Short Trade on ZEC

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29 Sep 2026 at 19:15:06 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ZEC (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 0.12 ZEC at 1426.5$ per unit. Take profit: 1390.8375 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1495.8486 (4.86 %)

ZEC SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 19:15 → 01:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 1426.5$

Qty 0.1154 ZEC

Size 164.5599$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 1390.8375 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.11$

SL 1495.8486 (-4.86%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.51

Status win PnL +1.77% / +2.91$ MAE -0.50% MFE +1.89% 0.4R expires 30 Sep 01:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 165869)

#74 / 78 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 19:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2005

Quality Score

0.386

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

95 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

716.1M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 19:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#74 / 78 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

95 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-2 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.86 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#74 / 78 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

95 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-2 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.86 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	0.65×ATR
4h	clear	3.75×ATR
1d	clear	7.64×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	early	OK
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↑ up	late	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 29/09 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/09 18:00 Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

29/09 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/09 18:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4405

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	-2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	range	range	0.25	0
Micro	range	compression	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 33.9%

Impulse : +0.00

Participation : mixed_dispersion

Leadership : mixed

% Positive (universe)

15m	36.5%
1h	23.8%
4h	30.2%
24h	54.0%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	34.9%	-0.01%
4h	36.5%	-0.62%
24h	54.0%	+0.21%

Dispersion : 0.143

Universe : 63 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 29/09 19:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5772

Score SMA

0.6284

Rank

#46 / 89

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.4886

Rank Norm SMA

0.5333

Calculé le

28/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6887	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -6.60% · r3d: -4.67% · ema21_slope: 2.3279% · dist_ema21: 7.286%
Force Relative	25%	0.5521	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -5.44% · rs_3d: -3.95% · beta_24h: 1.343
Volume	20%	0.4283	rvol_20: 1.04× · zscore_50: 0.732 · trend: 20.26%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.9796	ADX: 59.4 (trend) · Chop: 40.1 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 9.053% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/09/2026 19:00

Score brut

0.3859

Score SMA

0.5360

Rank

#74 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2005

Rank Norm SMA

0.4694

Calculé le

29/09/2026 19:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3655	r1h: 0.915% · r4h: -0.336% · r1d: -3.60% · r3d: -14.07% · ema21_slope: -0.1250% · dist_ema21: -0.179%
Force Relative	25%	0.3704	rs_1h: 0.784% · rs_4h: -0.279% · rs_1d: -3.68% · rs_3d: -13.26% · beta_24h: 3.473
Volume	20%	0.1666	rvol_20: 0.20× · zscore_50: -0.968 · trend: -26.62%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5782	ADX: 28.7 (trend) · Chop: 58.1 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.060% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/09/2026 16:00

Score brut

0.4330

Score SMA

0.5530

Rank

#66 / 82

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1597

Rank Norm SMA

0.4345

Calculé le

29/09/2026 16:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3217	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.115% · r1d: -4.04% · r3d: -11.29% · ema21_slope: -0.4424% · dist_ema21: -7.046%
Force Relative	25%	0.3131	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.508% · rs_1d: -4.29% · rs_3d: -10.79% · beta_24h: 3.184
Volume	20%	0.4923	rvol_20: 1.40× · zscore_50: 0.572 · trend: 32.53%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6836	ADX: 22.0 (weak) · Chop: 31.8 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.5722	ATR%: 4.283% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.862% (69.3486)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.045%	0.2R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+1.045%	0.2R	-0.505%	0.1R	2.1×	24
4h	+1.423%	0.3R	-0.505%	0.1R	2.8×	48
6h ★	+1.893%	0.4R	-0.505%	0.1R	3.8×	72
8h	+2.545%	0.5R	-0.505%	0.1R	5.0×	96
12h	+2.545%	0.5R	-0.505%	0.1R	5.0×	144

