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Short Trade on NIL

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29 Sep 2026 at 11:15:06 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_score)

With 1115.61 NIL at 0.0794$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08662 (9.02 %)

NIL SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 11:15 → 14:10 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.07945$

Qty 1115.6107 NIL

Size 88.6386$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 88.64$

SL 0.08662 (-9.02%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status win PnL +0.30% / +0.27$ MAE -1.62% MFE +2.96% 0.3R expires 29 Sep 14:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 165041)
#69 / 84 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 11:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1793

Quality Score
0.483
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 11:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#69 / 84 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.02 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#69 / 84 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.02 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.26×ATR
4h near -1.31×ATR
1d clear 2.80×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

29/09 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

29/09 10:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4373
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 -2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 73.9%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : broad_risk_on
Leadership : alts
% Positive (universe)
15m 30.8%
1h 53.9%
4h 67.7%
24h 89.2%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 44.6% -0.07%
4h 73.9% +0.76%
24h 81.5% +4.00%
Dispersion : 0.222
Universe : 65 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 29/09 11:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5750
Score SMA
0.6900
Rank
#49 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4545
Rank Norm SMA
0.7101
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7143 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -11.25% · r3d: -24.58% · ema21_slope: 6.8745% · dist_ema21: 17.106%
Force Relative 25% 0.5000 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -10.09% · rs_3d: -23.85% · beta_24h: 0.671
Volume 20% 0.5018 rvol_20: 0.96× · zscore_50: 0.420 · trend: 129.64%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9021 ADX: 48.2 (trend) · Chop: 4.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 17.707% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.4832
Score SMA
0.4857
Rank
#69 / 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1793
Rank Norm SMA
0.3078
Calculé le
29/09/2026 11:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1657 r1h: -3.752% · r4h: -1.926% · r1d: -6.30% · r3d: -26.41% · ema21_slope: -0.3547% · dist_ema21: -4.910%
Force Relative 25% 0.1267 rs_1h: -3.199% · rs_4h: -1.614% · rs_1d: -7.17% · rs_3d: -26.09% · beta_24h: 3.454
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 5.33× · zscore_50: 3.300 · trend: 112.61%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7542 ADX: 38.5 (trend) · Chop: 46.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.9155 ATR%: 3.254% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.4027
Score SMA
0.5482
Rank
#83 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0176
Rank Norm SMA
0.4475
Calculé le
29/09/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4432 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.888% · r1d: -2.48% · r3d: -22.36% · ema21_slope: -1.0370% · dist_ema21: -10.250%
Force Relative 25% 0.4097 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.440% · rs_1d: -3.98% · rs_3d: -22.56% · beta_24h: 5.693
Volume 20% 0.3829 rvol_20: 1.64× · zscore_50: -0.187 · trend: -39.82%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6052 ADX: 25.6 (trend) · Chop: 51.5 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.327% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -9.025% (0.0072)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.963% 0.3R -1.527% 0.2R 1.9× 12
2h +2.963% 0.3R -1.527% 0.2R 1.9× 24
3h ★ +2.963% 0.3R -1.624% 0.2R 1.8× 36
4h +2.963% 0.3R -4.745% 0.5R 0.6× 48
8h +2.963% 0.3R -4.745% 0.5R 0.6× 96
12h +2.963% 0.3R -4.745% 0.5R 0.6× 144
⏱ MFE in 19 min MAE in 179 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 7 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.93
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 46% early — — 0.31 bull_high +12.96% +1.00 27/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range strong grind compression bull_high
50%
noisy_chop 47% late near -1.3ATR — 0.11 bull_high +2.69% -1.00 29/09 04:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading normal bear_high_confirmed
52%
noisy_chop 41% mid — — 0.11 range_medium -0.18% -0.76 29/09 10:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
53%
noisy_chop 39% mid — — 0.37 range_low -0.02% -0.25 29/09 10:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
167062 		↑ up bull_high
64%
early 4b 0.7ATR noisy_chop 46% 0.824

—

—

0.96 below_value -9.44 ATR — #92660 27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:29
4h
172448 		↔ neutral bull_high
50%
late 23b -1.4ATR noisy_chop 47% 0.617

near -1.3ATR

—

1.64 below_value -12.19 ATR — #95036 29/09 04:00
upd 29/09 08:21
1h anchor
173655 		↓ down bear_high_confirmed
52%
mid 3b -1.6ATR noisy_chop 41% 0.756

—

—

5.33 below_value -13.31 ATR — #95629 29/09 10:00
upd 29/09 11:11
15m
173576 		↓ down bear_high_confirmed
53%
mid 2b -1.3ATR noisy_chop 39% 0.419

—

—

0.13 below_value -13.17 ATR — #95460 29/09 10:45
upd 29/09 11:03
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 4b — 3.947×ATR p42 +0.673×ATR p49
4h ↓ down late 23b — 7.103×ATR p85 -1.417×ATR p67
1h ↓ down mid 3b — 2.092×ATR p35 -1.584×ATR p62
15m ↑ up mid 2b — 1.674×ATR p10 -1.327×ATR p61

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.08662396
  2. atr: 0.00239032
  3. expires_at: 2026-09-29T18:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 85
  2. total: 85
  3. score: 0.1616
  4. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.07945 0.08662 0.0851
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.07945
  • Stop Loss: 0.08662
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.08662 - 0.07945 = 0.00717

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.07945 - = 0.07945

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.07945 / 0.00717 = 11.0809

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
88.6386 88.6386 1115.6107 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00717

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00717 = 1115.76

Taille de position USD = 1115.76 x 0.07945 = 88.65

Donc, tu peux acheter 1115.76 avec un stoploss a 0.08662

Avec un position size USD de 88.65$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1115.76 x 0.00717 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1115.76 x 0.07945 = 88.65

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 88.65$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1115.76
  • Taille de position USD 88.65
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 88.65
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 11.0809

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 88.64 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
9.02 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
0.27 $ 0.30
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.5267 % 16.92 % 4
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.07945 0.08662 0.0851
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.07945
  • Stop Loss: 0.08662
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.08662 - 0.07945 = 0.00717

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.07945 - = 0.07945

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.07945 / 0.00717 = 11.0809

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -9.025% (0.0072)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.963% 0.3R -1.527% 0.2R 1.9× 12
2h +2.963% 0.3R -1.527% 0.2R 1.9× 24
3h ★ +2.963% 0.3R -1.624% 0.2R 1.8× 36
4h +2.963% 0.3R -4.745% 0.5R 0.6× 48
8h +2.963% 0.3R -4.745% 0.5R 0.6× 96
12h +2.963% 0.3R -4.745% 0.5R 0.6× 144
⏱ MFE in 19 min MAE in 179 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 7 hours ago

Commentaires

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