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Short Trade on NIL

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29 Sep 2026 at 14:15:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_score)

With 1142.84 NIL at 0.0787$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08574 (8.89 %)

NIL SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 14:15 → 17:10 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.07874$

Qty 1142.8441 NIL

Size 89.9875$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 89.99$

SL 0.08574 (-8.89%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -3.49% / -3.14$ MAE -5.69% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 29 Sep 17:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 165373)
#84 / 84 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 14:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1543

Quality Score
0.292
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 14:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#84 / 84 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.89 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#84 / 84 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.89 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.72×ATR
4h clear 0.95×ATR
1d clear 2.80×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

29/09 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/09 13:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4385
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 -2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 12.7%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : alt_capitulation
Leadership : btc
% Positive (universe)
15m 58.7%
1h 20.6%
4h 4.8%
24h 36.5%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 34.9% +0.17%
4h 9.5% -3.17%
24h 44.4% -1.35%
Dispersion : 0.204
Universe : 63 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 29/09 14:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5750
Score SMA
0.6900
Rank
#49 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4545
Rank Norm SMA
0.7101
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7143 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -11.25% · r3d: -24.58% · ema21_slope: 6.8745% · dist_ema21: 17.106%
Force Relative 25% 0.5000 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -10.09% · rs_3d: -23.85% · beta_24h: 0.671
Volume 20% 0.5018 rvol_20: 0.96× · zscore_50: 0.420 · trend: 129.64%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9021 ADX: 48.2 (trend) · Chop: 4.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 17.707% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 14:00
Score brut
0.2922
Score SMA
0.4800
Rank
#84 / 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1543
Rank Norm SMA
0.2938
Calculé le
29/09/2026 14:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0212 r1h: -2.227% · r4h: -5.460% · r1d: -11.09% · r3d: -24.46% · ema21_slope: -0.3308% · dist_ema21: -5.172%
Force Relative 25% 0.0710 rs_1h: -2.244% · rs_4h: -4.106% · rs_1d: -10.12% · rs_3d: -23.19% · beta_24h: 3.229
Volume 20% 0.2380 rvol_20: 0.25× · zscore_50: -0.536 · trend: 5.30%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6845 ADX: 39.1 (trend) · Chop: 55.7 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.9059 ATR%: 3.282% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.2662
Score SMA
0.5341
Rank
#83 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0176
Rank Norm SMA
0.4239
Calculé le
29/09/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1788 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -7.482% · r1d: -7.59% · r3d: -27.56% · ema21_slope: -1.1240% · dist_ema21: -15.664%
Force Relative 25% 0.1405 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -5.982% · rs_1d: -7.21% · rs_3d: -26.27% · beta_24h: 5.135
Volume 20% 0.4066 rvol_20: 1.66× · zscore_50: -0.206 · trend: -24.03%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6405 ADX: 25.9 (trend) · Chop: 47.5 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 10.035% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -8.890% (0.0070)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -5.690% 0.6R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -5.690% 0.6R 0.0× 24
3h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -5.690% 0.6R 0.0× 36
4h +0.000% 0.0R -5.690% 0.6R 0.0× 48
8h +1.473% 0.2R -5.690% 0.6R 0.3× 96
12h +1.473% 0.2R -7.870% 0.9R 0.2× 144

computed 2 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.1
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 46% early — — 0.31 bull_high +12.96% +1.00 27/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range strong grind compression bear_high
49%
noisy_chop 47% late — — 0.13 bull_high +1.12% -1.00 29/09 08:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading normal bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 44% mid — — 0.11 bear_medium -0.92% -0.73 29/09 13:00
15m ↓ down range range strong explosive normal bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 49% mid near 0.4ATR — 0.40 range_low -0.66% -0.43 29/09 13:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
167062 		↑ up bull_high
64%
early 4b 0.7ATR noisy_chop 46% 0.824

—

—

0.96 below_value -9.44 ATR — #92660 27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:29
4h
174149 		↔ neutral bear_high
49%
late 24b -2.3ATR noisy_chop 47% 0.617

—

—

1.66 below_value -14.54 ATR inside #95797 29/09 08:00
upd 29/09 12:18
1h anchor
174948 		↓ down bear_high
53%
mid 6b -1.9ATR noisy_chop 44% 0.758

—

—

0.25 below_value -14.51 ATR — #96217 29/09 13:00
upd 29/09 14:13
15m
174867 		↓ down bear_high
60%
mid 6b -1.5ATR noisy_chop 49% 0.414

near 0.4ATR

—

0.29 below_value -13.68 ATR — #96049 29/09 13:45
upd 29/09 14:04
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 4b — 3.947×ATR p42 +0.673×ATR p49
4h ↓ down late 24b — 7.942×ATR p89 -2.294×ATR p86
1h ↓ down mid 6b — 2.661×ATR p53 -1.885×ATR p70
15m ↓ down mid 6b — 2.038×ATR p27 -1.496×ATR p67

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.08574008
  2. atr: 0.00233336
  3. expires_at: 2026-09-29T21:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 84
  2. total: 84
  3. score: 0.0474
  4. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.07874 0.08574 0.08311
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.07874
  • Stop Loss: 0.08574
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.08574 - 0.07874 = 0.007

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.07874 - = 0.07874

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.07874 / 0.007 = 11.2486

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
89.9875 89.9875 1142.8441 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.007

Taille de position = 8 / 0.007 = 1142.86

Taille de position USD = 1142.86 x 0.07874 = 89.99

Donc, tu peux acheter 1142.86 avec un stoploss a 0.08574

Avec un position size USD de 89.99$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1142.86 x 0.007 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1142.86 x 0.07874 = 89.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 89.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1142.86
  • Taille de position USD 89.99
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 89.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 11.2486

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 89.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
8.89 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-3.14 $ -3.49
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-5.6896 % 64 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.07874 0.08574 0.08311
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.07874
  • Stop Loss: 0.08574
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.08574 - 0.07874 = 0.007

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.07874 - = 0.07874

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.07874 / 0.007 = 11.2486

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -8.890% (0.0070)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -5.690% 0.6R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -5.690% 0.6R 0.0× 24
3h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -5.690% 0.6R 0.0× 36
4h +0.000% 0.0R -5.690% 0.6R 0.0× 48
8h +1.473% 0.2R -5.690% 0.6R 0.3× 96
12h +1.473% 0.2R -7.870% 0.9R 0.2× 144

computed 2 days ago

Commentaires

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