computed 4 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 3.81

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	volatile_reversal	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 38%	late	—	—	0.56	bull_high	+12.96%	+0.93	27/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	42%	noisy_chop 43%	late	—	—	0.54	bull_high	+1.72%	-0.74	29/09 12:00
1h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	compression	bear_high	62%	noisy_chop 39%	early	—	near -0.6ATR	0.35	range_medium	-0.27%	+0.25	29/09 18:00
15m	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	compression	range_high	40%	noisy_chop 43%	mid	—	near -0.8ATR	0.66	range_low	-0.01%	+0.10	29/09 18:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 167103	↑ up	bull_high	58%	late 61b 0.7ATR	noisy_chop 38%	0.610	— —	1.04	below_value	-2.64 ATR	—	#92671	27/09 20:00 upd 28/09 20:31
4h 175883	↔ neutral	bear_high_confirmed	42%	late 17b -1.7ATR	noisy_chop 43%	0.631	— —	1.40	below_value	-4.76 ATR	—	#96565	29/09 12:00 upd 29/09 16:20
1h anchor 177021	↓ down	bear_high	62%	early 2b -0.1ATR	noisy_chop 39%	0.551	— near -0.6ATR	0.20	below_value	-4.93 ATR	—	#97132	29/09 18:00 upd 29/09 19:12
15m 176940	↔ neutral	range_high	40%	mid 11b 1.1ATR	noisy_chop 43%	0.501	— near -0.8ATR	0.18	below_value	-5.21 ATR	—	#96972	29/09 18:45 upd 29/09 19:04
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	late	61b	—	7.686×ATR	p93	+0.652×ATR	p29
4h	↓ down	late	17b	—	5.061×ATR	p88	-1.654×ATR	p70
1h	↑ up	early	2b	—	1.539×ATR	p2	-0.087×ATR	p3
15m	↑ up	mid	11b	—	3.784×ATR	p58	+1.144×ATR	p52

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 1495.84860922
tp_price: 1390.8375
atr: 27.73944369
expires_at: 2026-09-30T05:15:06+00:00

Details

rank: 76
total: 80
score: 0.3118
delta_2h: -0.0694
extension_atr: 0.08
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1887
confidence: 0.949

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
1426.5	1495.8486	1390.8375	0.51	1349.1

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 1426.5
Stop Loss: 1495.8486
Take Profit: 1390.8375

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 1495.8486 - 1426.5 = 69.3486
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 1426.5 - 1390.8375 = 35.6625
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 35.6625 / 69.3486 = 0.5142

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
164.5599	100	0.1154	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 69.3486

Taille de position = 8 / 69.3486 = 0.12

Taille de position USD = 0.12 x 1426.5 = 171.18

Donc, tu peux acheter 0.12 avec un stoploss a 1495.8486

Avec un position size USD de 171.18$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 0.12 x 69.3486 = 8.32

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.32$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 0.12 x 35.6625 = 4.28

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.28$

Résumé

Taille de position 0.12
Taille de position USD 171.18
Perte potentielle 8.32
Gain potentiel 4.28
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5142

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	4.11 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.86 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
2.91 $	1.77

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.5047 %	10.38 %	5

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
1426.5	1495.8486	1390.8375	0.51	1349.1

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 1426.5
Stop Loss: 1495.8486
Take Profit: 1390.8375

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 1495.8486 - 1426.5 = 69.3486
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 1426.5 - 1390.8375 = 35.6625
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 35.6625 / 69.3486 = 0.5142

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.862% (69.3486)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.045%	0.2R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+1.045%	0.2R	-0.505%	0.1R	2.1×	24
4h	+1.423%	0.3R	-0.505%	0.1R	2.8×	48
6h ★	+1.893%	0.4R	-0.505%	0.1R	3.8×	72
8h	+2.545%	0.5R	-0.505%	0.1R	5.0×	96
12h	+2.545%	0.5R	-0.505%	0.1R	5.0×	144

computed 4 days ago

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