Long Trade on SKY (CatchTheWave)
With 10172.94 SKY at 0.085$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08662 (1.86 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08426 (0.92 %)
Long Trade on SKY (CatchTheWave)
With 10172.94 SKY at 0.085$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08662 (1.86 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08426 (0.92 %)
Position
Entry 0.08504$
Qty 10172.94 SKY
Size 865.1373$ (margin 100$) (leverage 9)
Risk Setup
TP 0.08662 (+1.86%)
TP $ 16.07$
SL 0.08426 (-0.92%)
SL $ 7.93$
RR 2.03
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8443
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.90×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.04×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.61×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.353193 15m : 0.45813 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 29/09 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 29/09 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
| 15m | 76.2% |
| 1h | 87.3% |
| 4h | 76.2% |
| 24h | 71.4% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 76.2% | +0.19% |
| 4h | 52.4% | +0.80% |
| 24h | 69.8% | +1.46% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7265 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.48% · r3d: 2.74% · ema21_slope: 1.0833% · dist_ema21: 11.330% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6177 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.32% · rs_3d: 3.46% · beta_24h: 1.108 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 5.71× · zscore_50: 5.648 · trend: 288.22% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7157 | ADX: 25.9 (trend) · Chop: 29.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.420% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8488 | r1h: 1.961% · r4h: 0.759% · r1d: 8.80% · r3d: 12.94% · ema21_slope: 0.4321% · dist_ema21: 5.040% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7988 | rs_1h: 1.272% · rs_4h: 0.882% · rs_1d: 9.29% · rs_3d: 13.35% · beta_24h: 1.768 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1554 | rvol_20: 0.51× · zscore_50: -0.685 · trend: -55.03% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7369 | ADX: 28.4 (trend) · Chop: 34.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.250% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8811 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.917% · r1d: 9.30% · r3d: 8.80% · ema21_slope: 0.3855% · dist_ema21: 7.364% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.9012 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 3.416% · rs_1d: 9.68% · rs_3d: 10.09% · beta_24h: 0.829 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3448 | rvol_20: 0.77× · zscore_50: 0.271 · trend: 12.57% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7053 | ADX: 28.1 (trend) · Chop: 41.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6504 | ATR%: 4.049% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.286% | 0.3R | -4.044% | 4.4R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.286% | 0.3R | -4.044% | 4.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.286% | 0.3R | -5.715% | 6.2R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.286% | 0.3R | -5.715% | 6.2R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.286% | 0.3R | -5.715% | 6.2R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 days ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.57 | bull_high | +12.96% | +0.74 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.39 | bull_high | +1.12% | +0.66 | 29/09 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.36 | range_medium | -0.24% | +0.77 | 29/09 14:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near -0.3ATR | near 0.4ATR | 0.39 | range_low | -0.02% | +0.10 | 29/09 15:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
167083 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
mid 12b 1.2ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.659 |
— — |
5.71 | above_value | +0.67 ATR | — | #92665 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:30
|
|
4h
174164 |
↑ up | bull_high |
58%
|
mid 4b 1.4ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.614 |
— near 0.0ATR |
0.77 | value | +3.50 ATR | — | #95802 |
29/09 08:00
upd 29/09 12:19
|
|
1h
anchor
175357 |
↑ up | bull_high |
63%
|
late 22b 2.0ATR | noisy_chop 45% | 0.649 |
— near -0.9ATR |
0.51 | above_value | +4.67 ATR | — | #96391 |
29/09 14:00
upd 29/09 15:12
|
|
15m
175443 |
↑ up | bull_high |
60%
|
early 2b 0.1ATR | noisy_chop 41% | 0.662 |
near -0.3ATR near 0.4ATR |
1.20 | above_value | +4.67 ATR | — | #96391 |
29/09 15:00
upd 29/09 15:18
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 3.964×ATR | p53 | +1.236×ATR | p71 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 2.401×ATR | p19 | +1.394×ATR | p68 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 22b | — | 5.187×ATR | p91 | +1.954×ATR | p76 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.906×ATR | p14 | +0.118×ATR | p5 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
83564.7
0.000254486
83586
0.353193
83625.1
-0.000121309
83615
0.45813
83762.1
-0.00148171
83638
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0.076701
176
0.6041
0.5677
0.3112
0.2515
0.36
1
0.5016
0.4661
0.395
0.4877
0.6995
0.9094
0.1751
0.1086
1
1.55
2.6797
0.6
0.4
-1
28
1
0.4969
0.6289
2.3041
0.55
1.071
2.2038
2.6797
0.5358
0.2114
0.38
0.0896
0.4978
0.5233
0.941
0.9094
-0.7623
7.6562
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 3
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 12:50:00 | 0.083584 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 13:25:00 | 0.085998 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 13:35:00 | 0.083481 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 14:55:00 | 0.086317 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 15:35:00 | 0.083624 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 16:25:00 | 0.086617 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 17:00:00 | 0.083925 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 17:10:00 | 0.085253 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 18:35:00 | 0.087461 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 19:20:00 | 0.084871 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 05:30:00 | 0.079386 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 07:30:00 | 0.0829 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 09:30:00 | 0.080371 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 13:30:00 | 0.083481 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 14:45:00 | 0.086317 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 15:30:00 | 0.083624 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 16:15:00 | 0.086617 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 17:00:00 | 0.083925 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 18:30:00 | 0.087461 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 19:15:00 | 0.085117 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 07:00:00 | 0.08019 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-26 20:00:00 | 0.076368 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 01:00:00 | 0.078515 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 08:00:00 | 0.078155 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 13:00:00 | 0.072619 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 03:00:00 | 0.086917 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 08:00:00 | 0.07825 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 20:00:00 | 0.076701 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 02:00:00 | 0.077038 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 18:00:00 | 0.087461 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08504 | 0.08426 | 0.08662 | 2.03 | 0.08858 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.08426 - 0.08504 = -0.00078
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08504 - 0.08662 = -0.00158
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00158 / -0.00078 = 2.0256
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 865.1373 | 100 | 10172.94 | 9.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00078 = -10256.41
Taille de position USD = -10256.41 x 0.08504 = -872.21
Donc, tu peux acheter -10256.41 avec un stoploss a 0.08426
Avec un position size USD de -872.21$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -10256.41 x -0.00078 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -10256.41 x -0.00158 = 16.21
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.21$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.86 % | 16.07 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.92 % | 7.93 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.94 $ | -0.92 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9396 % | 102.44 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08504 | 0.08426 | 0.08662 | 2.03 | 0.08858 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.08426 - 0.08504 = -0.00078
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08504 - 0.08662 = -0.00158
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00158 / -0.00078 = 2.0256
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[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-09-29 20:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.286% | 0.3R | -4.044% | 4.4R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.286% | 0.3R | -4.044% | 4.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.286% | 0.3R | -5.715% | 6.2R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.286% | 0.3R | -5.715% | 6.2R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.286% | 0.3R | -5.715% | 6.2R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 days ago
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