29 Sep 2026 at 11:14:34 hyperliquid

Short Trade on BCH (BosPullback)

With 1.33 BCH at 308.71$ per unit. Take profit: 293.7154 (4.86 %) & Stop Loss: 314.7078 (1.94 %)

BCH SHORT BosPullback hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 11:14 → 08:45 · 21 hours

Position

Entry 308.71$

Qty 1.3338 BCH

Size 411.7617$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)

Risk Setup

TP 293.7154 (+4.86%)

TP $ 20$

SL 314.7078 (-1.94%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -1.94% / -8$ MAE -0.22% MFE +1.94% 1.0R

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 164994)
#71 / 84 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 11:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2114

Quality Score
0.470
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
79 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 11:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#71 / 84 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.94 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#71 / 84 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.94 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 12.17×ATR
4h clear 6.10×ATR
1d clear 3.27×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

29/09 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/09 10:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4373
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 -2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 73.9%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : broad_risk_on
Leadership : alts
% Positive (universe)
15m 30.8%
1h 53.9%
4h 67.7%
24h 89.2%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 44.6% -0.07%
4h 73.9% +0.76%
24h 81.5% +4.00%
Dispersion : 0.222
Universe : 65 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 29/09 11:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5568
Score SMA
0.6506
Rank
#56 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3750
Rank Norm SMA
0.6288
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6773 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -6.73% · r3d: -9.58% · ema21_slope: 2.0655% · dist_ema21: 8.150%
Force Relative 25% 0.5586 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -5.57% · rs_3d: -8.86% · beta_24h: 1.235
Volume 20% 0.4304 rvol_20: 0.97× · zscore_50: 0.316 · trend: 51.09%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8525 ADX: 42.3 (trend) · Chop: 19.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.136% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.4698
Score SMA
0.5475
Rank
#71 / 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2114
Rank Norm SMA
0.4583
Calculé le
29/09/2026 11:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4561 r1h: 0.051% · r4h: -0.154% · r1d: 0.90% · r3d: -7.01% · ema21_slope: -0.0005% · dist_ema21: 0.224%
Force Relative 25% 0.4731 rs_1h: 0.604% · rs_4h: 0.158% · rs_1d: 0.03% · rs_3d: -6.69% · beta_24h: 1.226
Volume 20% 0.1628 rvol_20: 0.36× · zscore_50: -0.558 · trend: -58.78%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5473 ADX: 25.7 (trend) · Chop: 58.8 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.087% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.5370
Score SMA
0.6148
Rank
#51 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4588
Rank Norm SMA
0.6044
Calculé le
29/09/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5522 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.762% · r1d: 1.07% · r3d: -7.24% · ema21_slope: -0.3413% · dist_ema21: -2.021%
Force Relative 25% 0.5514 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.314% · rs_1d: -0.42% · rs_3d: -7.45% · beta_24h: 2.853
Volume 20% 0.1655 rvol_20: 0.28× · zscore_50: -0.518 · trend: -72.94%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6692 ADX: 25.0 (trend) · Chop: 43.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.950% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BosPullback (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -1.943% (5.9978)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.069% 0.6R -0.217% 0.1R 4.9× 12
2h +1.069% 0.6R -0.217% 0.1R 4.9× 24
4h ★ +1.940% 1.0R -0.217% 0.1R 8.9× 48
8h +1.940% 1.0R -0.765% 0.4R 2.5× 96
12h +1.940% 1.0R -0.765% 0.4R 2.5× 144

computed 3 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 5.36
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong explosive expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
67%
noisy_chop 42% early — — 0.65 bull_high +12.96% +0.84 27/09 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate grind compression bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 39% mid — — 0.49 bull_high +2.69% -0.66 29/09 04:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 38% mid — — 0.35 range_medium -0.18% +0.06 29/09 10:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading expansion range_medium
36%
noisy_chop 35% early — — 0.65 range_low -0.02% +0.04 29/09 10:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
166865
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
67%
early 5b 0.9ATR noisy_chop 42% 0.799

—

—

0.97 below_value -6.91 ATR inside #92612 27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:20
4h
172322
↑ up bull_high
54%
mid 12b -0.7ATR noisy_chop 39% 0.646

—

—

0.28 below_value -7.15 ATR — #94989 29/09 04:00
upd 29/09 08:14
1h anchor
173608
↓ down bear_high
57%
mid 13b 0.2ATR noisy_chop 38% 0.533

—

—

0.36 below_value -8.10 ATR — #95583 29/09 10:00
upd 29/09 11:09
15m
173534
↑ up range_medium
36%
early 2b 0.0ATR noisy_chop 35% 0.516

—

—

0.49 below_value -8.03 ATR — #95413 29/09 10:45
upd 29/09 11:01
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 5b — 2.538×ATR p0 +0.914×ATR p51
4h ↓ down mid 12b — 3.681×ATR p78 -0.651×ATR p33
1h ↑ up mid 13b — 2.678×ATR p52 +0.215×ATR p14
15m ↑ up early 2b — 1.083×ATR p3 -0.047×ATR p4

