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Long Trade on AAVE

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29 Sep 2026 at 11:15:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on AAVE (momentum_rotation_score)

With 0.73 AAVE at 173.1$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 162.1731 (6.31 %)

AAVE LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 11:15 → 14:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 173.1$

Qty 0.7321 AAVE

Size 126.7335$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 126.73$

SL 162.1731 (-6.31%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -3.44% / -4.36$ MAE -4.59% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 29 Sep 14:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 164996)
#3 / 84 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 11:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9821

Quality Score
0.825
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
33.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 11:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#3 / 84 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.31 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#3 / 84 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.31 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear —
1d clear 1.60×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

29/09 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

29/09 10:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4373
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 73.9%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : broad_risk_on
Leadership : alts
% Positive (universe)
15m 30.8%
1h 53.9%
4h 67.7%
24h 89.2%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 44.6% -0.07%
4h 73.9% +0.76%
24h 81.5% +4.00%
Dispersion : 0.222
Universe : 65 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 29/09 11:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5380
Score SMA
0.5921
Rank
#64 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2841
Rank Norm SMA
0.3698
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6885 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.37% · r3d: -2.75% · ema21_slope: 1.1296% · dist_ema21: 7.070%
Force Relative 25% 0.5402 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.21% · rs_3d: -2.03% · beta_24h: 1.367
Volume 20% 0.3898 rvol_20: 1.16× · zscore_50: 0.081 · trend: 9.57%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7893 ADX: 35.3 (trend) · Chop: 38.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.397% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.8245
Score SMA
0.5634
Rank
#3 / 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9821
Rank Norm SMA
0.5265
Calculé le
29/09/2026 11:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9158 r1h: 0.582% · r4h: 3.599% · r1d: 20.08% · r3d: 12.15% · ema21_slope: 0.6943% · dist_ema21: 8.448%
Force Relative 25% 0.8577 rs_1h: 1.135% · rs_4h: 3.911% · rs_1d: 19.21% · rs_3d: 12.47% · beta_24h: 1.379
Volume 20% 0.5369 rvol_20: 1.11× · zscore_50: 0.589 · trend: 101.86%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8528 ADX: 42.3 (trend) · Chop: 14.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.110% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.8803
Score SMA
0.6017
Rank
#2 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9824
Rank Norm SMA
0.5477
Calculé le
29/09/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8670 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 4.462% · r1d: 15.90% · r3d: 10.93% · ema21_slope: 0.0967% · dist_ema21: 11.942%
Force Relative 25% 0.9230 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 4.014% · rs_1d: 14.40% · rs_3d: 10.72% · beta_24h: 3.586
Volume 20% 0.9617 rvol_20: 4.04× · zscore_50: 2.425 · trend: 109.10%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7053 ADX: 24.6 (weak) · Chop: 26.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.9131 ATR%: 3.261% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.313% (10.9269)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -3.125% 0.5R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -3.732% 0.6R 0.0× 24
3h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -4.587% 0.7R 0.0× 36
4h +0.000% 0.0R -5.130% 0.8R 0.0× 48
8h +0.000% 0.0R -5.130% 0.8R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -7.943% 1.3R 0.0× 144

computed 5 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 40% mid — — 0.69 bull_high +12.96% +0.70 27/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
65%
noisy_chop 38% late — — 0.56 bull_high +2.69% +0.75 29/09 04:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate fading volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
58%
ranging_calm 53% late — — 0.50 range_medium -0.18% +0.92 29/09 10:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate fading compression bull_high
59%
noisy_chop 40% late — — 0.67 range_low -0.02% +0.51 29/09 10:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
166873 		↔ neutral bull_high
63%
mid 12b 0.9ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.558

—

—

1.16 above_value +0.12 ATR — #92614 27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:20
4h
172326 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
65%
late 5b 3.2ATR noisy_chop 38% 0.370

—

—

4.04 above_value +4.54 ATR inside #94991 29/09 04:00
upd 29/09 08:14
1h anchor
173610 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
58%
late 12b 3.2ATR ranging_calm 53% 0.339

—

—

1.11 above_value +5.36 ATR — #95585 29/09 10:00
upd 29/09 11:09
15m
173536 		↑ up bull_high
59%
late 43b 1.5ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.361

—

—

0.82 above_value +6.57 ATR — #95415 29/09 10:45
upd 29/09 11:01
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 12b — 3.801×ATR p52 +0.919×ATR p49
4h ↑ up late 5b — 4.884×ATR p77 +3.233×ATR p97
1h ↑ up late 12b — 7.71×ATR p95 +3.152×ATR p98
15m ↑ up late 43b — 13.424×ATR p100 +1.548×ATR p63

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 162.17313566
  2. atr: 3.64228811
  3. expires_at: 2026-09-29T18:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 3
  2. total: 85
  3. score: 0.9158
  4. confidence: 0.976

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
173.1 162.1731 158.86
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 173.1
  • Stop Loss: 162.1731
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 162.1731 - 173.1 = -10.9269

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 173.1 - = 173.1

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 173.1 / -10.9269 = -15.8416

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
126.7335 100 0.7321 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -10.9269

Taille de position = 8 / -10.9269 = -0.73

Taille de position USD = -0.73 x 173.1 = -126.36

Donc, tu peux acheter -0.73 avec un stoploss a 162.1731

Avec un position size USD de -126.36$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -0.73 x -10.9269 = 7.98

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.98$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -0.73 x 173.1 = -126.36

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -126.36$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -0.73
  • Taille de position USD -126.36
  • Perte potentielle 7.98
  • Gain potentiel -126.36
  • Risk-Reward Ratio -15.8416

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 126.73 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.31 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-4.36 $ -3.44
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.5869 % 72.66 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
173.1 162.1731 158.86
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 173.1
  • Stop Loss: 162.1731
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 162.1731 - 173.1 = -10.9269

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 173.1 - = 173.1

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 173.1 / -10.9269 = -15.8416

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 173.1
            [stop_loss] => 161.08041
            [rr_ratio] => 14.4
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-29 15:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 173.1
            [stop_loss] => 159.98772
            [rr_ratio] => 13.2
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-29 15:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 173.1
            [stop_loss] => 158.89503
            [rr_ratio] => 12.19
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-29 15:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 173.1
            [stop_loss] => 156.70965
            [rr_ratio] => 10.56
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-29 15:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.313% (10.9269)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -3.125% 0.5R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -3.732% 0.6R 0.0× 24
3h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -4.587% 0.7R 0.0× 36
4h +0.000% 0.0R -5.130% 0.8R 0.0× 48
8h +0.000% 0.0R -5.130% 0.8R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -7.943% 1.3R 0.0× 144

computed 5 hours ago

Commentaires

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