29 Sep 2026 at 20:15:18 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 15269.22 PUMP at 0.00587$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006017 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.005346 (8.93 %)

PUMP LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 20:15 → 02:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.00587$

Qty 15269.2154 PUMP

Size 89.6303$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.006017 (+2.5%)

TP $ 2.24$

SL 0.005346 (-8.93%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.28

Status loss PnL -2.81% / -2.52$ MAE -3.42% MFE +2.35% 0.3R expires 30 Sep 02:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 165949)
#4 / 83 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9615

Quality Score
0.694
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
269.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 20:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#4 / 83 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.93 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#4 / 83 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.93 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear —
1d clear 0.59×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

29/09 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

29/09 18:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4409
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range compression 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 37.6%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : mixed_dispersion
Leadership : mixed
% Positive (universe)
15m 71.4%
1h 36.5%
4h 42.9%
24h 46.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 65.1% +0.05%
4h 38.1% -0.13%
24h 41.3% -0.37%
Dispersion : 0.142
Universe : 63 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 29/09 20:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6884
Score SMA
0.5155
Rank
#19 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7955
Rank Norm SMA
0.2623
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7531 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.45% · r3d: 17.48% · ema21_slope: 0.8425% · dist_ema21: 16.156%
Force Relative 25% 0.6463 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.29% · rs_3d: 18.20% · beta_24h: 1.135
Volume 20% 0.9455 rvol_20: 3.45× · zscore_50: 2.712 · trend: 73.56%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7455 ADX: 32.6 (trend) · Chop: 41.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 10.266% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6942
Score SMA
0.5892
Rank
#4 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9615
Rank Norm SMA
0.5293
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8284 r1h: 0.187% · r4h: 0.323% · r1d: 19.54% · r3d: 33.89% · ema21_slope: 0.8752% · dist_ema21: 6.026%
Force Relative 25% 0.7608 rs_1h: 0.131% · rs_4h: 0.257% · rs_1d: 19.34% · rs_3d: 34.83% · beta_24h: 2.368
Volume 20% 0.2403 rvol_20: 0.63× · zscore_50: -0.365 · trend: -17.62%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8109 ADX: 38.2 (trend) · Chop: 39.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.7709 ATR%: 3.687% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7368
Score SMA
0.5871
Rank
#5 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9696
Rank Norm SMA
0.4611
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8940 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.323% · r1d: 19.54% · r3d: 33.89% · ema21_slope: 1.1262% · dist_ema21: 16.105%
Force Relative 25% 0.8804 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.257% · rs_1d: 19.34% · rs_3d: 34.83% · beta_24h: 1.482
Volume 20% 0.4884 rvol_20: 0.90× · zscore_50: 0.503 · trend: 92.77%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7897 ADX: 35.2 (trend) · Chop: 38.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0994 ATR%: 5.702% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -8.927% (0.0005)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.891% 0.2R -2.249% 0.3R 0.8× 12
2h +2.351% 0.3R -2.249% 0.3R 1.1× 24
4h +2.351% 0.3R -3.271% 0.4R 0.7× 48
6h ★ +2.351% 0.3R -3.424% 0.4R 0.7× 72
8h +2.351% 0.3R -3.918% 0.4R 0.6× 96
12h +2.351% 0.3R -3.918% 0.4R 0.6× 144

computed 4 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.18
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion bull_high_confirmed
65%
noisy_chop 40% mid — — 0.51 bull_high +12.96% +0.61 27/09 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 46% late — — 0.27 bull_high +1.72% +0.99 29/09 12:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading expansion bull_high
69%
noisy_chop 42% mid — — 0.35 range_medium -0.27% +0.97 29/09 18:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate grind compression bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 36% early near -0.2ATR — 0.47 range_low +0.04% +0.15 29/09 19:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
167076
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
65%
mid 12b 1.4ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.674

—

—

3.45 value +2.09 ATR — #92663 27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:29
4h
175861
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
58%
late 4b 2.1ATR noisy_chop 46% 0.663

—

—

1.40 above_value +3.70 ATR inside #96558 29/09 12:00
upd 29/09 16:20
1h anchor
177014
↑ up bull_high
69%
mid 5b 1.5ATR noisy_chop 42% 0.372

—

—

0.35 value +3.70 ATR — #97125 29/09 18:00
upd 29/09 19:11
15m
177327
↑ up bull_high
61%
early 3b 0.5ATR noisy_chop 36% 0.703

near -0.2ATR

—

0.42 value +3.70 ATR — #97125 29/09 19:45
upd 29/09 20:04
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 12b — 3.05×ATR p30 +1.436×ATR p78
4h ↑ up late 4b — 3.563×ATR p71 +2.125×ATR p91
1h ↑ up mid 5b — 1.396×ATR p4 +1.452×ATR p71
15m ↓ down early 3b — 1.561×ATR p3 +0.489×ATR p29

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00534607
  2. tp_price: 0.00601675
  3. atr: 0.00020957
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-30T06:15:18+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 3
  2. total: 83
  3. score: 0.8699
  4. delta_2h: 0.0215
  5. extension_atr: 1.25
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9614
  9. confidence: 0.976

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 20:15 0.00587000 0%
2 22:15 0.00592400 +0.92%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.00587 0.005346 0.006017 0.28 0.00633
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.00587
  • Stop Loss: 0.005346
  • Take Profit: 0.006017

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.005346 - 0.00587 = -0.000524

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.00587 - 0.006017 = -0.000147

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000147 / -0.000524 = 0.2805

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
89.6303 89.6303 15269.2154 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.000524

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000524 = -15267.18

Taille de position USD = -15267.18 x 0.00587 = -89.62

Donc, tu peux acheter -15267.18 avec un stoploss a 0.005346

Avec un position size USD de -89.62$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -15267.18 x -0.000524 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -15267.18 x -0.000147 = 2.24

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.24$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -15267.18
  • Taille de position USD -89.62
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.24
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2805

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 2.24 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
8.93 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-2.52 $ -2.81
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.4242 % 38.36 % 14
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.00587 0.005346 0.006017 0.28 0.00633
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.00587
  • Stop Loss: 0.005346
  • Take Profit: 0.006017

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.005346 - 0.00587 = -0.000524

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.00587 - 0.006017 = -0.000147

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000147 / -0.000524 = 0.2805

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -8.927% (0.0005)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.891% 0.2R -2.249% 0.3R 0.8× 12
2h +2.351% 0.3R -2.249% 0.3R 1.1× 24
4h +2.351% 0.3R -3.271% 0.4R 0.7× 48
6h ★ +2.351% 0.3R -3.424% 0.4R 0.7× 72
8h +2.351% 0.3R -3.918% 0.4R 0.6× 96
12h +2.351% 0.3R -3.918% 0.4R 0.6× 144

computed 4 days ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.