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BosPullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.79
  3. reason: bos_pullback_short|score=1|shallow|bars_since_bos=14|retests=1|break_atr=0.46|prog=0.38|zone=fresh|ob:ask_pressure(+0.07)
  4. stop_price: 314.70783844
  5. tp_price: 293.71540391
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.72
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.72
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : pullback_down
  11. confidence : 0.464
  12. trend_strength : -0.1198
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -0.4088
  15. low_delta_atr : -1.2082
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 2.804
  17. current_swing_speed : 0.31155
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.3065
  19. retracement_ratio : 1.5025
  20. extension_ratio : 1.2842
  21. compression_score : 1.009
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -1.0221
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.3821
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 2.2303
  26. pivot_count : 27
  27. swing_count : 26
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: low
  30. last_pivot_price:
    302.54
  31. last_pivot_index:
    135
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : transition
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : breakout_retest
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : moderate
  40. exhaustion : medium
  41. momentum_type : fading
  42. volatility_regime : compression
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : discount
  45. confidence : 0.477
  46. state : down_bearish_transition_fading
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.263
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.4426
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.3483
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2189
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.4542
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    1
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.3815
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.3657
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.254
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.3789
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.1626
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    0.0396
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.0598
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -0.3147
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -2.0049
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.25
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.75
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    14
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5622
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.3065
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    2.804
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.55
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    1.5025
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    2.4784
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -2.0049
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.3579
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.2515
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.3904
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.365
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.4783
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0
  85. features_range_position:
    0.1626
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -13.2829
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    2.579
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    1
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    0
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. orderbook_context
  98. obi_top5 : -0.1879
  99. obi_top10 : -0.0817
  100. micro_price : 308.94115079
  101. spread_pct : 0.003237
  102. mid_price : 308.945
  103. bid_wall_price :
  104. bid_wall_size :
  105. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  106. ask_wall_price : 309
  107. ask_wall_size : 2692.006
  108. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  109. snapshots_count : 5
  110. obi_top5_mean : -0.161
  111. obi_top5_std : 0.0221
  112. pressure_side : ask
  113. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  114. collection_ms : 6875
  115. aggregation_tick : 1
  116. error :
  117. ¸
  118. strategy_details
  119. strategy : bos_pullback
  120. ms_state_1h : pullback_down
  121. strategy_details
  122. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-25 01:00:00
        [price] => 344.44
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  123. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-25 07:00:00
        [price] => 330.44
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  124. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-25 11:00:00
        [price] => 342.06
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  125. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-25 14:00:00
        [price] => 327.76
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  126. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-25 23:00:00
        [price] => 346.99
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  127. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-26 13:00:00
        [price] => 332.48
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  128. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-26 18:00:00
        [price] => 338.6
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  129. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-26 20:00:00
        [price] => 332.31
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  130. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-26 21:00:00
        [price] => 337.53
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  131. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-27 04:00:00
        [price] => 330.65
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  132. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-27 08:00:00
        [price] => 347.5
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  133. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-27 15:00:00
        [price] => 327.66
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  134. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-27 18:00:00
        [price] => 337.53
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  135. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 02:00:00
        [price] => 307.79
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  136. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 05:00:00
        [price] => 317.49
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  137. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 08:00:00
        [price] => 305.75
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  138. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 12:00:00
        [price] => 315.72
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  139. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 15:00:00
        [price] => 306.5
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  140. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 16:00:00
        [price] => 314.38
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  141. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-29 01:00:00
        [price] => 302.54
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  142. strategy_details
  143. pivots_15m_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 14:15:00
        [price] => 312.53
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  144. pivots_15m_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 15:15:00
        [price] => 306.5
        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
    )
    
