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Long Trade on PUMP

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29 Sep 2026 at 12:15:08 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 14884 PUMP at 0.00577$ per unit. Take profit: 0.005914 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.005233 (9.31 %)

PUMP LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 12:15 → 14:40 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.00577$

Qty 14883.9978 PUMP

Size 85.8807$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.005914 (+2.5%)

TP $ 2.14$

SL 0.005233 (-9.31%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.27

Status win PnL +2.50% / +2.14$ MAE -3.26% MFE +4.56% 0.5R expires 29 Sep 18:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 165126)
#6 / 83 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 12:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8884

Quality Score
0.743
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
298.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 12:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#6 / 83 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.31 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#6 / 83 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.31 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near -1.57×ATR
1d clear 0.59×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late OK
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

29/09 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

29/09 10:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4377
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 29.2%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : alt_capitulation
Leadership : btc
% Positive (universe)
15m 50.0%
1h 0.0%
4h 18.8%
24h 65.6%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 48.4% +0.01%
4h 29.7% -2.40%
24h 67.2% +1.29%
Dispersion : 0.215
Universe : 64 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 29/09 12:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6884
Score SMA
0.5155
Rank
#19 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7955
Rank Norm SMA
0.2623
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7531 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.45% · r3d: 17.48% · ema21_slope: 0.8425% · dist_ema21: 16.156%
Force Relative 25% 0.6463 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.29% · rs_3d: 18.20% · beta_24h: 1.135
Volume 20% 0.9455 rvol_20: 3.45× · zscore_50: 2.712 · trend: 73.56%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7455 ADX: 32.6 (trend) · Chop: 41.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 10.266% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.7426
Score SMA
0.5825
Rank
#6 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8884
Rank Norm SMA
0.5092
Calculé le
29/09/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8866 r1h: 0.122% · r4h: 2.278% · r1d: 12.53% · r3d: 28.19% · ema21_slope: 0.4932% · dist_ema21: 9.327%
Force Relative 25% 0.8674 rs_1h: 0.929% · rs_4h: 3.777% · rs_1d: 12.91% · rs_3d: 29.48% · beta_24h: 2.706
Volume 20% 0.5672 rvol_20: 1.35× · zscore_50: 0.577 · trend: 94.95%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7285 ADX: 27.4 (trend) · Chop: 31.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.7011 ATR%: 3.897% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.8613
Score SMA
0.5804
Rank
#2 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9704
Rank Norm SMA
0.4317
Calculé le
29/09/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9692 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.278% · r1d: 12.53% · r3d: 28.19% · ema21_slope: 1.0601% · dist_ema21: 17.068%
Force Relative 25% 0.9537 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 3.777% · rs_1d: 12.91% · rs_3d: 29.48% · beta_24h: 1.488
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 3.64× · zscore_50: 4.621 · trend: 162.34%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7701 ADX: 32.4 (trend) · Chop: 31.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0999 ATR%: 5.700% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -9.307% (0.0005)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.399% 0.0R -2.392% 0.3R 0.2× 12
2h +0.399% 0.0R -3.258% 0.4R 0.1× 24
4h +4.558% 0.5R -3.258% 0.4R 1.4× 48
6h ★ +4.558% 0.5R -3.258% 0.4R 1.4× 72
8h +4.939% 0.5R -3.258% 0.4R 1.5× 96
12h +4.939% 0.5R -3.258% 0.4R 1.5× 144

computed 22 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.9
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion bull_high_confirmed
65%
noisy_chop 40% mid — — 0.51 bull_high +12.96% +0.61 27/09 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 44% late — near -1.6ATR 0.28 bull_high +2.69% +0.99 29/09 04:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate balanced expansion bull_high_confirmed
66%
noisy_chop 40% late — — 0.35 range_medium -0.18% +0.73 29/09 10:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong balanced volatile_reversal bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 42% early — near -0.3ATR 0.47 range_low -0.77% +0.88 29/09 11:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
167076 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
65%
mid 12b 1.4ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.674

—

—

3.45 value +2.09 ATR — #92663 27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:29
4h
172457 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
58%
late 2b 2.1ATR noisy_chop 44% 0.657

—

near -1.6ATR

1.71 above_value +1.00 ATR inside #95039 29/09 04:00
upd 29/09 08:21
1h anchor
173658 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
66%
late 1b 2.4ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.670

—

—

1.96 value +2.91 ATR — #95632 29/09 10:00
upd 29/09 11:11
15m
173980 		↑ up bull_high
60%
early 7b 1.0ATR noisy_chop 42% 0.576

—

near -0.3ATR

0.45 value +2.91 ATR — #95632 29/09 11:45
upd 29/09 12:04
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 12b — 3.05×ATR p30 +1.436×ATR p78
4h ↑ up late 2b — 2.881×ATR p40 +2.086×ATR p92
1h ↓ down late 1b — 0.801×ATR p0 +2.4×ATR p89
15m ↑ up early 7b — 1.176×ATR p3 +1.014×ATR p53

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00523251
  2. tp_price: 0.00591425
  3. atr: 0.000215
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-29T22:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 2
  2. total: 84
  3. score: 0.872
  4. delta_2h: 0.0369
  5. extension_atr: 2.1
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8869
  9. confidence: 0.988

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.00577 0.005233 0.005914 0.27 0.005574
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.00577
  • Stop Loss: 0.005233
  • Take Profit: 0.005914

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.005233 - 0.00577 = -0.000537

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.00577 - 0.005914 = -0.000144

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000144 / -0.000537 = 0.2682

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
85.8807 85.8807 14883.9978 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.000537

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000537 = -14897.58

Taille de position USD = -14897.58 x 0.00577 = -85.96

Donc, tu peux acheter -14897.58 avec un stoploss a 0.005233

Avec un position size USD de -85.96$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -14897.58 x -0.000537 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -14897.58 x -0.000144 = 2.15

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.15$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -14897.58
  • Taille de position USD -85.96
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.15
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2682

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 2.14 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
9.31 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
2.14 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.2582 % 35.01 % 7
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.00577 0.005233 0.005914 0.27 0.005574
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.00577
  • Stop Loss: 0.005233
  • Take Profit: 0.005914

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.005233 - 0.00577 = -0.000537

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.00577 - 0.005914 = -0.000144

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000144 / -0.000537 = 0.2682

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -9.307% (0.0005)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.399% 0.0R -2.392% 0.3R 0.2× 12
2h +0.399% 0.0R -3.258% 0.4R 0.1× 24
4h +4.558% 0.5R -3.258% 0.4R 1.4× 48
6h ★ +4.558% 0.5R -3.258% 0.4R 1.4× 72
8h +4.939% 0.5R -3.258% 0.4R 1.5× 96
12h +4.939% 0.5R -3.258% 0.4R 1.5× 144

computed 22 hours ago

Commentaires

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