Long Trade on AVAX (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 13.69 AVAX at 11.405$ per unit. Take profit: 11.6901 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 10.8206 (5.12 %)
29 Sep 2026 at 16:15:08
hyperliquid
AVAX
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
29 Sep 2026 16:15
→ 22:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 11.405$
Qty 13.6881 AVAX
Size 156.1129$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 11.6901 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.9$
SL 10.8206 (-5.12%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.49
Status
loss
PnL
-0.05%
/ -0.082$
MAE -0.60%
MFE +1.39%
0.3R
expires
29 Sep 22:15
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 165482)
#6 / 82
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 16:00
score du 29/09/2026 16:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9017
Quality Score
0.679
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
35.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 16:00
29/09 16:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#6 / 82
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.12 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#6 / 82
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.12 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.09×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.04×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 29/09 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 29/09 15:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4393
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
59.3%
Impulse :
+0.00
Participation :
mixed_dispersion
Leadership :
mixed
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 38.1% |
| 1h | 63.5% |
| 4h | 71.4% |
| 24h | 69.8% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 46.0% | -0.04% |
| 4h | 54.0% | +0.80% |
| 24h | 69.8% | +1.09% |
Dispersion :
0.174
Universe :
63
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
29/09 16:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5758
Score SMA
0.6295
Rank
#47
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4773
Rank Norm SMA
0.5488
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7268 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.79% · r3d: -0.47% · ema21_slope: 2.6407% · dist_ema21: 11.714% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5943 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.63% · rs_3d: 0.26% · beta_24h: 0.944 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3807 | rvol_20: 0.85× · zscore_50: 0.314 · trend: 28.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8872 | ADX: 46.5 (trend) · Chop: 20.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.586% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/09/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.6787
Score SMA
0.5373
Rank
#6
/ 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9017
Rank Norm SMA
0.4298
Calculé le
29/09/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7611 | r1h: 0.292% · r4h: 1.106% · r1d: 9.74% · r3d: 5.59% · ema21_slope: 0.4063% · dist_ema21: 1.607% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6943 | rs_1h: 0.359% · rs_4h: 0.483% · rs_1d: 9.49% · rs_3d: 6.08% · beta_24h: 3.186 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3306 | rvol_20: 0.62× · zscore_50: 0.082 · trend: 29.01% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7559 | ADX: 30.7 (trend) · Chop: 34.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.159% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/09/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.6595
Score SMA
0.5693
Rank
#10
/ 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8837
Rank Norm SMA
0.4557
Calculé le
29/09/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6850 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.106% · r1d: 9.74% · r3d: 5.59% · ema21_slope: 0.0986% · dist_ema21: 4.192% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7183 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.483% · rs_1d: 9.49% · rs_3d: 6.08% · beta_24h: 3.824 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6256 | rvol_20: 1.70× · zscore_50: 0.968 · trend: 77.30% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7176 | ADX: 28.3 (trend) · Chop: 40.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6019 | ATR%: 4.194% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.124%
(0.5844)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.394% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.394% | 0.3R | -0.596% | 0.1R | 2.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.394% | 0.3R | -0.596% | 0.1R | 2.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.394% | 0.3R | -0.596% | 0.1R | 2.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.394% | 0.3R | -1.938% | 0.4R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.394% | 0.3R | -3.332% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 3 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.27
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.72 | bull_high | +12.96% | +0.98 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | — | 0.53 | bull_high | +1.72% | +0.39 | 29/09 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
71%
|
noisy_chop 48% | mid | — | — | 0.43 | range_medium | -0.30% | +0.58 | 29/09 15:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | — | 0.72 | range_low | -0.03% | -0.14 | 29/09 15:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
166807 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
mid 7b 1.3ATR | noisy_chop 44% | 0.844 |
— — |
0.85 | value | +1.33 ATR | — | #92598 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:17
|
|
4h
175701 |
↑ up | bull_high |
52%
|
early 1b 1.0ATR | noisy_chop 33% | 0.638 |
— — |
1.70 | above_value | +4.00 ATR | — | #96496 |
29/09 12:00
upd 29/09 16:13
|
|
1h
anchor
175700 |
↑ up | bull_high |
71%
|
mid 7b 0.6ATR | noisy_chop 48% | 0.668 |
— — |
0.62 | above_value | +4.00 ATR | — | #96496 |
29/09 15:00
upd 29/09 16:13
|
|
15m
175626 |
↑ up | bull_high |
57%
|
mid 8b 0.4ATR | noisy_chop 34% | 0.668 |
— — |
0.27 | above_value | +3.73 ATR | — | #96327 |
29/09 15:45
upd 29/09 16:00
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 1.725×ATR | p0 | +1.258×ATR | p70 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.425×ATR | p0 | +0.95×ATR | p59 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 2.769×ATR | p60 | +0.622×ATR | p36 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 2.895×ATR | p53 | +0.412×ATR | p23 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 10.82055132
- tp_price: 11.690125
- atr: 0.23377947
- expires_at: 2026-09-30T02:15:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 5
- total: 84
- score: 0.7705
- delta_2h: 0.2192
- extension_atr: 0.89
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9001
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:15 | 11.40500000 | 0% |
| 2 | 17:15 | 11.47800000 | +0.64% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.405 | 10.8206 | 11.6901 | 0.49 | 11.123 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 11.405
- Stop Loss: 10.8206
- Take Profit: 11.6901
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 10.8206 - 11.405 = -0.5844
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.405 - 11.6901 = -0.2851
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2851 / -0.5844 = 0.4879
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 156.1129 | 100 | 13.6881 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.5844
Taille de position = 8 / -0.5844 = -13.69
Taille de position USD = -13.69 x 11.405 = -156.13
Donc, tu peux acheter -13.69 avec un stoploss a 10.8206
Avec un position size USD de -156.13$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -13.69 x -0.5844 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -13.69 x -0.2851 = 3.9
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.9$
Résumé
- Taille de position -13.69
- Taille de position USD -156.13
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.9
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4879
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.9 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.12 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.082 $ | -0.05 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5962 % | 11.64 % | 18 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.405 | 10.8206 | 11.6901 | 0.49 | 11.123 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 11.405
- Stop Loss: 10.8206
- Take Profit: 11.6901
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 10.8206 - 11.405 = -0.5844
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.405 - 11.6901 = -0.2851
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2851 / -0.5844 = 0.4879
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.124%
(0.5844)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.394% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.394% | 0.3R | -0.596% | 0.1R | 2.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.394% | 0.3R | -0.596% | 0.1R | 2.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.394% | 0.3R | -0.596% | 0.1R | 2.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.394% | 0.3R | -1.938% | 0.4R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.394% | 0.3R | -3.332% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 3 days ago
Commentaires
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