  145. pivots_15m_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 16:15:00
        [price] => 314.38
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  146. pivots_15m_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 17:00:00
        [price] => 307.9
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  147. pivots_15m_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 17:15:00
        [price] => 312.74
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  148. pivots_15m_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 19:30:00
        [price] => 305.73
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  149. pivots_15m_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 21:00:00
        [price] => 309.38
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  150. pivots_15m_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 22:00:00
        [price] => 306.54
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  151. pivots_15m_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 23:00:00
        [price] => 311.2
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  152. pivots_15m_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-29 01:30:00
        [price] => 302.54
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  153. pivots_15m_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-29 01:45:00
        [price] => 305.75
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  154. pivots_15m_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-29 03:30:00
        [price] => 306.96
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  155. pivots_15m_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-29 04:00:00
        [price] => 303.92
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  156. pivots_15m_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-29 05:15:00
        [price] => 307.12
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  157. pivots_15m_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-29 05:30:00
        [price] => 304
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  158. pivots_15m_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-29 08:15:00
        [price] => 313.34
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  159. pivots_15m_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-29 08:30:00
        [price] => 309.8
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  160. pivots_15m_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-29 12:15:00
        [price] => 313.91
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  161. pivots_15m_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-29 14:15:00
        [price] => 309.97
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  162. pivots_15m_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-29 14:45:00
        [price] => 312.71
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  163. bos_level_long : 0
  164. bos_level_short : 306.5
  165. strategy_details
  166. levels_hl_price:
    302.54
  167. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-09-29 01:00:00
  168. levels_hh_price:
    314.38
  169. levels_lh_price:
    314.38
  170. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-09-28 16:00:00
  171. levels_ll_price:
    302.54
  172. strategy_details
  173. demand_zone_top:
    303.29
  174. demand_zone_bottom:
    302.54
  175. demand_zone_mid:
    302.915
  176. demand_zone_freshness: tested
  177. demand_zone_strength:
    0.505
  178. strategy_details
  179. supply_zone_top:
    315.72
  180. supply_zone_bottom:
    314.66
  181. supply_zone_mid:
    315.19
  182. supply_zone_freshness: fresh
  183. supply_zone_strength:
    0.4959
  184. ¸
  185. regimes
  186. 1H : bear_high
  187. 15m : range_medium
  188. ¸

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down
Confidence 46%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.120
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-0.409
Low Δ ATR
-1.208

Current Swing

Amp ATR
2.804
Speed
0.312
Efficiency
0.307

Structure

Retracement
1.503
Extension
1.284
Compression
1.009
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-1.022
Dist High ATR
-1.382
Dist Low ATR
2.230
27 pivots · 26 swings · Last pivot: ↓ 302.5400 @ bar 135

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_fading
Confidence 48%

Context

phase transition
structure bearish_transition
breakout breakout_retest
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion medium
momentum fading
volatility compression
risk discount
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.263
Strength Score 0.443
Quality Score 0.348
Cleanliness Score 0.219
Structural Quality 0.454
Pullback Score 1.000
Exhaustion Score 0.382
Continuation Score 0.366
Structure Score 0.254
Volatility Expansion 0.000
Momentum Type Score 0.379
Risk Score 0.163
Features
Ema20 Slope
0.040
Ema50 Slope
-0.060
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-0.315
Price Vs Ema50
-2.005
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.250
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.750
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
14.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.562
Trend Efficiency
0.307
Impulse Strength
2.804
Directional Candle Ratio
0.550
Pullback Depth Ratio
1.503
Pullback Depth Atr
2.478
Extension From Mean
-2.005
Impulse Decay Score
0.358
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.252
Volatility Percentile
0.000
Volatility Delta
-0.390
Body Ratio
0.365
Closes Position Ratio
0.478
Slope Consistency
0.000
Range Position
0.163
Distance To Recent High
-13.283
Distance To Recent Low
2.579
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
1.000
Post Break Hl Count
0.000

Orderbook Context

↓ ask ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6875ms Confidence avant OB : 72% → 79%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.188
avg -0.161 ± 0.022
OBI Top 10 -0.082

Microstructure

Mid Price
308.9450
Micro Price
308.9412
Spread
0.0032%

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
309.0000
Size
2,692.01

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
308.71 314.7078 293.7154 2.5 306.61
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 308.71
  • Stop Loss: 314.7078
  • Take Profit: 293.7154

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 314.7078 - 308.71 = 5.9978

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 308.71 - 293.7154 = 14.9946

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 14.9946 / 5.9978 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
411.7617 100 1.3338 4.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 5.9978

Taille de position = 8 / 5.9978 = 1.33

Taille de position USD = 1.33 x 308.71 = 410.58

Donc, tu peux acheter 1.33 avec un stoploss a 314.7078

Avec un position size USD de 410.58$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1.33 x 5.9978 = 7.98

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.98$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1.33 x 14.9946 = 19.94

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.94$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1.33
  • Taille de position USD 410.58
  • Perte potentielle 7.98
  • Gain potentiel 19.94
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
4.86 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.94 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -1.94
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.9565 % 100.7 % 41
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
308.71 314.7078 293.7154 2.5 306.61
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 308.71
  • Stop Loss: 314.7078
  • Take Profit: 293.7154

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 314.7078 - 308.71 = 5.9978

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 308.71 - 293.7154 = 14.9946

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 14.9946 / 5.9978 = 2.5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BosPullback (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -1.943% (5.9978)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.069% 0.6R -0.217% 0.1R 4.9× 12
2h +1.069% 0.6R -0.217% 0.1R 4.9× 24
4h ★ +1.940% 1.0R -0.217% 0.1R 8.9× 48
8h +1.940% 1.0R -0.765% 0.4R 2.5× 96
12h +1.940% 1.0R -0.765% 0.4R 2.5× 144

computed 3 hours ago

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