Long Trade on AAVE (CatchTheWave)
With 9.92 AAVE at 164.98$ per unit. Take profit: 166.5936 (0.98 %) & Stop Loss: 164.1732 (0.49 %)
Long Trade on AAVE (CatchTheWave)
With 9.92 AAVE at 164.98$ per unit. Take profit: 166.5936 (0.98 %) & Stop Loss: 164.1732 (0.49 %)
Position
Entry 164.98$
Qty 9.9155 AAVE
Size 1635.8609$ (margin 100$) (leverage 16)
Risk Setup
TP 166.5936 (+0.98%)
TP $ 16$
SL 164.1732 (-0.49%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9533
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.63×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.60×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.516322 15m : 0.47348 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 29/09 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 29/09 18:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | compression | 0.25 |
| 15m | 7.9% |
| 1h | 36.5% |
| 4h | 42.9% |
| 24h | 46.0% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 7.9% | -0.33% |
| 4h | 38.1% | -0.13% |
| 24h | 41.3% | -0.37% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6885 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.37% · r3d: -2.75% · ema21_slope: 1.1296% · dist_ema21: 7.070% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5402 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.21% · rs_3d: -2.03% · beta_24h: 1.367 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3898 | rvol_20: 1.16× · zscore_50: 0.081 · trend: 9.57% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7893 | ADX: 35.3 (trend) · Chop: 38.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.397% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7202 | r1h: -0.450% · r4h: 0.320% · r1d: 12.50% · r3d: 7.52% · ema21_slope: 0.4758% · dist_ema21: 1.262% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6781 | rs_1h: -0.581% · rs_4h: 0.378% · rs_1d: 12.42% · rs_3d: 8.33% · beta_24h: 1.114 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2695 | rvol_20: 0.39× · zscore_50: -0.232 · trend: 13.72% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6693 | ADX: 35.9 (trend) · Chop: 54.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.944% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6580 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.635% · r1d: 12.75% · r3d: 7.00% · ema21_slope: 0.2085% · dist_ema21: 6.364% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7300 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.258% · rs_1d: 12.50% · rs_3d: 7.50% · beta_24h: 2.728 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 4.56× · zscore_50: 4.025 · trend: 192.25% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7335 | ADX: 28.0 (trend) · Chop: 25.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8447 | ATR%: 3.466% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.721% | 1.5R | -2.297% | 4.7R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.721% | 1.5R | -2.837% | 5.8R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.721% | 1.5R | -3.594% | 7.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.721% | 1.5R | -3.891% | 8.0R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.721% | 1.5R | -3.904% | 8.0R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 4 days ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.69 | bull_high | +12.96% | +0.70 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.56 | bull_high | +1.72% | +0.64 | 29/09 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
74%
|
noisy_chop 50% | mid | — | — | 0.50 | range_medium | -0.27% | +0.82 | 29/09 18:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bull_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | — | 0.64 | range_low | +0.06% | -0.04 | 29/09 19:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
166873 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
63%
|
mid 12b 0.9ATR | noisy_chop 40% | 0.558 |
— — |
1.16 | above_value | +0.12 ATR | — | #92614 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:20
|
|
4h
175732 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
mid 1b 1.6ATR | noisy_chop 37% | 0.586 |
— — |
4.56 | above_value | +2.99 ATR | — | #96511 |
29/09 12:00
upd 29/09 16:14
|
|
1h
anchor
176968 |
↑ up | bull_high |
74%
|
mid 8b 0.6ATR | noisy_chop 50% | 0.689 |
— — |
0.39 | above_value | +3.49 ATR | — | #97080 |
29/09 18:00
upd 29/09 19:09
|
|
15m
177204 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
53%
|
early 19b -1.1ATR | noisy_chop 32% | 0.582 |
— — |
0.09 | above_value | +3.49 ATR | — | #97080 |
29/09 19:30
upd 29/09 19:46
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 3.801×ATR | p52 | +0.919×ATR | p49 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 1.869×ATR | p0 | +1.602×ATR | p77 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 3.189×ATR | p79 | +0.607×ATR | p30 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 19b | — | 0.924×ATR | p4 | -1.104×ATR | p46 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
83460.1
0.00257484
83675
0.516322
83562.3
0.00134758
83675
0.47348
83762.7
-0.00107168
83673
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[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.9864815491414
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7
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176.23
190
0.7425
0.6484
0.3077
0.2498
0.355
1
0.2817
0.5875
0.6983
0.6326
0.6542
0.6888
0.0789
0.1093
1
0.5461
2.4092
0.55
0.45
1
9
1
0.5004
0.5297
8.2023
0.6
7.6599
12.2788
2.4092
0
0.2836
0.62
0.0909
0.5605
0.5372
0.6729
0.6888
-3.6888
8.1659
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:48 | 164.98000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 20:10 | 164.53000000 | -0.273% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 17:50:00 | 165.16 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 18:15:00 | 168.36 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 18:45:00 | 164.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 20:00:00 | 164.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 20:35:00 | 166.67 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 21:00:00 | 165.28 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 22:00:00 | 167.32 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 22:45:00 | 166.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 23:00:00 | 165.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 23:40:00 | 164.67 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 23:00:00 | 147.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 00:30:00 | 149.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 02:30:00 | 146.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 14:30:00 | 176.23 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 18:45:00 | 164.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 22:00:00 | 167.32 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 23:30:00 | 164.67 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 04:00:00 | 154.02 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 07:00:00 | 157.57 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 15:00:00 | 151.69 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 18:00:00 | 156.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 00:00:00 | 156.51 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 13:00:00 | 151.03 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 14:00:00 | 144.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 22:00:00 | 145.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 14:00:00 | 176.23 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 18:00:00 | 164.22 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 164.98 | 164.1732 | 166.5936 | 2 | 179.54 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 164.1732 - 164.98 = -0.80679999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 164.98 - 166.5936 = -1.6136
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.6136 / -0.80679999999998 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1635.8609 | 100 | 9.9155 | 16.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.80679999999998 = -9.92
Taille de position USD = -9.92 x 164.98 = -1636.6
Donc, tu peux acheter -9.92 avec un stoploss a 164.1732
Avec un position size USD de -1636.6$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -9.92 x -0.80679999999998 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -9.92 x -1.6136 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.98 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.49 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8607 % | 176.01 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 164.98 | 164.1732 | 166.5936 | 2 | 179.54 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 164.1732 - 164.98 = -0.80679999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 164.98 - 166.5936 = -1.6136
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.6136 / -0.80679999999998 = 2
Array
(
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Array
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[rr_ratio] => 1.82
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[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 00:10:00+00
[result] => loss
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[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 00:10:00+00
[result] => loss
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[rr_ratio] => 1.54
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[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 00:10:00+00
[result] => loss
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[result] => loss
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.721% | 1.5R | -2.297% | 4.7R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.721% | 1.5R | -2.837% | 5.8R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.721% | 1.5R | -3.594% | 7.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.721% | 1.5R | -3.891% | 8.0R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.721% | 1.5R | -3.904% | 8.0R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 4 days ago
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