Short Trade on LTC (BosPullback)
With 9.03 LTC at 68.529$ per unit. Take profit: 67.0985 (2.09 %) & Stop Loss: 69.415 (1.29 %)
Short Trade on LTC (BosPullback)
With 9.03 LTC at 68.529$ per unit. Take profit: 67.0985 (2.09 %) & Stop Loss: 69.415 (1.29 %)
Position
Entry 68.529$
Qty 9.0292 LTC
Size 618.7629$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 67.0985 (+2.09%)
TP $ 12.92$
SL 69.415 (-1.29%)
SL $ 8$
RR 1.61
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1488
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 11.35×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 5.05×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.95×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 29/09 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/09 09:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | -2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
| 15m | 81.5% |
| 1h | 53.9% |
| 4h | 67.7% |
| 24h | 89.2% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 81.5% | +0.18% |
| 4h | 73.9% | +0.76% |
| 24h | 81.5% | +4.00% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7506 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.85% · r3d: -4.61% · ema21_slope: 1.7385% · dist_ema21: 12.237% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6668 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.69% · rs_3d: -3.89% · beta_24h: 0.957 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7604 | rvol_20: 1.99× · zscore_50: 1.820 · trend: 141.16% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9127 | ADX: 49.5 (trend) · Chop: 18.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.2137 | ATR%: 5.359% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4063 | r1h: -0.571% · r4h: -0.557% · r1d: -2.76% · r3d: -5.17% · ema21_slope: -0.0890% · dist_ema21: -0.714% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3822 | rs_1h: -0.433% · rs_4h: -0.528% · rs_1d: -3.44% · rs_3d: -5.49% · beta_24h: 1.039 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5162 | rvol_20: 2.00× · zscore_50: 0.267 · trend: -6.06% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4751 | ADX: 20.0 (weak) · Chop: 61.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.162% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5955 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.401% · r1d: -3.19% · r3d: -5.61% · ema21_slope: -0.0507% · dist_ema21: -1.152% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4949 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.047% · rs_1d: -4.69% · rs_3d: -5.81% · beta_24h: 1.124 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1776 | rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -0.766 · trend: -28.51% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5083 | ADX: 23.4 (weak) · Chop: 61.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.750% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.069% | 1.6R | -0.220% | 0.2R | 9.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.069% | 1.6R | -0.220% | 0.2R | 9.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.777% | 2.2R | -0.220% | 0.2R | 12.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.777% | 2.2R | -0.220% | 0.2R | 12.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.955% | 2.3R | -0.220% | 0.2R | 13.4× | 144 |
computed 1 hour ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | — | 0.76 | bull_high | +12.96% | +0.95 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.47 | bull_high | +2.69% | -0.41 | 29/09 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.42 | range_medium | +0.37% | -0.19 | 29/09 09:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_medium |
38%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.57 | range_low | +0.14% | +0.03 | 29/09 10:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
166820 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
late 12b 1.7ATR | noisy_chop 49% | 0.633 |
— — |
1.99 | value | -1.85 ATR | — | #92601 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:18
|
|
4h
172302 |
↑ up | bull_high |
56%
|
early 18b -0.5ATR | noisy_chop 37% | 0.476 |
— — |
0.45 | value | -2.37 ATR | — | #94979 |
29/09 04:00
upd 29/09 08:13
|
|
1h
anchor
173192 |
↓ down | bear_high |
58%
|
early 1b -0.7ATR | noisy_chop 36% | 0.509 |
— — |
2.00 | value | -3.19 ATR | — | #95403 |
29/09 09:00
upd 29/09 10:10
|
|
15m
173437 |
↔ neutral | range_medium |
38%
|
early 3b 0.2ATR | noisy_chop 36% | 0.590 |
— near -0.3ATR |
0.41 | value | -3.19 ATR | — | #95403 |
29/09 10:30
upd 29/09 10:45
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 5.142×ATR | p53 | +1.745×ATR | p85 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 18b | — | 3.242×ATR | p47 | -0.486×ATR | p22 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.196×ATR | p2 | -0.651×ATR | p40 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.94×ATR | p16 | +0.166×ATR | p15 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
69.346
147
0.274
0.4952
0.3721
0.1925
0.5192
0.6029
0.4071
0.3625
0.2949
0.204
0.4725
0.1776
-0.0247
-0.0544
0
-0.4481
-1.507
0.35
0.65
-1
12
1
0.6151
0.3144
4.0315
0.55
0.6029
2.4306
-1.507
0.479
0.3347
0.34
-0.3626
0.3356
0.5455
0.5753
0.1776
-9.3567
2.0201
1
0
1
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[time] => 2026-09-24 16:00:00
[price] => 74.848
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[price] => 70.507
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[price] => 69.832
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[price] => 71.426
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[price] => 69.302
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[price] => 72.566
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[price] => 68.653
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[kind] => high
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[price] => 68.708
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[price] => 69.396
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[price] => 68.374
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[price] => 67.55
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
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(
[time] => 2026-09-29 08:15:00
[price] => 69.186
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
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[time] => 2026-09-29 09:00:00
[price] => 68.315
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
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[price] => 69.346
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[price] => 67.981
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
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67.043
69.346
69.346
67.043
68.656
65.541
67.0985
0.8034
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68.529 | 69.415 | 67.0985 | 1.61 | 67.102 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 69.415 - 68.529 = 0.88600000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 68.529 - 67.0985 = 1.4305
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.4305 / 0.88600000000001 = 1.6146
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 618.7629 | 100 | 9.0292 | 6.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.88600000000001 = 9.03
Taille de position USD = 9.03 x 68.529 = 618.82
Donc, tu peux acheter 9.03 avec un stoploss a 69.415
Avec un position size USD de 618.82$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 9.03 x 0.88600000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 9.03 x 1.4305 = 12.92
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 12.92$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.09 % | 12.92 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.29 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 12.92 $ | 2.09 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2203 % | 17.04 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68.529 | 69.415 | 67.0985 | 1.61 | 67.102 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 69.415 - 68.529 = 0.88600000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 68.529 - 67.0985 = 1.4305
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.4305 / 0.88600000000001 = 1.6146
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 66.757
[stop_loss] => 69.415
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-09-29 17:50:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.069% | 1.6R | -0.220% | 0.2R | 9.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.069% | 1.6R | -0.220% | 0.2R | 9.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.777% | 2.2R | -0.220% | 0.2R | 12.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.777% | 2.2R | -0.220% | 0.2R | 12.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.955% | 2.3R | -0.220% | 0.2R | 13.4× | 144 |
computed 1 hour ago
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