Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 63.93 AVAX at 11.364$ per unit. Take profit: 11.6143 (2.2 %) & Stop Loss: 11.2389 (1.1 %)
Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 63.93 AVAX at 11.364$ per unit. Take profit: 11.6143 (2.2 %) & Stop Loss: 11.2389 (1.1 %)
Position
Entry 11.364$
Qty 63.9306 AVAX
Size 726.5073$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 11.6143 (+2.2%)
TP $ 16$
SL 11.2389 (-1.1%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9342
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.04×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.37417 15m : 0.677249 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_medium_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 29/09 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 29/09 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
| 15m | 30.8% |
| 1h | 53.9% |
| 4h | 67.7% |
| 24h | 89.2% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 44.6% | -0.07% |
| 4h | 73.9% | +0.76% |
| 24h | 81.5% | +4.00% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7268 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.79% · r3d: -0.47% · ema21_slope: 2.6407% · dist_ema21: 11.714% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5943 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.63% · rs_3d: 0.26% · beta_24h: 0.944 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3807 | rvol_20: 0.85× · zscore_50: 0.314 · trend: 28.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8872 | ADX: 46.5 (trend) · Chop: 20.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.586% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7244 | r1h: -1.074% · r4h: -0.492% · r1d: 12.62% · r3d: 4.33% · ema21_slope: 0.4736% · dist_ema21: 3.595% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6382 | rs_1h: -0.521% · rs_4h: -0.181% · rs_1d: 11.75% · rs_3d: 4.65% · beta_24h: 2.836 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5430 | rvol_20: 1.25× · zscore_50: 0.825 · trend: 76.18% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7965 | ADX: 35.6 (trend) · Chop: 24.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.202% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8554 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 3.367% · r1d: 12.89% · r3d: 8.13% · ema21_slope: 0.0775% · dist_ema21: 9.709% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8213 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.919% · rs_1d: 11.39% · rs_3d: 7.93% · beta_24h: 3.802 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7952 | rvol_20: 2.71× · zscore_50: 1.418 · trend: 60.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7082 | ADX: 27.1 (trend) · Chop: 40.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7199 | ATR%: 3.840% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.484% | 0.4R | -1.883% | 1.7R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.484% | 0.4R | -2.710% | 2.5R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.484% | 0.4R | -2.869% | 2.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.760% | 1.6R | -2.869% | 2.6R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.760% | 1.6R | -2.869% | 2.6R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 2 hours ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.72 | bull_high | +12.96% | +0.98 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.52 | bull_high | +2.69% | +0.78 | 29/09 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
72%
|
noisy_chop 49% | mid | — | — | 0.42 | range_medium | -0.18% | +0.74 | 29/09 10:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.70 | range_low | -0.02% | +0.02 | 29/09 10:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
166807 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
mid 7b 1.3ATR | noisy_chop 44% | 0.844 |
— — |
0.85 | value | +1.33 ATR | — | #92598 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:17
|
|
4h
172295 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
late 5b 2.3ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.489 |
— — |
2.71 | above_value | +5.87 ATR | — | #94976 |
29/09 04:00
upd 29/09 08:13
|
|
1h
anchor
173595 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
72%
|
mid 2b 1.4ATR | noisy_chop 49% | 0.683 |
— — |
1.25 | above_value | +4.56 ATR | — | #95570 |
29/09 10:00
upd 29/09 11:09
|
|
15m
173522 |
↑ up | bull_high |
62%
|
late 11b -0.5ATR | noisy_chop 38% | 0.595 |
near 0.1ATR — |
0.95 | above_value | +5.03 ATR | — | #95400 |
29/09 10:45
upd 29/09 11:00
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 1.725×ATR | p0 | +1.258×ATR | p70 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 3.751×ATR | p58 | +2.3×ATR | p87 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 1.976×ATR | p32 | +1.414×ATR | p62 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 11b | — | 3.922×ATR | p88 | -0.474×ATR | p31 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
84034.3
-0.00594219
83535
0.37417
83672.2
-0.00163992
83535
0.677249
83909.2
-0.00361457
83606
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12.019
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0.5156
6.3862
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8.0616
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0.2468
0.82
0.258
0.6211
0.5445
0.7913
0.6887
-2.3422
5.1807
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 07:50:00 | 11.548 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 08:35:00 | 11.239 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 10:20:00 | 11.701 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 10:40:00 | 11.485 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 12:00:00 | 12.019 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 12:50:00 | 11.655 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 13:30:00 | 11.775 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 14:15:00 | 11.539 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 14:30:00 | 11.737 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 15:05:00 | 11.328 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 15:15:00 | 10.143 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 17:15:00 | 10.614 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 19:30:00 | 10.265 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 21:00:00 | 10.552 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 22:00:00 | 10.313 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 00:30:00 | 10.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 02:45:00 | 10.337 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 07:45:00 | 11.548 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 12:00:00 | 12.019 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 15:00:00 | 11.328 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 00:00:00 | 10.954 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 04:00:00 | 10.672 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 08:00:00 | 11.282 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 13:00:00 | 10.811 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 20:00:00 | 11.094 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 12:00:00 | 10.719 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 15:00:00 | 10.143 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 00:00:00 | 10.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 12:00:00 | 12.019 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 15:00:00 | 11.357 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.364 | 11.2389 | 11.6143 | 2 | 10.983 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.2389 - 11.364 = -0.1251
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.364 - 11.6143 = -0.2503
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2503 / -0.1251 = 2.0008
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 726.5073 | 100 | 63.9306 | 7.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.1251 = -63.95
Taille de position USD = -63.95 x 11.364 = -726.73
Donc, tu peux acheter -63.95 avec un stoploss a 11.2389
Avec un position size USD de -726.73$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -63.95 x -0.1251 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -63.95 x -0.2503 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.2 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.1 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.10 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.7687 % | 160.67 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.364 | 11.2389 | 11.6143 | 2 | 10.983 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.2389 - 11.364 = -0.1251
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.364 - 11.6143 = -0.2503
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2503 / -0.1251 = 2.0008
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.484% | 0.4R | -1.883% | 1.7R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.484% | 0.4R | -2.710% | 2.5R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.484% | 0.4R | -2.869% | 2.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.760% | 1.6R | -2.869% | 2.6R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.760% | 1.6R | -2.869% | 2.6R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 2 hours ago
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