Long Trade on XLM (CatchTheWave)
With 5066.69 XLM at 0.222$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2248 (1.4 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2201 (0.72 %)
Long Trade on XLM (CatchTheWave)
With 5066.69 XLM at 0.222$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2248 (1.4 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2201 (0.72 %)
Position
Entry 0.2217$
Qty 5066.6903 XLM
Size 1123.1332$ (margin 100$) (leverage 11)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2248 (+1.4%)
TP $ 15.71$
SL 0.2201 (-0.72%)
SL $ 8.11$
RR 1.94
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7113
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.23×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -1.18×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.674923 15m : 0.601606 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : bear_high_confirmed 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 29/09 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 29/09 12:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
| 15m | 23.8% |
| 1h | 65.1% |
| 4h | 9.5% |
| 24h | 38.1% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 20.6% | -0.14% |
| 4h | 19.1% | -2.73% |
| 24h | 50.8% | -0.75% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8933 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 7.69% · r3d: 5.46% · ema21_slope: 1.1146% · dist_ema21: 14.781% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8293 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 8.85% · rs_3d: 6.19% · beta_24h: 1.390 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 4.54× · zscore_50: 4.356 · trend: 135.52% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7977 | ADX: 35.7 (trend) · Chop: 36.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0444 | ATR%: 5.867% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4136 | r1h: -1.453% · r4h: -3.905% · r1d: -1.14% · r3d: 1.40% · ema21_slope: 0.1356% · dist_ema21: -1.941% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4079 | rs_1h: -1.437% · rs_4h: -2.398% · rs_1d: -0.34% · rs_3d: 2.64% · beta_24h: 2.234 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5080 | rvol_20: 1.51× · zscore_50: 0.359 · trend: 41.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5939 | ADX: 28.6 (trend) · Chop: 56.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.156% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5938 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.185% · r1d: 2.60% · r3d: 2.73% · ema21_slope: 0.2161% · dist_ema21: 2.277% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5949 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.686% · rs_1d: 2.98% · rs_3d: 4.02% · beta_24h: 2.348 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6135 | rvol_20: 1.65× · zscore_50: 1.195 · trend: 62.11% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6892 | ADX: 26.7 (trend) · Chop: 42.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7892 | ATR%: 3.633% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.785% | 1.1R | -0.916% | 1.3R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.006% | 1.4R | -0.916% | 1.3R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.263% | 1.8R | -0.916% | 1.3R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.457% | 2.0R | -0.916% | 1.3R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.457% | 2.0R | -1.200% | 1.7R | 1.2× | 144 |
computed 1 day ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
53%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.59 | bull_high | +12.96% | +0.91 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.71 | bull_high | +1.12% | +0.46 | 29/09 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | near -1.3ATR | — | 0.61 | bear_medium | -0.96% | -0.21 | 29/09 12:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.60 | range_low | -0.56% | -0.34 | 29/09 13:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
167016 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
53%
|
late 17b 1.9ATR | noisy_chop 42% | 0.484 |
— near -1.2ATR |
4.54 | above_value | +2.74 ATR | — | #92649 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:27
|
|
4h
174116 |
↑ up | bull_high |
53%
|
early 8b 0.6ATR | noisy_chop 40% | 0.526 |
— — |
1.65 | value | +1.79 ATR | — | #95786 |
29/09 08:00
upd 29/09 12:17
|
|
1h
anchor
174533 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
57%
|
mid 5b -1.0ATR | noisy_chop 36% | 0.673 |
near -1.3ATR — |
1.51 | value | +1.08 ATR | — | #96038 |
29/09 12:00
upd 29/09 13:11
|
|
15m
174698 |
↔ neutral | bear_high_confirmed |
55%
|
late 22b -2.3ATR | noisy_chop 43% | 0.622 |
near -1.0ATR — |
1.99 | value | +1.08 ATR | — | #96038 |
29/09 13:15
upd 29/09 13:32
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 17b | — | 4.427×ATR | p52 | +1.933×ATR | p90 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 2.35×ATR | p30 | +0.561×ATR | p31 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.932×ATR | p59 | -1.001×ATR | p54 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 22b | — | 6.831×ATR | p97 | -2.303×ATR | p95 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
83590.5
-0.0057969
83106
0.674923
83628.2
-0.00563478
83157
0.601606
83808.8
-0.00770602
83163
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193
0.5313
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0.3285
0.2442
0.3975
1
0.2181
0.5221
0.6729
0.2683
0.5844
0.4746
-0.0253
0.0277
0.3333
-1.2632
-0.5222
0.6
0.4
1
6
1
0.5116
0.4789
3.1496
0.65
1.1852
3.025
-0.5222
0.2902
0.2252
0.42
-0.2755
0.4494
0.4857
0.7205
0.4746
-3.514
3.1745
1
1
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 11:45:00 | 0.2373 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 12:25:00 | 0.23211 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 12:35:00 | 0.23513 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 13:00:00 | 0.23086 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 13:35:00 | 0.23102 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 13:55:00 | 0.23369 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 14:10:00 | 0.23011 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 14:45:00 | 0.23309 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 15:25:00 | 0.22488 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 17:25:00 | 0.22077 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 00:00:00 | 0.2348 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 02:30:00 | 0.22258 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 04:15:00 | 0.22875 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 05:30:00 | 0.2213 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 08:15:00 | 0.23395 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 09:00:00 | 0.2286 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 09:45:00 | 0.23253 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 10:45:00 | 0.22898 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 11:45:00 | 0.2373 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 17:15:00 | 0.22077 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 15:00:00 | 0.21323 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 18:00:00 | 0.21825 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 01:00:00 | 0.21949 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 07:00:00 | 0.20715 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 12:00:00 | 0.23105 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 18:00:00 | 0.23549 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 00:00:00 | 0.2348 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 05:00:00 | 0.2213 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 11:00:00 | 0.2373 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 17:00:00 | 0.22077 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2217 | 0.2201 | 0.2248 | 1.94 | 0.2257 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2201 - 0.2217 = -0.0016
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2217 - 0.2248 = -0.0031
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0031 / -0.0016 = 1.9375
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1123.1332 | 100 | 5066.6903 | 11.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0016 = -5000
Taille de position USD = -5000 x 0.2217 = -1108.5
Donc, tu peux acheter -5000 avec un stoploss a 0.2201
Avec un position size USD de -1108.5$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -5000 x -0.0016 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -5000 x -0.0031 = 15.5
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.5$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.4 % | 15.71 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.72 % | 8.11 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.11 $ | -0.72 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7442 % | 103.12 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2217 | 0.2201 | 0.2248 | 1.94 | 0.2257 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2201 - 0.2217 = -0.0016
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2217 - 0.2248 = -0.0031
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0031 / -0.0016 = 1.9375
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)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.785% | 1.1R | -0.916% | 1.3R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.006% | 1.4R | -0.916% | 1.3R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.263% | 1.8R | -0.916% | 1.3R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.457% | 2.0R | -0.916% | 1.3R | 1.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.457% | 2.0R | -1.200% | 1.7R | 1.2× | 144 |
computed 1 day ago
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