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Short Trade on HBAR

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29 Sep 2026 at 17:15:06 hyperliquid

Short Trade on HBAR (momentum_rotation_score)

With 821.14 HBAR at 0.104$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1138 (9.42 %)

HBAR SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 17:15 → 20:00 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.104$

Qty 821.1377 HBAR

Size 85.4065$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 85.4$

SL 0.1138 (-9.42%)

SL $ 8.05$

RR

Status win PnL +1.64% / +1.4$ MAE -0.36% MFE +2.62% 0.3R expires 29 Sep 20:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 165686)
#78 / 80 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.4033

Quality Score
0.430
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
21.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 17:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#78 / 80 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.42 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#78 / 80 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.42 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 2.42×ATR
4h clear 2.18×ATR
1d clear 6.11×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↑ up late OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

29/09 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/09 16:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4397
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 -2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range compression 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 63.0%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : broad_risk_on
Leadership : alts
% Positive (universe)
15m 41.3%
1h 90.5%
4h 71.4%
24h 58.7%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 47.6% -0.01%
4h 63.5% +0.91%
24h 55.6% +0.31%
Dispersion : 0.216
Universe : 63 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 29/09 17:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8823
Score SMA
0.6731
Rank
#1 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
1.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.6631
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 1.0000 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 27.22% · r3d: 27.40% · ema21_slope: 1.7181% · dist_ema21: 37.029%
Force Relative 25% 1.0000 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 28.38% · rs_3d: 28.13% · beta_24h: 0.897
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 11.21× · zscore_50: 6.827 · trend: 404.61%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8823 ADX: 45.9 (trend) · Chop: 4.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.133% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.4295
Score SMA
0.5974
Rank
#78 / 80
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4033
Rank Norm SMA
0.5933
Calculé le
29/09/2026 17:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3489 r1h: -0.346% · r4h: -1.882% · r1d: -15.86% · r3d: 12.12% · ema21_slope: -0.4148% · dist_ema21: -7.317%
Force Relative 25% 0.4115 rs_1h: -0.372% · rs_4h: -2.547% · rs_1d: -15.97% · rs_3d: 12.61% · beta_24h: 1.139
Volume 20% 0.2269 rvol_20: 0.55× · zscore_50: -0.540 · trend: -8.83%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7387 ADX: 31.9 (trend) · Chop: 41.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.8962 ATR%: 3.312% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.5788
Score SMA
0.6667
Rank
#14 / 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7795
Rank Norm SMA
0.7164
Calculé le
29/09/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5409 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -7.384% · r1d: -14.61% · r3d: 11.46% · ema21_slope: 1.1771% · dist_ema21: -2.760%
Force Relative 25% 0.4036 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -8.007% · rs_1d: -14.86% · rs_3d: 11.95% · beta_24h: 1.721
Volume 20% 0.8186 rvol_20: 2.33× · zscore_50: 1.892 · trend: 118.99%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8606 ADX: 43.3 (trend) · Chop: 15.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.2285 ATR%: 5.315% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -9.423% (0.0098)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.019% 0.1R -0.356% 0.0R 2.9× 12
2h +1.260% 0.1R -0.356% 0.0R 3.5× 24
3h ★ +2.615% 0.3R -0.356% 0.0R 7.4× 36
4h +2.615% 0.3R -0.356% 0.0R 7.4× 48
8h +2.615% 0.3R -1.240% 0.1R 2.1× 96
12h +2.615% 0.3R -2.769% 0.3R 0.9× 144

computed 3 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.79
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate fading expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
69%
choppy 51% late — near -0.2ATR 0.68 bull_high +12.96% +1.00 27/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high
59%
noisy_chop 37% mid — — 0.46 bull_high +1.72% +0.79 29/09 12:00
1h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong fading compression bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 45% late — — 0.37 range_medium -0.27% -0.92 29/09 16:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high
51%
choppy 50% late near -0.9ATR — 0.34 range_low +0.03% -0.71 29/09 16:30
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
166992 		↔ neutral bull_high_confirmed
69%
late 12b 3.9ATR choppy 51% 0.327

—

near -0.2ATR

11.21 above_value +5.79 ATR — #92643 27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:26
4h
175798 		↑ up bull_high
59%
mid 6b -0.4ATR noisy_chop 37% 0.702

—

—

2.33 below_value -3.98 ATR — #96537 29/09 12:00
upd 29/09 16:17
1h anchor
176219 		↔ neutral bear_high
51%
late 26b -2.7ATR noisy_chop 45% 0.469

—

—

0.55 below_value -4.24 ATR — #96785 29/09 16:00
upd 29/09 17:10
15m
176064 		↓ down bear_high
51%
late 8b -2.8ATR choppy 50% 0.747

near -0.9ATR

—

0.00 below_value -3.98 ATR — #96537 29/09 16:30
upd 29/09 16:47
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 12b — 6.694×ATR p82 +3.867×ATR p100
4h ↓ down mid 6b — 4.855×ATR p70 -0.423×ATR p19
1h ↓ down late 26b — 7.923×ATR p99 -2.744×ATR p94
15m ↓ down late 8b — 1.885×ATR p14 -2.799×ATR p94

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.11375258
  2. atr: 0.00324753
  3. expires_at: 2026-09-30T00:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 84
  2. total: 84
  3. score: 0.3214
  4. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.104 0.1138 0.1016
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.104
  • Stop Loss: 0.1138
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1138 - 0.104 = 0.0098

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.104 - = 0.104

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.104 / 0.0098 = 10.6122

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
85.4065 85.4065 821.1377 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0098

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0098 = 816.33

Taille de position USD = 816.33 x 0.104 = 84.9

Donc, tu peux acheter 816.33 avec un stoploss a 0.1138

Avec un position size USD de 84.9$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 816.33 x 0.0098 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 816.33 x 0.104 = 84.9

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 84.9$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 816.33
  • Taille de position USD 84.9
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 84.9
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 10.6122

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 85.4 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
9.42 % 8.05 $
PNL PNL %
1.4 $ 1.64
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3558 % 3.78 % 4
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.104 0.1138 0.1016
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.104
  • Stop Loss: 0.1138
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1138 - 0.104 = 0.0098

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.104 - = 0.104

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.104 / 0.0098 = 10.6122

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -9.423% (0.0098)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.019% 0.1R -0.356% 0.0R 2.9× 12
2h +1.260% 0.1R -0.356% 0.0R 3.5× 24
3h ★ +2.615% 0.3R -0.356% 0.0R 7.4× 36
4h +2.615% 0.3R -0.356% 0.0R 7.4× 48
8h +2.615% 0.3R -1.240% 0.1R 2.1× 96
12h +2.615% 0.3R -2.769% 0.3R 0.9× 144

computed 3 days ago

Commentaires

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