29 Sep 2026 at 18:15:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on CELO (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 969.52 CELO at 0.103$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1051 (2.44 %) & Stop Loss: 0.09432 (8.07 %)

CELO LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 18:15 → 00:00 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.1026$

Qty 969.516 CELO

Size 99.4433$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1051 (+2.44%)

TP $ 2.42$

SL 0.09432 (-8.07%)

SL $ 8.03$

RR 0.3

Status loss PnL -2.95% / -2.94$ MAE -5.05% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 30 Sep 00:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 165768)
#11 / 78 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 18:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7964

Quality Score
0.586
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
94 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 18:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#11 / 78 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.07 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#11 / 78 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.07 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 3.94×ATR
4h clear 2.76×ATR
1d near -0.54×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

29/09 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

29/09 17:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4401
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range compression 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 67.7%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : broad_risk_on
Leadership : alts
% Positive (universe)
15m 61.9%
1h 7.9%
4h 85.7%
24h 68.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 57.1% +0.06%
4h 74.6% +1.09%
24h 63.5% +1.45%
Dispersion : 0.164
Universe : 63 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 29/09 18:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.5862
Score SMA
0.6758
Rank
#11 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7964
Rank Norm SMA
0.8520
Calculé le
29/09/2026 18:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6936 r1h: 0.313% · r4h: 0.117% · r1d: 8.66% · r3d: 6.51% · ema21_slope: 0.3606% · dist_ema21: -0.811%
Force Relative 25% 0.6759 rs_1h: 0.460% · rs_4h: -0.383% · rs_1d: 8.31% · rs_3d: 7.30% · beta_24h: -0.117
Volume 20% 0.2140 rvol_20: 0.15× · zscore_50: -0.474 · trend: -15.81%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7110 ADX: 27.1 (trend) · Chop: 40.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.8671 ATR%: 3.399% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.5720
Score SMA
0.7260
Rank
#21 / 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8278
Rank Norm SMA
0.8852
Calculé le
29/09/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5922 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -4.895% · r1d: 8.10% · r3d: 3.89% · ema21_slope: 0.2727% · dist_ema21: 2.190%
Force Relative 25% 0.5751 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -5.517% · rs_1d: 7.85% · rs_3d: 4.38% · beta_24h: 3.754
Volume 20% 0.5721 rvol_20: 1.30× · zscore_50: 0.651 · trend: 242.74%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7414 ADX: 29.0 (trend) · Chop: 16.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.2489 ATR%: 5.253% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -8.070% (0.0083)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.560% 0.2R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -4.396% 0.5R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -5.048% 0.6R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -5.048% 0.6R 0.0× 72
8h +0.000% 0.0R -5.048% 0.6R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -5.048% 0.6R 0.0× 144

computed 3 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate fading volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
54%
noisy_chop 44% mid — near -0.5ATR 0.64 bull_high +12.96% +0.92 27/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong balanced volatile_reversal bull_high
59%
noisy_chop 41% early — — 0.44 bull_high +1.72% +0.41 29/09 12:00
1h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong balanced expansion bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 45% mid — — 0.28 range_medium -0.40% +0.41 29/09 17:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 38% early — — 0.32 range_low -0.13% -0.18 29/09 17:30
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
172506
↔ neutral bull_high_confirmed
54%
mid 41b 1.5ATR noisy_chop 44% 0.444

—

near -0.5ATR

1.65 above_value +5.27 ATR — #95022 27/09 20:00
upd 29/09 08:23
4h
175810
↑ up bull_high
59%
early 2b 0.4ATR noisy_chop 41% 0.709

—

—

1.30 value +2.12 ATR — #96541 29/09 12:00
upd 29/09 16:17
1h anchor
176611
↑ up bull_high
67%
mid 10b -0.2ATR noisy_chop 45% 0.692

—

—

0.15 above_value +2.83 ATR — #96948 29/09 17:00
upd 29/09 18:12
15m
176458
↓ down bear_high
55%
early 7b -1.4ATR noisy_chop 38% 0.394

—

—

0.01 value +2.60 ATR — #96788 29/09 17:30
upd 29/09 17:47
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 41b — 6.604×ATR p73 +1.474×ATR p73
4h ↓ down early 2b — 3.573×ATR p47 +0.36×ATR p21
1h ↓ down mid 10b — 4.895×ATR p78 -0.194×ATR p8
15m ↑ up early 7b — 1.168×ATR p0 -1.363×ATR p53

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.09431846
  2. tp_price: 0.10513425
  3. atr: 0.00330061
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-30T04:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 10
  2. total: 82
  3. score: 0.6545
  4. delta_2h: 0.0758
  5. extension_atr: -0.24
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.7931
  9. confidence: 0.939

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1026 0.09432 0.1051 0.3 0.1002
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1026
  • Stop Loss: 0.09432
  • Take Profit: 0.1051

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.09432 - 0.1026 = -0.00828

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1026 - 0.1051 = -0.0025

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0025 / -0.00828 = 0.3019

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
99.4433 99.4433 969.516 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00828

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00828 = -966.18

Taille de position USD = -966.18 x 0.1026 = -99.13

Donc, tu peux acheter -966.18 avec un stoploss a 0.09432

Avec un position size USD de -99.13$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -966.18 x -0.00828 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -966.18 x -0.0025 = 2.42

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.42$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -966.18
  • Taille de position USD -99.13
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.42
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3019

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.44 % 2.42 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
8.07 % 8.03 $
PNL PNL %
-2.94 $ -2.95
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-5.0478 % 62.55 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1026 0.09432 0.1051 0.3 0.1002
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1026
  • Stop Loss: 0.09432
  • Take Profit: 0.1051

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.09432 - 0.1026 = -0.00828

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1026 - 0.1051 = -0.0025

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0025 / -0.00828 = 0.3019

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -8.070% (0.0083)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.560% 0.2R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -4.396% 0.5R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -5.048% 0.6R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -5.048% 0.6R 0.0× 72
8h +0.000% 0.0R -5.048% 0.6R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -5.048% 0.6R 0.0× 144

computed 3 days ago

Commentaires

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