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Long Trade on ICP

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29 Sep 2026 at 10:15:06 hyperliquid

Long Trade on ICP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 42.4 ICP at 3.454$ per unit. Take profit: 3.5399 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 3.2649 (5.46 %)

ICP LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 10:15 → 16:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 3.4536$

Qty 42.3963 ICP

Size 146.42$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 3.5399 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.66$

SL 3.2649 (-5.46%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.46

Status win PnL +0.37% / +0.55$ MAE -4.09% MFE +1.48% 0.3R expires 29 Sep 16:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 164970)
#3 / 84 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 10:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9140

Quality Score
0.784
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 10:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#3 / 84 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.46 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#3 / 84 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.46 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near -1.86×ATR
1d near -1.54×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

29/09 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

29/09 09:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4369
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 62.1%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : mixed_dispersion
Leadership : alts
% Positive (universe)
15m 73.9%
1h 23.1%
4h 53.9%
24h 60.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 61.5% +0.12%
4h 58.5% +0.14%
24h 55.4% +1.01%
Dispersion : 0.188
Universe : 65 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 29/09 10:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6018
Score SMA
0.6075
Rank
#37 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5909
Rank Norm SMA
0.4454
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7549 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.31% · r3d: -1.91% · ema21_slope: 1.0242% · dist_ema21: 7.856%
Force Relative 25% 0.6263 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.85% · rs_3d: -1.19% · beta_24h: 0.955
Volume 20% 0.6053 rvol_20: 1.54× · zscore_50: 1.270 · trend: 66.11%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6516 ADX: 21.2 (weak) · Chop: 41.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.816% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 10:00
Score brut
0.7836
Score SMA
0.5671
Rank
#3 / 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9140
Rank Norm SMA
0.5472
Calculé le
29/09/2026 10:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8577 r1h: 3.561% · r4h: 4.313% · r1d: 15.40% · r3d: 7.28% · ema21_slope: 0.5026% · dist_ema21: 6.568%
Force Relative 25% 0.8984 rs_1h: 3.700% · rs_4h: 4.341% · rs_1d: 14.71% · rs_3d: 6.96% · beta_24h: 1.861
Volume 20% 0.9744 rvol_20: 2.99× · zscore_50: 3.988 · trend: 82.52%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7982 ADX: 35.8 (trend) · Chop: 28.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.291% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.7003
Score SMA
0.6000
Rank
#14 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8824
Rank Norm SMA
0.5638
Calculé le
29/09/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7041 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.119% · r1d: 12.51% · r3d: 4.55% · ema21_slope: 0.0013% · dist_ema21: 6.397%
Force Relative 25% 0.7500 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.567% · rs_1d: 11.01% · rs_3d: 4.35% · beta_24h: 2.476
Volume 20% 0.5765 rvol_20: 1.72× · zscore_50: 0.742 · trend: 49.25%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6943 ADX: 25.0 (trend) · Chop: 40.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.8210 ATR%: 3.537% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.464% (0.1887)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.753% 0.1R -1.769% 0.3R 0.4× 12
2h +0.753% 0.1R -3.101% 0.6R 0.2× 24
4h +0.753% 0.1R -4.086% 0.8R 0.2× 48
6h ★ +1.477% 0.3R -4.086% 0.8R 0.4× 72
8h +3.026% 0.6R -4.086% 0.8R 0.7× 96
12h +3.026% 0.6R -4.086% 0.8R 0.7× 144

computed 40 minutes ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.6
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 40% mid — near -1.5ATR 0.51 bull_high +12.96% +0.02 27/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
65%
noisy_chop 39% late — near -1.9ATR 0.42 bull_high +2.69% +0.52 29/09 04:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
61%
noisy_chop 46% late — — 0.43 range_medium +0.37% +0.84 29/09 09:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
64%
noisy_chop 48% late — — 0.61 range_low +0.54% +0.19 29/09 09:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
167115 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
62%
mid 12b 1.0ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.614

—

near -1.5ATR

1.54 value -1.76 ATR — #92675 27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:31
4h
172490 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
65%
late 5b 1.8ATR noisy_chop 39% 0.557

—

near -1.9ATR

1.72 above_value +2.46 ATR inside #95050 29/09 04:00
upd 29/09 08:23
1h anchor
173263 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
61%
late 3b 2.4ATR noisy_chop 46% 0.707

—

—

2.99 above_value +3.10 ATR inside #95474 29/09 09:00
upd 29/09 10:13
15m
173178 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
64%
late 4b 2.6ATR noisy_chop 48% 0.686

—

—

4.57 above_value +2.12 ATR — #95304 29/09 09:45
upd 29/09 10:04
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 12b — 3.277×ATR p16 +1×ATR p63
4h ↑ up late 5b — 3.807×ATR p48 +1.774×ATR p87
1h ↑ up late 3b — 2.124×ATR p40 +2.419×ATR p93
15m ↑ up late 4b — 3.559×ATR p78 +2.573×ATR p95

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 3.26490447
  2. tp_price: 3.53994
  3. atr: 0.07547821
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-29T20:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 7
  2. total: 87
  3. score: 0.8344
  4. delta_2h: 0.0923
  5. extension_atr: 2.51
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.911
  9. confidence: 0.98

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.4536 3.2649 3.5399 0.46 3.4442
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.4536
  • Stop Loss: 3.2649
  • Take Profit: 3.5399

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.2649 - 3.4536 = -0.1887

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.4536 - 3.5399 = -0.0863

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0863 / -0.1887 = 0.4573

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
146.42 100 42.3963 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.1887

Taille de position = 8 / -0.1887 = -42.4

Taille de position USD = -42.4 x 3.4536 = -146.43

Donc, tu peux acheter -42.4 avec un stoploss a 3.2649

Avec un position size USD de -146.43$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -42.4 x -0.1887 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -42.4 x -0.0863 = 3.66

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.66$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -42.4
  • Taille de position USD -146.43
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.66
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4573

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.66 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.46 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
0.55 $ 0.37
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.0856 % 74.77 % 7
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.4536 3.2649 3.5399 0.46 3.4442
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.4536
  • Stop Loss: 3.2649
  • Take Profit: 3.5399

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.2649 - 3.4536 = -0.1887

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.4536 - 3.5399 = -0.0863

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0863 / -0.1887 = 0.4573

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.464% (0.1887)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.753% 0.1R -1.769% 0.3R 0.4× 12
2h +0.753% 0.1R -3.101% 0.6R 0.2× 24
4h +0.753% 0.1R -4.086% 0.8R 0.2× 48
6h ★ +1.477% 0.3R -4.086% 0.8R 0.4× 72
8h +3.026% 0.6R -4.086% 0.8R 0.7× 96
12h +3.026% 0.6R -4.086% 0.8R 0.7× 144

computed 40 minutes ago

Commentaires

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