Long Trade on AAVE (CatchTheWave)
With 4.2 AAVE at 170.83$ per unit. Take profit: 174.6431 (2.23 %) & Stop Loss: 168.9234 (1.12 %)
Long Trade on AAVE (CatchTheWave)
With 4.2 AAVE at 170.83$ per unit. Take profit: 174.6431 (2.23 %) & Stop Loss: 168.9234 (1.12 %)
Position
Entry 170.83$
Qty 4.196 AAVE
Size 716.8104$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 174.6431 (+2.23%)
TP $ 16$
SL 168.9234 (-1.12%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9821
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.60×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.474903 15m : 0.593615 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 29/09 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 29/09 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
| 15m | 15.4% |
| 1h | 3.1% |
| 4h | 29.2% |
| 24h | 76.9% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 16.9% | -0.58% |
| 4h | 43.1% | -1.15% |
| 24h | 75.4% | +2.30% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6885 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.37% · r3d: -2.75% · ema21_slope: 1.1296% · dist_ema21: 7.070% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5402 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.21% · rs_3d: -2.03% · beta_24h: 1.367 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3898 | rvol_20: 1.16× · zscore_50: 0.081 · trend: 9.57% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7893 | ADX: 35.3 (trend) · Chop: 38.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.397% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9158 | r1h: 0.582% · r4h: 3.599% · r1d: 20.08% · r3d: 12.15% · ema21_slope: 0.6943% · dist_ema21: 8.448% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8577 | rs_1h: 1.135% · rs_4h: 3.911% · rs_1d: 19.21% · rs_3d: 12.47% · beta_24h: 1.379 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5369 | rvol_20: 1.11× · zscore_50: 0.589 · trend: 101.86% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8528 | ADX: 42.3 (trend) · Chop: 14.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.110% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8670 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 4.462% · r1d: 15.90% · r3d: 10.93% · ema21_slope: 0.0967% · dist_ema21: 11.942% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.9230 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 4.014% · rs_1d: 14.40% · rs_3d: 10.72% · beta_24h: 3.586 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9617 | rvol_20: 4.04× · zscore_50: 2.425 · trend: 109.10% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7053 | ADX: 24.6 (weak) · Chop: 26.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9131 | ATR%: 3.261% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.662% | 0.6R | -1.838% | 1.7R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.662% | 0.6R | -2.453% | 2.2R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.662% | 0.6R | -3.869% | 3.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.662% | 0.6R | -3.869% | 3.5R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.662% | 0.6R | -6.749% | 6.1R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 16 hours ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.69 | bull_high | +12.96% | +0.70 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.56 | bull_high | +2.69% | +0.75 | 29/09 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
ranging_calm 53% | late | — | — | 0.50 | range_medium | -0.18% | +0.92 | 29/09 10:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.67 | range_low | -0.39% | +0.42 | 29/09 11:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
166873 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
63%
|
mid 12b 0.9ATR | noisy_chop 40% | 0.558 |
— — |
1.16 | above_value | +0.12 ATR | — | #92614 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:20
|
|
4h
172326 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
late 5b 3.2ATR | noisy_chop 38% | 0.370 |
— — |
4.04 | above_value | +4.54 ATR | inside | #94991 |
29/09 04:00
upd 29/09 08:14
|
|
1h
anchor
173610 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
late 12b 3.2ATR | ranging_calm 53% | 0.339 |
— — |
1.11 | above_value | +5.36 ATR | — | #95585 |
29/09 10:00
upd 29/09 11:09
|
|
15m
173696 |
↑ up | bull_high |
66%
|
early 2b 0.8ATR | noisy_chop 41% | 0.608 |
— — |
1.45 | above_value | +5.36 ATR | — | #95585 |
29/09 11:00
upd 29/09 11:16
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 3.801×ATR | p52 | +0.919×ATR | p49 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 4.884×ATR | p77 | +3.233×ATR | p97 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 7.71×ATR | p95 | +3.152×ATR | p98 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.696×ATR | p12 | +0.765×ATR | p33 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
84003.9
-0.0104864
83123
0.474903
83619.5
-0.004108
83276
0.593615
83909.2
-0.00361457
83606
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146.05
186
0.6414
0.5385
0.3514
0.2807
0.4092
0.8243
0.6545
0.4352
0.3963
0.892
0.698
0.9063
0.3683
0.1923
1
2.7847
4.3024
0.55
0.45
-1
25
1
0.4385
0.5077
2.0626
0.65
0.8243
1.6394
4.3024
0.6106
0.2412
0.82
0.4093
0.6254
0.5948
0.811
0.9063
-0.8108
7.839
1
0
2
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:24 | 170.83000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 11:34 | 170.43000000 | -0.234% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 09:55:00 | 165.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 10:55:00 | 169.17 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 11:35:00 | 173.33 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 12:05:00 | 170.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 12:30:00 | 174.55 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 12:45:00 | 171.82 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 13:25:00 | 175.64 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 13:45:00 | 172.28 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 14:40:00 | 176.23 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 15:20:00 | 170.83 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 14:30:00 | 147.56 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 14:45:00 | 144.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 15:15:00 | 144.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 17:15:00 | 150.27 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 19:30:00 | 146.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 21:00:00 | 148.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 22:00:00 | 145.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 00:30:00 | 149.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 02:30:00 | 146.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 14:30:00 | 176.23 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 20:00:00 | 152.66 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 04:00:00 | 154.02 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 07:00:00 | 157.57 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 15:00:00 | 151.69 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 18:00:00 | 156.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 00:00:00 | 156.51 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 13:00:00 | 151.03 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 14:00:00 | 144.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 22:00:00 | 145.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 14:00:00 | 176.23 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 170.83 | 168.9234 | 174.6431 | 2 | 164.92 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 168.9234 - 170.83 = -1.9066
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 170.83 - 174.6431 = -3.8131
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.8131 / -1.9066 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 716.8104 | 100 | 4.196 | 7.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.9066 = -4.2
Taille de position USD = -4.2 x 170.83 = -717.49
Donc, tu peux acheter -4.2 avec un stoploss a 168.9234
Avec un position size USD de -717.49$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4.2 x -1.9066 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4.2 x -3.8131 = 16.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.23 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.12 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.12 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.8381 % | 164.69 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 170.83 | 168.9234 | 174.6431 | 2 | 164.92 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 168.9234 - 170.83 = -1.9066
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 170.83 - 174.6431 = -3.8131
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.8131 / -1.9066 = 1.9999
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.662% | 0.6R | -1.838% | 1.7R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.662% | 0.6R | -2.453% | 2.2R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.662% | 0.6R | -3.869% | 3.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.662% | 0.6R | -3.869% | 3.5R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.662% | 0.6R | -6.749% | 6.1R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 16 hours ago
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