Long Trade on AAVE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 0.97 AAVE at 165.48$ per unit. Take profit: 169.617 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 157.1959 (5.01 %)
29 Sep 2026 at 17:15:12
hyperliquid
AAVE
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
29 Sep 2026 17:15
→ 23:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 165.48$
Qty 0.9657 AAVE
Size 159.8049$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 169.617 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4$
SL 157.1959 (-5.01%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.5
Status
loss
PnL
-3.37%
/ -5.39$
MAE -3.70%
MFE +1.11%
0.2R
expires
29 Sep 23:15
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 165661)
#6 / 80
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 17:00
score du 29/09/2026 17:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9676
Quality Score
0.676
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
54.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 17:00
29/09 17:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#6 / 80
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.01 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#6 / 80
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.01 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.40×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.60×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 29/09 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 29/09 16:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4397
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | compression | 0.25 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
63.0%
Impulse :
+0.00
Participation :
broad_risk_on
Leadership :
alts
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 41.3% |
| 1h | 90.5% |
| 4h | 71.4% |
| 24h | 58.7% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 47.6% | -0.01% |
| 4h | 63.5% | +0.91% |
| 24h | 55.6% | +0.31% |
Dispersion :
0.216
Universe :
63
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
29/09 17:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5380
Score SMA
0.5921
Rank
#64
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2841
Rank Norm SMA
0.3698
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6885 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.37% · r3d: -2.75% · ema21_slope: 1.1296% · dist_ema21: 7.070% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5402 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.21% · rs_3d: -2.03% · beta_24h: 1.367 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3898 | rvol_20: 1.16× · zscore_50: 0.081 · trend: 9.57% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7893 | ADX: 35.3 (trend) · Chop: 38.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.397% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/09/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.6757
Score SMA
0.5726
Rank
#6
/ 80
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9676
Rank Norm SMA
0.5548
Calculé le
29/09/2026 17:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7269 | r1h: 0.320% · r4h: -1.131% · r1d: 12.34% · r3d: 8.24% · ema21_slope: 0.5948% · dist_ema21: 1.639% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6725 | rs_1h: 0.294% · rs_4h: -1.796% · rs_1d: 12.24% · rs_3d: 8.73% · beta_24h: 1.358 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3365 | rvol_20: 0.34× · zscore_50: -0.292 · trend: 66.98% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8146 | ADX: 37.8 (trend) · Chop: 34.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.099% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/09/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.7744
Score SMA
0.6136
Rank
#2
/ 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9816
Rank Norm SMA
0.5840
Calculé le
29/09/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6580 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.635% · r1d: 12.75% · r3d: 7.00% · ema21_slope: 0.2085% · dist_ema21: 6.364% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7300 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.258% · rs_1d: 12.50% · rs_3d: 7.50% · beta_24h: 2.728 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 4.56× · zscore_50: 4.025 · trend: 192.25% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7335 | ADX: 28.0 (trend) · Chop: 25.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8447 | ATR%: 3.466% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.006%
(8.2841)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.112% | 0.2R | -0.048% | 0.0R | 23.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.112% | 0.2R | -0.048% | 0.0R | 23.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.112% | 0.2R | -2.593% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.112% | 0.2R | -3.704% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.112% | 0.2R | -3.916% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.112% | 0.2R | -4.194% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 3 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 4.2
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.69 | bull_high | +12.96% | +0.70 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.56 | bull_high | +1.72% | +0.64 | 29/09 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
74%
|
noisy_chop 49% | mid | — | — | 0.50 | range_medium | -0.27% | +0.79 | 29/09 16:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bull_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.66 | range_low | +0.00% | -0.29 | 29/09 16:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
166873 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
63%
|
mid 12b 0.9ATR | noisy_chop 40% | 0.558 |
— — |
1.16 | above_value | +0.12 ATR | — | #92614 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:20
|
|
4h
175732 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
mid 1b 1.6ATR | noisy_chop 37% | 0.586 |
— — |
4.56 | above_value | +2.99 ATR | — | #96511 |
29/09 12:00
upd 29/09 16:14
|
|
1h
anchor
176193 |
↑ up | bull_high |
74%
|
mid 6b 0.6ATR | noisy_chop 49% | 0.684 |
— — |
0.34 | above_value | +3.25 ATR | — | #96760 |
29/09 16:00
upd 29/09 17:09
|
|
15m
176122 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
53%
|
early 10b -0.6ATR | noisy_chop 40% | 0.606 |
— — |
0.32 | above_value | +2.99 ATR | — | #96511 |
29/09 16:45
upd 29/09 17:01
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 3.801×ATR | p52 | +0.919×ATR | p49 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 1.869×ATR | p0 | +1.602×ATR | p77 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 2.923×ATR | p70 | +0.63×ATR | p32 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 10b | — | 1.48×ATR | p8 | -0.643×ATR | p25 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 157.19589817
- tp_price: 169.617
- atr: 3.31364073
- expires_at: 2026-09-30T03:15:12+00:00
Details
- rank: 7
- total: 84
- score: 0.7269
- delta_2h: 0.0442
- extension_atr: 0.5
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9708
- confidence: 0.928
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:15 | 165.48000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 18:15 | 166.59000000 | +0.671% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 165.48 | 157.1959 | 169.617 | 0.5 | 179.67 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 165.48
- Stop Loss: 157.1959
- Take Profit: 169.617
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 157.1959 - 165.48 = -8.2841
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 165.48 - 169.617 = -4.137
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.137 / -8.2841 = 0.4994
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 159.8049 | 100 | 0.9657 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -8.2841
Taille de position = 8 / -8.2841 = -0.97
Taille de position USD = -0.97 x 165.48 = -160.52
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.97 avec un stoploss a 157.1959
Avec un position size USD de -160.52$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.97 x -8.2841 = 8.04
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.04$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.97 x -4.137 = 4.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.01$
Résumé
- Taille de position -0.97
- Taille de position USD -160.52
- Perte potentielle 8.04
- Gain potentiel 4.01
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4994
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.01 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -5.39 $ | -3.37 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.7044 % | 74 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 165.48 | 157.1959 | 169.617 | 0.5 | 179.67 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 165.48
- Stop Loss: 157.1959
- Take Profit: 169.617
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 157.1959 - 165.48 = -8.2841
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 165.48 - 169.617 = -4.137
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.137 / -8.2841 = 0.4994
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.006%
(8.2841)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.112% | 0.2R | -0.048% | 0.0R | 23.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.112% | 0.2R | -0.048% | 0.0R | 23.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.112% | 0.2R | -2.593% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.112% | 0.2R | -3.704% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.112% | 0.2R | -3.916% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.112% | 0.2R | -4.194% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 3 days ago
Commentaires
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