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Long Trade on AVAX

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29 Sep 2026 at 17:15:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on AVAX (momentum_rotation_score)

With 11.72 AVAX at 11.478$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 10.7951 (5.95 %)

AVAX LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 17:15 → 20:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 11.478$

Qty 11.7151 AVAX

Size 134.466$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 134.47$

SL 10.7951 (-5.95%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -0.92% / -1.24$ MAE -1.23% MFE +0.58% 0.1R expires 29 Sep 20:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 165646)
#3 / 80 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9029

Quality Score
0.729
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
36.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 17:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#3 / 80 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#3 / 80 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.05×ATR
4h clear —
1d clear 1.04×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

29/09 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

29/09 16:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4397
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range compression 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 63.0%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : broad_risk_on
Leadership : alts
% Positive (universe)
15m 41.3%
1h 90.5%
4h 71.4%
24h 58.7%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 47.6% -0.01%
4h 63.5% +0.91%
24h 55.6% +0.31%
Dispersion : 0.216
Universe : 63 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 29/09 17:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5758
Score SMA
0.6295
Rank
#47 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4773
Rank Norm SMA
0.5488
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7268 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.79% · r3d: -0.47% · ema21_slope: 2.6407% · dist_ema21: 11.714%
Force Relative 25% 0.5943 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.63% · rs_3d: 0.26% · beta_24h: 0.944
Volume 20% 0.3807 rvol_20: 0.85× · zscore_50: 0.314 · trend: 28.35%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8872 ADX: 46.5 (trend) · Chop: 20.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.586% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.7294
Score SMA
0.5387
Rank
#3 / 80
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9029
Rank Norm SMA
0.4341
Calculé le
29/09/2026 17:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8152 r1h: 1.155% · r4h: 2.796% · r1d: 9.68% · r3d: 7.91% · ema21_slope: 0.3726% · dist_ema21: 2.521%
Force Relative 25% 0.7811 rs_1h: 1.129% · rs_4h: 2.131% · rs_1d: 9.57% · rs_3d: 8.40% · beta_24h: 3.174
Volume 20% 0.4260 rvol_20: 1.01× · zscore_50: 0.571 · trend: 29.53%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6956 ADX: 30.6 (trend) · Chop: 45.5 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.088% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.6780
Score SMA
0.5697
Rank
#7 / 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8837
Rank Norm SMA
0.4566
Calculé le
29/09/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6850 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.106% · r1d: 9.74% · r3d: 5.59% · ema21_slope: 0.0986% · dist_ema21: 4.192%
Force Relative 25% 0.7183 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.483% · rs_1d: 9.49% · rs_3d: 6.08% · beta_24h: 3.824
Volume 20% 0.6256 rvol_20: 1.70× · zscore_50: 0.968 · trend: 77.30%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7176 ADX: 28.3 (trend) · Chop: 40.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.6019 ATR%: 4.194% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.950% (0.6829)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.584% 0.1R -1.228% 0.2R 0.5× 12
2h +0.584% 0.1R -1.228% 0.2R 0.5× 24
3h ★ +0.584% 0.1R -1.228% 0.2R 0.5× 36
4h +0.584% 0.1R -1.228% 0.2R 0.5× 48
8h +0.584% 0.1R -2.561% 0.4R 0.2× 96
12h +0.584% 0.1R -4.165% 0.7R 0.1× 144

computed 3 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 0.52
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
63%
noisy_chop 44% mid — — 0.72 bull_high +12.96% +0.98 27/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high
52%
noisy_chop 33% early — — 0.53 bull_high +1.72% +0.39 29/09 12:00
1h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong explosive expansion bull_high_confirmed
72%
noisy_chop 52% early — near 0.1ATR 0.43 range_medium -0.27% +0.57 29/09 16:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate fading compression bull_high
59%
noisy_chop 38% late — — 0.72 range_low +0.00% +0.16 29/09 16:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
166807 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
63%
mid 7b 1.3ATR noisy_chop 44% 0.844

—

—

0.85 value +1.33 ATR — #92598 27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:17
4h
175701 		↑ up bull_high
52%
early 1b 1.0ATR noisy_chop 33% 0.638

—

—

1.70 above_value +4.00 ATR — #96496 29/09 12:00
upd 29/09 16:13
1h anchor
176178 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
72%
early 3b 1.0ATR noisy_chop 52% 0.813

—

near 0.1ATR

1.01 above_value +4.64 ATR — #96745 29/09 16:00
upd 29/09 17:09
15m
176108 		↑ up bull_high
59%
late 12b 1.5ATR noisy_chop 38% 0.557

—

—

1.12 above_value +4.00 ATR — #96496 29/09 16:45
upd 29/09 17:00
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 7b — 1.725×ATR p0 +1.258×ATR p70
4h ↓ down early 1b — 1.425×ATR p0 +0.95×ATR p59
1h ↑ up early 3b — 1.812×ATR p22 +1.029×ATR p54
15m ↑ up late 12b — 4.513×ATR p82 +1.519×ATR p68

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 10.79512109
  2. atr: 0.2276263
  3. expires_at: 2026-09-30T00:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 5
  2. total: 84
  3. score: 0.8152
  4. confidence: 0.952

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
11.478 10.7951 11.047
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 11.478
  • Stop Loss: 10.7951
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 10.7951 - 11.478 = -0.6829

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 11.478 - = 11.478

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 11.478 / -0.6829 = -16.8077

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
134.466 100 11.7151 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.6829

Taille de position = 8 / -0.6829 = -11.71

Taille de position USD = -11.71 x 11.478 = -134.41

Donc, tu peux acheter -11.71 avec un stoploss a 10.7951

Avec un position size USD de -134.41$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -11.71 x -0.6829 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -11.71 x 11.478 = -134.41

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -134.41$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -11.71
  • Taille de position USD -134.41
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel -134.41
  • Risk-Reward Ratio -16.8077

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 134.47 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.95 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-1.24 $ -0.92
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.2284 % 20.65 % 8
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
11.478 10.7951 11.047
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 11.478
  • Stop Loss: 10.7951
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 10.7951 - 11.478 = -0.6829

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 11.478 - = 11.478

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 11.478 / -0.6829 = -16.8077

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 11.478
            [stop_loss] => 10.72681
            [rr_ratio] => 15.28
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-29 21:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 11.478
            [stop_loss] => 10.65852
            [rr_ratio] => 14.01
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-29 21:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 11.478
            [stop_loss] => 10.59023
            [rr_ratio] => 12.93
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-29 21:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 11.478
            [stop_loss] => 10.45365
            [rr_ratio] => 11.21
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-29 21:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.950% (0.6829)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.584% 0.1R -1.228% 0.2R 0.5× 12
2h +0.584% 0.1R -1.228% 0.2R 0.5× 24
3h ★ +0.584% 0.1R -1.228% 0.2R 0.5× 36
4h +0.584% 0.1R -1.228% 0.2R 0.5× 48
8h +0.584% 0.1R -2.561% 0.4R 0.2× 96
12h +0.584% 0.1R -4.165% 0.7R 0.1× 144

computed 3 days ago

Commentaires

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