Long Trade on ETHFI (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 156.42 ETHFI at 0.789$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8084 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7375 (6.49 %)
Long Trade on ETHFI (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 156.42 ETHFI at 0.789$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8084 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7375 (6.49 %)
Position
Entry 0.7887$
Qty 156.4219 ETHFI
Size 123.3653$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.8084 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.08$
SL 0.7375 (-6.49%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.38
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9666
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.41×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | 0.03×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 29/09 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 29/09 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
| 15m | 38.1% |
| 1h | 63.5% |
| 4h | 71.4% |
| 24h | 69.8% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 46.0% | -0.04% |
| 4h | 54.0% | +0.80% |
| 24h | 69.8% | +1.09% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6972 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.68% · r3d: -1.59% · ema21_slope: 1.0051% · dist_ema21: 5.579% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6018 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.52% · rs_3d: -0.87% · beta_24h: 1.053 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1873 | rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -0.575 · trend: -30.77% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6041 | ADX: 29.8 (trend) · Chop: 56.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.096% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7426 | r1h: 0.281% · r4h: -0.676% · r1d: 11.63% · r3d: 5.67% · ema21_slope: 0.5776% · dist_ema21: 4.090% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6638 | rs_1h: 0.348% · rs_4h: -1.298% · rs_1d: 11.37% · rs_3d: 6.16% · beta_24h: 2.328 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3287 | rvol_20: 0.54× · zscore_50: -0.070 · trend: 45.78% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7952 | ADX: 35.4 (trend) · Chop: 26.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.693% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6775 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.676% · r1d: 11.63% · r3d: 5.67% · ema21_slope: 0.0744% · dist_ema21: 7.760% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7483 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.298% · rs_1d: 11.37% · rs_3d: 6.16% · beta_24h: 2.427 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7089 | rvol_20: 2.02× · zscore_50: 1.021 · trend: 97.71% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6617 | ADX: 19.4 (weak) · Chop: 35.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5402 | ATR%: 4.379% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.426% | 0.1R | -1.281% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.426% | 0.1R | -2.571% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.426% | 0.1R | -2.872% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.426% | 0.1R | -2.872% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.426% | 0.1R | -2.872% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.426% | 0.1R | -4.838% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 days ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.57 | bull_high | +12.96% | +0.75 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
68%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.42 | bull_high | +1.12% | +0.76 | 29/09 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | — | 0.49 | range_medium | -0.24% | +0.72 | 29/09 14:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.63 | range_low | -0.03% | -0.32 | 29/09 15:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
166984 |
↑ up | bull_high |
68%
|
early 12b 0.6ATR | noisy_chop 41% | 0.678 |
— near 0.0ATR |
0.45 | above_value | +0.29 ATR | — | #92641 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:26
|
|
4h
174092 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
68%
|
late 7b 1.9ATR | noisy_chop 45% | 0.539 |
— — |
5.28 | above_value | +3.08 ATR | inside | #95778 |
29/09 08:00
upd 29/09 12:16
|
|
1h
anchor
175333 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
mid 4b 1.3ATR | noisy_chop 47% | 0.811 |
— — |
0.80 | above_value | +2.66 ATR | — | #96367 |
29/09 14:00
upd 29/09 15:11
|
|
15m
175663 |
↑ up | bull_high |
57%
|
early 8b 0.4ATR | noisy_chop 40% | 0.525 |
— near -0.9ATR |
0.63 | above_value | +2.66 ATR | — | #96367 |
29/09 15:45
upd 29/09 16:02
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 12b | — | 2.116×ATR | p0 | +0.57×ATR | p34 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 3.596×ATR | p57 | +1.934×ATR | p87 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.09×ATR | p30 | +1.277×ATR | p64 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 2.368×ATR | p42 | +0.435×ATR | p17 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:15 | 0.78867000 | -0.004% |
| 2 | 17:15 | 0.78482000 | -0.492% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7887 | 0.7375 | 0.8084 | 0.38 | 0.727 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7375 - 0.7887 = -0.0512
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7887 - 0.8084 = -0.0197
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0197 / -0.0512 = 0.3848
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 123.3653 | 100 | 156.4219 | 1.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0512 = -156.25
Taille de position USD = -156.25 x 0.7887 = -123.23
Donc, tu peux acheter -156.25 avec un stoploss a 0.7375
Avec un position size USD de -123.23$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -156.25 x -0.0512 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -156.25 x -0.0197 = 3.08
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.08$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.08 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.49 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.04 $ | -1.66 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.8718 % | 44.24 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7887 | 0.7375 | 0.8084 | 0.38 | 0.727 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7375 - 0.7887 = -0.0512
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7887 - 0.8084 = -0.0197
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0197 / -0.0512 = 0.3848
Array
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Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.426% | 0.1R | -1.281% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.426% | 0.1R | -2.571% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.426% | 0.1R | -2.872% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.426% | 0.1R | -2.872% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.426% | 0.1R | -2.872% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.426% | 0.1R | -4.838% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 days ago
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