Short Trade on BCH (BosPullback)
With 1.33 BCH at 308.71$ per unit. Take profit: 293.7154 (4.86 %) & Stop Loss: 314.7078 (1.94 %)
Short Trade on BCH (BosPullback)
With 1.33 BCH at 308.71$ per unit. Take profit: 293.7154 (4.86 %) & Stop Loss: 314.7078 (1.94 %)
Position
Entry 308.71$
Qty 1.3338 BCH
Size 411.7617$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 293.7154 (+4.86%)
TP $ 20$
SL 314.7078 (-1.94%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2114
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 12.17×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 6.10×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.27×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 29/09 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/09 10:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | -2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
| 15m | 30.8% |
| 1h | 53.9% |
| 4h | 67.7% |
| 24h | 89.2% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 44.6% | -0.07% |
| 4h | 73.9% | +0.76% |
| 24h | 81.5% | +4.00% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6773 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -6.73% · r3d: -9.58% · ema21_slope: 2.0655% · dist_ema21: 8.150% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5586 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -5.57% · rs_3d: -8.86% · beta_24h: 1.235 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4304 | rvol_20: 0.97× · zscore_50: 0.316 · trend: 51.09% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8525 | ADX: 42.3 (trend) · Chop: 19.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.136% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4561 | r1h: 0.051% · r4h: -0.154% · r1d: 0.90% · r3d: -7.01% · ema21_slope: -0.0005% · dist_ema21: 0.224% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4731 | rs_1h: 0.604% · rs_4h: 0.158% · rs_1d: 0.03% · rs_3d: -6.69% · beta_24h: 1.226 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1628 | rvol_20: 0.36× · zscore_50: -0.558 · trend: -58.78% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5473 | ADX: 25.7 (trend) · Chop: 58.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.087% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5522 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.762% · r1d: 1.07% · r3d: -7.24% · ema21_slope: -0.3413% · dist_ema21: -2.021% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5514 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.314% · rs_1d: -0.42% · rs_3d: -7.45% · beta_24h: 2.853 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1655 | rvol_20: 0.28× · zscore_50: -0.518 · trend: -72.94% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6692 | ADX: 25.0 (trend) · Chop: 43.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.950% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.069% | 0.6R | -0.217% | 0.1R | 4.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.069% | 0.6R | -0.217% | 0.1R | 4.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.940% | 1.0R | -0.217% | 0.1R | 8.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.940% | 1.0R | -0.765% | 0.4R | 2.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.940% | 1.0R | -0.765% | 0.4R | 2.5× | 144 |
computed 3 hours ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
67%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.65 | bull_high | +12.96% | +0.84 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.49 | bull_high | +2.69% | -0.66 | 29/09 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.35 | range_medium | -0.18% | +0.06 | 29/09 10:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | range_medium |
36%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.65 | range_low | -0.02% | +0.04 | 29/09 10:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
166865 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
67%
|
early 5b 0.9ATR | noisy_chop 42% | 0.799 |
— — |
0.97 | below_value | -6.91 ATR | inside | #92612 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:20
|
|
4h
172322 |
↑ up | bull_high |
54%
|
mid 12b -0.7ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.646 |
— — |
0.28 | below_value | -7.15 ATR | — | #94989 |
29/09 04:00
upd 29/09 08:14
|
|
1h
anchor
173608 |
↓ down | bear_high |
57%
|
mid 13b 0.2ATR | noisy_chop 38% | 0.533 |
— — |
0.36 | below_value | -8.10 ATR | — | #95583 |
29/09 10:00
upd 29/09 11:09
|
|
15m
173534 |
↑ up | range_medium |
36%
|
early 2b 0.0ATR | noisy_chop 35% | 0.516 |
— — |
0.49 | below_value | -8.03 ATR | — | #95413 |
29/09 10:45
upd 29/09 11:01
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.538×ATR | p0 | +0.914×ATR | p51 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 12b | — | 3.681×ATR | p78 | -0.651×ATR | p33 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 13b | — | 2.678×ATR | p52 | +0.215×ATR | p14 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.083×ATR | p3 | -0.047×ATR | p4 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
302.54
135
0.263
0.4426
0.3483
0.2189
0.4542
1
0.3815
0.3657
0.254
0
0.3789
0.1626
0.0396
-0.0598
0
-0.3147
-2.0049
0.25
0.75
-1
14
1
0.5622
0.3065
2.804
0.55
1.5025
2.4784
-2.0049
0.3579
0.2515
0
-0.3904
0.365
0.4783
0
0.1626
-13.2829
2.579
1
1
0
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302.54
314.38
314.38
302.54
303.29
302.54
302.915
0.505
315.72
314.66
315.19
0.4959
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 308.71 | 314.7078 | 293.7154 | 2.5 | 306.61 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 314.7078 - 308.71 = 5.9978
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 308.71 - 293.7154 = 14.9946
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 14.9946 / 5.9978 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 411.7617 | 100 | 1.3338 | 4.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 5.9978 = 1.33
Taille de position USD = 1.33 x 308.71 = 410.58
Donc, tu peux acheter 1.33 avec un stoploss a 314.7078
Avec un position size USD de 410.58$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1.33 x 5.9978 = 7.98
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.98$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1.33 x 14.9946 = 19.94
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.94$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.86 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.94 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.94 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.9565 % | 100.7 % | 41 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 308.71 | 314.7078 | 293.7154 | 2.5 | 306.61 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 314.7078 - 308.71 = 5.9978
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 308.71 - 293.7154 = 14.9946
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 14.9946 / 5.9978 = 2.5
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.069% | 0.6R | -0.217% | 0.1R | 4.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.069% | 0.6R | -0.217% | 0.1R | 4.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.940% | 1.0R | -0.217% | 0.1R | 8.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.940% | 1.0R | -0.765% | 0.4R | 2.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.940% | 1.0R | -0.765% | 0.4R | 2.5× | 144 |
computed 3 hours ago
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