29 Sep 2026 at 11:15:11 hyperliquid

Long Trade on SKY (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 1714.34 SKY at 0.0853$ per unit. Take profit: 0.0874 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08061 (5.46 %)

SKY LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 11:15 → 14:30 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 0.08527$

Qty 1714.3359 SKY

Size 146.1849$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.0874 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.65$

SL 0.08061 (-5.46%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.46

Status win PnL +2.50% / +3.65$ MAE -4.30% MFE +2.57% 0.5R expires 29 Sep 17:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 165045)
#13 / 84 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 11:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7859

Quality Score
0.673
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
92 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 11:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#13 / 84 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.46 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#13 / 84 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.46 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.59×ATR
4h near 0.50×ATR
1d clear 0.61×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

29/09 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

29/09 10:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4373
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 73.9%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : broad_risk_on
Leadership : alts
% Positive (universe)
15m 30.8%
1h 53.9%
4h 67.7%
24h 89.2%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 44.6% -0.07%
4h 73.9% +0.76%
24h 81.5% +4.00%
Dispersion : 0.222
Universe : 65 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 29/09 11:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6797
Score SMA
0.6133
Rank
#26 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7159
Rank Norm SMA
0.5713
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7265 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.48% · r3d: 2.74% · ema21_slope: 1.0833% · dist_ema21: 11.330%
Force Relative 25% 0.6177 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.32% · rs_3d: 3.46% · beta_24h: 1.108
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 5.71× · zscore_50: 5.648 · trend: 288.22%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7157 ADX: 25.9 (trend) · Chop: 29.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.420% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.6728
Score SMA
0.5998
Rank
#13 / 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7859
Rank Norm SMA
0.6543
Calculé le
29/09/2026 11:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8308 r1h: 2.004% · r4h: 2.531% · r1d: 11.24% · r3d: 11.34% · ema21_slope: 0.2718% · dist_ema21: 5.941%
Force Relative 25% 0.8879 rs_1h: 2.556% · rs_4h: 2.842% · rs_1d: 10.37% · rs_3d: 11.66% · beta_24h: 1.512
Volume 20% 0.1803 rvol_20: 0.32× · zscore_50: -0.676 · trend: -30.93%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6942 ADX: 23.3 (weak) · Chop: 37.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.163% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.6608
Score SMA
0.6491
Rank
#19 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8353
Rank Norm SMA
0.7251
Calculé le
29/09/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8479 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.335% · r1d: 3.47% · r3d: 6.23% · ema21_slope: 0.3143% · dist_ema21: 6.126%
Force Relative 25% 0.7391 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.887% · rs_1d: 1.97% · rs_3d: 6.03% · beta_24h: 1.427
Volume 20% 0.2746 rvol_20: 0.46× · zscore_50: -0.121 · trend: 12.00%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7040 ADX: 26.9 (trend) · Chop: 40.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.6112 ATR%: 4.166% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.465% (0.0047)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.509% 0.3R -1.930% 0.4R 0.8× 12
2h +1.580% 0.3R -1.930% 0.4R 0.8× 24
4h +2.570% 0.5R -1.930% 0.4R 1.3× 48
6h ★ +2.570% 0.5R -4.303% 0.8R 0.6× 72
8h +2.570% 0.5R -5.969% 1.1R 0.4× 96
12h +2.570% 0.5R -5.969% 1.1R 0.4× 144

computed 12 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.02
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
56%
noisy_chop 39% mid — — 0.57 bull_high +12.96% +0.74 27/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 37% mid — near 0.5ATR 0.40 bull_high +2.69% +0.57 29/09 04:00
1h ↑ up transition bearish_transition moderate grind normal bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 46% late — near -0.6ATR 0.35 range_medium -0.18% +0.67 29/09 10:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive expansion_after_compression bull_high
68%
noisy_chop 50% late — near -0.4ATR 0.37 range_low -0.02% +0.48 29/09 10:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
167083
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
56%
mid 12b 1.2ATR noisy_chop 39% 0.659

—

—

5.71 above_value +0.67 ATR — #92665 27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:30
4h
172463
↑ up bull_high
56%
mid 3b 1.2ATR noisy_chop 37% 0.714

—

near 0.5ATR

0.46 value +3.01 ATR — #95041 29/09 04:00
upd 29/09 08:21
1h anchor
173660
↑ up bull_high
63%
late 18b 2.6ATR noisy_chop 46% 0.588

—

near -0.6ATR

0.32 above_value +4.77 ATR — #95634 29/09 10:00
upd 29/09 11:11
15m
173579
↑ up bull_high
68%
late 5b 2.5ATR noisy_chop 50% 0.719

—

near -0.4ATR

0.18 value +3.14 ATR — #95465 29/09 10:45
upd 29/09 11:03
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 12b — 3.964×ATR p53 +1.236×ATR p71
4h ↑ up mid 3b — 1.918×ATR p0 +1.193×ATR p62
1h ↑ up late 18b — 5.086×ATR p90 +2.638×ATR p93
15m ↑ up late 5b — 3.125×ATR p56 +2.483×ATR p90

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.08060547
  2. tp_price: 0.0874038
  3. atr: 0.00186661
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-29T21:15:11+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 8
  2. total: 85
  3. score: 0.7771
  4. delta_2h: 0.0189
  5. extension_atr: 1.86
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.7844
  9. confidence: 0.917

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.08527 0.08061 0.0874 0.46 0.07821
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.08527
  • Stop Loss: 0.08061
  • Take Profit: 0.0874

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.08061 - 0.08527 = -0.00466

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.08527 - 0.0874 = -0.00213

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00213 / -0.00466 = 0.4571

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
146.1849 100 1714.3359 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00466

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00466 = -1716.74

Taille de position USD = -1716.74 x 0.08527 = -146.39

Donc, tu peux acheter -1716.74 avec un stoploss a 0.08061

Avec un position size USD de -146.39$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -1716.74 x -0.00466 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -1716.74 x -0.00213 = 3.66

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.66$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -1716.74
  • Taille de position USD -146.39
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.66
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4571

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.65 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.46 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
3.65 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.9303 % 35.32 % 8
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.08527 0.08061 0.0874 0.46 0.07821
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.08527
  • Stop Loss: 0.08061
  • Take Profit: 0.0874

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.08061 - 0.08527 = -0.00466

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.08527 - 0.0874 = -0.00213

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00213 / -0.00466 = 0.4571

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.465% (0.0047)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.509% 0.3R -1.930% 0.4R 0.8× 12
2h +1.580% 0.3R -1.930% 0.4R 0.8× 24
4h +2.570% 0.5R -1.930% 0.4R 1.3× 48
6h ★ +2.570% 0.5R -4.303% 0.8R 0.6× 72
8h +2.570% 0.5R -5.969% 1.1R 0.4× 96
12h +2.570% 0.5R -5.969% 1.1R 0.4× 144

computed 12 hours ago

Commentaires

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