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