Web3Way Logo

Short Trade on LIT

Previous Trade Next Trade
29 Sep 2026 at 20:15:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_score)

With 17.89 LIT at 3.805$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 4.2518 (11.76 %)

LIT SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 20:15 → 23:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 3.8045$

Qty 17.8865 LIT

Size 68.0493$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 68.05$

SL 4.2518 (-11.76%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status win PnL +1.75% / +1.19$ MAE -5.42% MFE +2.56% 0.2R expires 29 Sep 23:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 165962)
#54 / 83 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3903

Quality Score
0.437
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
99.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 20:03

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#54 / 83 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
11.76 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#54 / 83 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
11.76 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.23×ATR
4h clear 0.87×ATR
1d near -1.04×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

29/09 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/09 18:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4409
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 -2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range compression 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 37.6%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : mixed_dispersion
Leadership : mixed
% Positive (universe)
15m 71.4%
1h 36.5%
4h 42.9%
24h 46.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 65.1% +0.05%
4h 38.1% -0.13%
24h 41.3% -0.37%
Dispersion : 0.142
Universe : 63 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 29/09 20:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4604
Score SMA
0.5408
Rank
#84 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0568
Rank Norm SMA
0.2478
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5382 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.58% · r3d: -8.33% · ema21_slope: 0.9001% · dist_ema21: -3.223%
Force Relative 25% 0.4534 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.42% · rs_3d: -7.61% · beta_24h: 0.389
Volume 20% 0.3549 rvol_20: 1.02× · zscore_50: 0.166 · trend: -4.82%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7642 ADX: 46.3 (trend) · Chop: 53.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.772% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4374
Score SMA
0.5026
Rank
#54 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3903
Rank Norm SMA
0.3483
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1536 r1h: -11.675% · r4h: -11.879% · r1d: -11.51% · r3d: -18.78% · ema21_slope: -0.0233% · dist_ema21: -10.807%
Force Relative 25% 0.0000 rs_1h: -11.731% · rs_4h: -11.945% · rs_1d: -11.70% · rs_3d: -17.84% · beta_24h: 1.378
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 15.17× · zscore_50: 6.890 · trend: 490.25%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6576 ADX: 18.9 (weak) · Chop: 2.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.7713 ATR%: 3.686% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4117
Score SMA
0.4404
Rank
#71 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0676
Rank Norm SMA
0.1834
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0280 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -11.879% · r1d: -11.51% · r3d: -18.78% · ema21_slope: -0.5425% · dist_ema21: -12.886%
Force Relative 25% 0.0035 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -11.945% · rs_1d: -11.70% · rs_3d: -17.84% · beta_24h: 2.059
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 8.33× · zscore_50: 5.833 · trend: 189.83%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7454 ADX: 29.4 (trend) · Chop: 30.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0550 ATR%: 5.835% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -11.757% (0.4473)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.563% 0.2R -5.420% 0.5R 0.5× 12
2h +2.563% 0.2R -5.420% 0.5R 0.5× 24
3h ★ +2.563% 0.2R -5.420% 0.5R 0.5× 36
4h +3.796% 0.3R -5.420% 0.5R 0.7× 48
8h +4.061% 0.4R -5.420% 0.5R 0.8× 96
12h +4.061% 0.4R -5.420% 0.5R 0.8× 144

computed 4 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.76
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind normal bull_high
53%
noisy_chop 34% early near -1.0ATR near 0.1ATR — bull_high +12.96% -0.90 27/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 38% late — — 0.34 bull_high +1.72% -0.61 29/09 12:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate grind expansion bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 38% early near 0.2ATR near -0.1ATR 0.33 range_medium -0.27% +0.19 29/09 18:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
48%
choppy 51% late — — 0.33 range_low +0.04% -0.89 29/09 19:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
167121 		↑ up bull_high
53%
early 4b -0.3ATR noisy_chop 34% 0.610

near -1.0ATR

near 0.1ATR

1.02 below_value -4.80 ATR — #92677 27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:32
4h
175901 		↔ neutral bear_high
53%
late 30b -0.7ATR noisy_chop 38% 0.543

—

—

0.89 value +1.80 ATR — #96571 29/09 12:00
upd 29/09 16:21
1h anchor
177027 		↓ down bear_high
61%
early 5b -0.1ATR noisy_chop 38% 0.359

near 0.2ATR

near -0.1ATR

0.38 value +1.34 ATR — #97138 29/09 18:00
upd 29/09 19:12
15m
177345 		↓ down bear_high_confirmed
48%
late 1b -3.3ATR choppy 51% 0.396

—

—

3.97 below_value -4.17 ATR — #97306 29/09 19:45
upd 29/09 20:13
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 4b — 2.625×ATR p11 -0.326×ATR p18
4h ↓ down late 30b — 6.226×ATR p94 -0.704×ATR p44
1h ↑ up early 5b — 1.157×ATR p0 -0.051×ATR p7
15m ↑ up late 1b — 2.739×ATR p56 -3.302×ATR p99

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 4.25176376
  2. atr: 0.14908792
  3. expires_at: 2026-09-30T03:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 82
  2. total: 83
  3. score: 0.2057
  4. confidence: 0.988

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.8045 4.2518 3.9025
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.8045
  • Stop Loss: 4.2518
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.2518 - 3.8045 = 0.4473

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.8045 - = 3.8045

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.8045 / 0.4473 = 8.5055

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
68.0493 68.0493 17.8865 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.4473

Taille de position = 8 / 0.4473 = 17.89

Taille de position USD = 17.89 x 3.8045 = 68.06

Donc, tu peux acheter 17.89 avec un stoploss a 4.2518

Avec un position size USD de 68.06$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 17.89 x 0.4473 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 17.89 x 3.8045 = 68.06

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 68.06$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 17.89
  • Taille de position USD 68.06
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 68.06
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 8.5055

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 68.05 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
11.76 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
1.19 $ 1.75
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-5.4199 % 46.1 % 10
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.8045 4.2518 3.9025
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.8045
  • Stop Loss: 4.2518
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.2518 - 3.8045 = 0.4473

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.8045 - = 3.8045

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.8045 / 0.4473 = 8.5055

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -11.757% (0.4473)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.563% 0.2R -5.420% 0.5R 0.5× 12
2h +2.563% 0.2R -5.420% 0.5R 0.5× 24
3h ★ +2.563% 0.2R -5.420% 0.5R 0.5× 36
4h +3.796% 0.3R -5.420% 0.5R 0.7× 48
8h +4.061% 0.4R -5.420% 0.5R 0.8× 96
12h +4.061% 0.4R -5.420% 0.5R 0.8× 144

computed 4 days ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.