Short Trade on ZEC

Previous Trade Next Trade

29 Sep 2026 at 11:15:11 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ZEC (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 0.12 ZEC at 1425.7$ per unit. Take profit: 1390.0575 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1494.2209 (4.81 %)

ZEC SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 11:15 → 11:20 · 4 minutes

Position

Entry 1425.7$

Qty 0.1168 ZEC

Size 166.4544$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 1390.0575 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.16$

SL 1494.2209 (-4.81%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.52

Status win PnL +2.50% / +4.16$ MAE -0.94% MFE +3.69% 0.8R expires 29 Sep 17:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 165050)

#83 / 84 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 11:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2123

Quality Score

0.417

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

99 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

731.1M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 11:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#83 / 84 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

99 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.81 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#83 / 84 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

99 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.81 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	2.54×ATR
4h	clear	4.86×ATR
1d	clear	7.64×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↑ up	late	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 29/09 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/09 10:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

29/09 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/09 10:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4373

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	-2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	range	range	0.25	0
Micro	range	range	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 73.9%

Impulse : +0.00

Participation : broad_risk_on

Leadership : alts

% Positive (universe)

15m	30.8%
1h	53.9%
4h	67.7%
24h	89.2%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	44.6%	-0.07%
4h	73.9%	+0.76%
24h	81.5%	+4.00%

Dispersion : 0.222

Universe : 65 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 29/09 11:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5772

Score SMA

0.6284

Rank

#46 / 89

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.4886

Rank Norm SMA

0.5333

Calculé le

28/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6887	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -6.60% · r3d: -4.67% · ema21_slope: 2.3279% · dist_ema21: 7.286%
Force Relative	25%	0.5521	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -5.44% · rs_3d: -3.95% · beta_24h: 1.343
Volume	20%	0.4283	rvol_20: 1.04× · zscore_50: 0.732 · trend: 20.26%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.9796	ADX: 59.4 (trend) · Chop: 40.1 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 9.053% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/09/2026 11:00

Score brut

0.4167

Score SMA

0.5427

Rank

#83 / 84

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2123

Rank Norm SMA

0.4875

Calculé le

29/09/2026 11:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3060	r1h: -1.407% · r4h: 1.155% · r1d: -6.49% · r3d: -7.36% · ema21_slope: -0.2683% · dist_ema21: -0.741%
Force Relative	25%	0.3443	rs_1h: -0.855% · rs_4h: 1.467% · rs_1d: -7.35% · rs_3d: -7.04% · beta_24h: 2.888
Volume	20%	0.2071	rvol_20: 0.42× · zscore_50: -0.593 · trend: -15.08%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6727	ADX: 34.4 (trend) · Chop: 52.2 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.976% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/09/2026 08:00

Score brut

0.4754

Score SMA

0.5609

Rank

#72 / 86

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2059

Rank Norm SMA

0.4445

Calculé le

29/09/2026 08:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5119	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.790% · r1d: -7.62% · r3d: -6.02% · ema21_slope: -0.3102% · dist_ema21: -4.663%
Force Relative	25%	0.3401	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.342% · rs_1d: -9.12% · rs_3d: -6.22% · beta_24h: 3.592
Volume	20%	0.3418	rvol_20: 0.94× · zscore_50: -0.291 · trend: 17.69%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6762	ADX: 21.1 (weak) · Chop: 30.6 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.6697	ATR%: 3.991% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.806% (68.5209)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+3.689%	0.8R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+3.689%	0.8R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	24
4h	+3.689%	0.8R	-0.940%	0.2R	3.9×	48
6h ★	+3.689%	0.8R	-0.940%	0.2R	3.9×	72
8h	+3.689%	0.8R	-0.940%	0.2R	3.9×	96
12h	+3.689%	0.8R	-0.940%	0.2R	3.9×	144

computed 14 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 1.88

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	volatile_reversal	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 38%	late	—	—	0.56	bull_high	+12.96%	+0.93	27/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	expansion	bull_high	53%	noisy_chop 43%	late	—	—	0.53	bull_high	+2.69%	-0.55	29/09 04:00
1h	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 39%	mid	—	near 0.3ATR	0.33	range_medium	-0.18%	-0.45	29/09 10:00
15m	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	explosive	expansion	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 35%	early	—	—	0.65	range_low	-0.02%	+0.14	29/09 10:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 167103	↑ up	bull_high	58%	late 61b 0.7ATR	noisy_chop 38%	0.610	— —	1.04	below_value	-2.64 ATR	—	#92671	27/09 20:00 upd 28/09 20:31
4h 172478	↔ neutral	bull_high	53%	late 15b -1.2ATR	noisy_chop 43%	0.774	— —	0.94	below_value	-4.58 ATR	—	#95046	29/09 04:00 upd 29/09 08:22
1h anchor 173665	↓ down	bear_high	58%	mid 10b -0.4ATR	noisy_chop 39%	0.295	— near 0.3ATR	0.42	below_value	-4.11 ATR	—	#95639	29/09 10:00 upd 29/09 11:12
15m 173582	↔ neutral	bear_high	59%	early 4b 0.0ATR	noisy_chop 35%	0.666	— —	0.37	below_value	-4.00 ATR	—	#95470	29/09 10:45 upd 29/09 11:04
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	late	61b	—	7.686×ATR	p93	+0.652×ATR	p29
4h	↓ down	late	15b	—	4.234×ATR	p83	-1.224×ATR	p62
1h	↑ up	mid	10b	—	2.781×ATR	p54	-0.355×ATR	p14
15m	↓ down	early	4b	—	1.759×ATR	p4	+0.032×ATR	p2

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 1494.22088367
tp_price: 1390.0575
atr: 27.40835347
expires_at: 2026-09-29T21:15:11+00:00

Details

rank: 84
total: 85
score: 0.3055
delta_2h: -0.0031
extension_atr: -0.63
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2123
confidence: 0.988

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
1425.7	1494.2209	1390.0575	0.52	1437.5

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 1425.7
Stop Loss: 1494.2209
Take Profit: 1390.0575

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 1494.2209 - 1425.7 = 68.5209
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 1425.7 - 1390.0575 = 35.6425
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 35.6425 / 68.5209 = 0.5202

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
166.4544	100	0.1168	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 68.5209

Taille de position = 8 / 68.5209 = 0.12

Taille de position USD = 0.12 x 1425.7 = 171.08

Donc, tu peux acheter 0.12 avec un stoploss a 1494.2209

Avec un position size USD de 171.08$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 0.12 x 68.5209 = 8.22

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.22$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 0.12 x 35.6425 = 4.28

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.28$

Résumé

Taille de position 0.12
Taille de position USD 171.08
Perte potentielle 8.22
Gain potentiel 4.28
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5202

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	4.16 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.81 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
4.16 $	2.50

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
0 %	0 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
1425.7	1494.2209	1390.0575	0.52	1437.5

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 1425.7
Stop Loss: 1494.2209
Take Profit: 1390.0575

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 1494.2209 - 1425.7 = 68.5209
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 1425.7 - 1390.0575 = 35.6425
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 35.6425 / 68.5209 = 0.5202

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.806% (68.5209)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+3.689%	0.8R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+3.689%	0.8R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	24
4h	+3.689%	0.8R	-0.940%	0.2R	3.9×	48
6h ★	+3.689%	0.8R	-0.940%	0.2R	3.9×	72
8h	+3.689%	0.8R	-0.940%	0.2R	3.9×	96
12h	+3.689%	0.8R	-0.940%	0.2R	3.9×	144

computed 14 hours ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.