Long Trade on AAVE (CatchTheWave)
With 4.85 AAVE at 164.45$ per unit. Take profit: 167.7491 (2.01 %) & Stop Loss: 162.8004 (1 %)
Long Trade on AAVE (CatchTheWave)
With 4.85 AAVE at 164.45$ per unit. Take profit: 167.7491 (2.01 %) & Stop Loss: 162.8004 (1 %)
Position
Entry 164.45$
Qty 4.8498 AAVE
Size 797.5462$ (margin 100$) (leverage 8)
Risk Setup
TP 167.7491 (+2.01%)
TP $ 16$
SL 162.8004 (-1%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9775
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.22×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.60×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.510673 15m : 0.515544 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_medium_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 29/09 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 29/09 13:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
| 15m | 85.7% |
| 1h | 100.0% |
| 4h | 11.1% |
| 24h | 41.3% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 61.9% | +0.45% |
| 4h | 15.9% | -1.92% |
| 24h | 46.0% | -1.06% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6885 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.37% · r3d: -2.75% · ema21_slope: 1.1296% · dist_ema21: 7.070% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5402 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.21% · rs_3d: -2.03% · beta_24h: 1.367 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3898 | rvol_20: 1.16× · zscore_50: 0.081 · trend: 9.57% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7893 | ADX: 35.3 (trend) · Chop: 38.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.397% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6646 | r1h: -1.030% · r4h: -4.152% · r1d: 12.04% · r3d: 6.98% · ema21_slope: 0.7610% · dist_ema21: 2.222% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5917 | rs_1h: -1.047% · rs_4h: -2.798% · rs_1d: 13.01% · rs_3d: 8.24% · beta_24h: 2.031 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9267 | rvol_20: 2.58× · zscore_50: 2.919 · trend: 156.77% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8468 | ADX: 41.6 (trend) · Chop: 18.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.229% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7712 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.800% · r1d: 16.47% · r3d: 9.56% · ema21_slope: 0.1697% · dist_ema21: 9.943% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8550 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.700% · rs_1d: 16.85% · rs_3d: 10.85% · beta_24h: 3.221 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9861 | rvol_20: 3.94× · zscore_50: 2.792 · trend: 146.04% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7260 | ADX: 27.1 (trend) · Chop: 24.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8848 | ATR%: 3.346% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.314% | 1.3R | -0.018% | 0.0R | 72.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.350% | 1.4R | -0.018% | 0.0R | 74.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.745% | 1.7R | -0.018% | 0.0R | 95.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.745% | 1.7R | -3.101% | 3.1R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.745% | 1.7R | -3.314% | 3.3R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 2 days ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.69 | bull_high | +12.96% | +0.70 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.56 | bull_high | +1.12% | +0.80 | 29/09 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
75%
|
noisy_chop 52% | mid | — | — | 0.51 | bear_medium | -0.92% | +0.87 | 29/09 13:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.67 | range_low | +0.02% | -0.31 | 29/09 14:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
166873 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
63%
|
mid 12b 0.9ATR | noisy_chop 40% | 0.558 |
— — |
1.16 | above_value | +0.12 ATR | — | #92614 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:20
|
|
4h
174034 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
late 6b 2.6ATR | noisy_chop 38% | 0.491 |
— — |
3.94 | above_value | +4.03 ATR | — | #95753 |
29/09 08:00
upd 29/09 12:14
|
|
1h
anchor
174904 |
↑ up | bull_high |
75%
|
mid 3b 0.8ATR | noisy_chop 52% | 0.687 |
— — |
2.58 | above_value | +3.11 ATR | — | #96173 |
29/09 13:00
upd 29/09 14:11
|
|
15m
175149 |
↑ up | bull_high |
61%
|
early 3b -1.1ATR | noisy_chop 43% | 0.708 |
— — |
0.57 | above_value | +3.11 ATR | — | #96173 |
29/09 14:30
upd 29/09 14:46
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 3.801×ATR | p52 | +0.919×ATR | p49 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 6b | — | 4.558×ATR | p77 | +2.606×ATR | p93 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 2.705×ATR | p68 | +0.796×ATR | p40 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 0.714×ATR | p4 | -1.117×ATR | p45 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
83560.4
0.000616329
83612
0.510673
83641.2
-0.000350134
83612
0.515544
83768.9
-0.00282838
83532
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176.23
195
0.7588
0.6484
0.3327
0.28
0.3758
1
0.2855
0.5929
0.6983
0.856
0.7057
0.7248
0.1875
0.1345
1
0.9846
2.5216
0.55
0.45
1
4
1
0.4401
0.5297
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0.6
7.6599
12.2788
2.5216
0
0.2595
0.76
0.4295
0.6331
0.5423
0.8985
0.7248
-2.4495
6.4503
1
1
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 12:30:00 | 174.55 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 12:45:00 | 171.82 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 13:25:00 | 175.64 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 13:45:00 | 172.28 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 14:40:00 | 176.23 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 15:25:00 | 169.58 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 16:15:00 | 167.69 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 17:50:00 | 165.16 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 18:15:00 | 168.36 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 18:45:00 | 164.24 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 18:15:00 | 149.84 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 19:30:00 | 146.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 21:00:00 | 148.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 22:00:00 | 145.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 00:30:00 | 149.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 02:30:00 | 146.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 14:30:00 | 176.23 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 18:45:00 | 164.24 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 04:00:00 | 154.02 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 07:00:00 | 157.57 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 15:00:00 | 151.69 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 18:00:00 | 156.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 00:00:00 | 156.51 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 13:00:00 | 151.03 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 14:00:00 | 144.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 22:00:00 | 145.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 14:00:00 | 176.23 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 17:00:00 | 165.16 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 164.45 | 162.8004 | 167.7491 | 2 | 179.2 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 162.8004 - 164.45 = -1.6496
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 164.45 - 167.7491 = -3.2991
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.2991 / -1.6496 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 797.5462 | 100 | 4.8498 | 8.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.6496 = -4.85
Taille de position USD = -4.85 x 164.45 = -797.58
Donc, tu peux acheter -4.85 avec un stoploss a 162.8004
Avec un position size USD de -797.58$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4.85 x -1.6496 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4.85 x -3.2991 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.01 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.00 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.1006 % | 109.72 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 164.45 | 162.8004 | 167.7491 | 2 | 179.2 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 162.8004 - 164.45 = -1.6496
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 164.45 - 167.7491 = -3.2991
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.2991 / -1.6496 = 1.9999
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.314% | 1.3R | -0.018% | 0.0R | 72.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.350% | 1.4R | -0.018% | 0.0R | 74.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.745% | 1.7R | -0.018% | 0.0R | 95.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.745% | 1.7R | -3.101% | 3.1R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.745% | 1.7R | -3.314% | 3.3R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 2 days ago
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