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Long Trade on AAVE

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29 Sep 2026 at 20:15:19 hyperliquid

Long Trade on AAVE (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 1.06 AAVE at 165.52$ per unit. Take profit: 169.658 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 157.9653 (4.56 %)

AAVE LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 20:15 → 02:10 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 165.52$

Qty 1.0589 AAVE

Size 175.2758$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 169.658 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.38$

SL 157.9653 (-4.56%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.55

Status loss PnL -1.88% / -3.3$ MAE -3.94% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 30 Sep 02:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 165902)
#8 / 83 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9443

Quality Score
0.638
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
94 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
57.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 20:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#8 / 83 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.56 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#8 / 83 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.56 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 2.92×ATR
4h clear —
1d clear 1.60×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

29/09 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

29/09 19:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4409
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range compression 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 37.6%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : mixed_dispersion
Leadership : mixed
% Positive (universe)
15m 71.4%
1h 36.5%
4h 42.9%
24h 46.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 65.1% +0.05%
4h 38.1% -0.13%
24h 41.3% -0.37%
Dispersion : 0.142
Universe : 63 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 29/09 20:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5380
Score SMA
0.5921
Rank
#64 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2841
Rank Norm SMA
0.3698
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6885 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.37% · r3d: -2.75% · ema21_slope: 1.1296% · dist_ema21: 7.070%
Force Relative 25% 0.5402 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.21% · rs_3d: -2.03% · beta_24h: 1.367
Volume 20% 0.3898 rvol_20: 1.16× · zscore_50: 0.081 · trend: 9.57%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7893 ADX: 35.3 (trend) · Chop: 38.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.397% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6384
Score SMA
0.5742
Rank
#8 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9443
Rank Norm SMA
0.5645
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7337 r1h: -0.446% · r4h: -0.187% · r1d: 10.53% · r3d: 6.05% · ema21_slope: 0.3986% · dist_ema21: 0.737%
Force Relative 25% 0.6571 rs_1h: -0.502% · rs_4h: -0.253% · rs_1d: 10.34% · rs_3d: 6.99% · beta_24h: 1.119
Volume 20% 0.2211 rvol_20: 0.24× · zscore_50: -0.489 · trend: -9.72%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6601 ADX: 34.6 (trend) · Chop: 54.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.911% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7096
Score SMA
0.6157
Rank
#6 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9637
Rank Norm SMA
0.5976
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7164 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.187% · r1d: 10.53% · r3d: 6.05% · ema21_slope: 0.2417% · dist_ema21: 5.573%
Force Relative 25% 0.7690 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.253% · rs_1d: 10.34% · rs_3d: 6.99% · beta_24h: 2.727
Volume 20% 0.4777 rvol_20: 0.96× · zscore_50: 0.071 · trend: 127.99%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7404 ADX: 28.8 (trend) · Chop: 26.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.8870 ATR%: 3.339% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.564% (7.5547)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -2.616% 0.6R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -3.250% 0.7R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -3.939% 0.9R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -3.939% 0.9R 0.0× 72
8h +0.000% 0.0R -4.217% 0.9R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -4.217% 0.9R 0.0× 144

computed 4 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 40% mid — — 0.69 bull_high +12.96% +0.70 27/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 38% mid — — 0.56 bull_high +1.75% +0.60 29/09 16:00
1h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high
73%
noisy_chop 49% late — — 0.50 range_medium -0.21% +0.79 29/09 19:00
15m ↔ neutral range range weak compressed compression bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 32% early — — 0.64 range_low +0.04% -0.01 29/09 19:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
166873 		↔ neutral bull_high
63%
mid 12b 0.9ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.558

—

—

1.16 above_value +0.12 ATR — #92614 27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:20
4h
177381 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
59%
mid 2b 1.5ATR noisy_chop 38% 0.592

—

—

0.96 above_value +3.33 ATR — #97245 29/09 16:00
upd 29/09 20:14
1h anchor
177380 		↑ up bull_high
73%
late 9b 0.4ATR noisy_chop 49% 0.683

—

—

0.24 above_value +3.33 ATR — #97245 29/09 19:00
upd 29/09 20:14
15m
177290 		↔ neutral bull_high
54%
early 7b -1.1ATR noisy_chop 32% 0.411

—

—

0.22 above_value +3.49 ATR — #97080 29/09 19:45
upd 29/09 20:01
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 12b — 3.801×ATR p52 +0.919×ATR p49
4h ↓ down mid 2b — 2×ATR p0 +1.458×ATR p75
1h ↓ down late 9b — 3.495×ATR p84 +0.363×ATR p18
15m ↓ down early 7b — 1.692×ATR p19 -1.11×ATR p44

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 157.96527678
  2. tp_price: 169.658
  3. atr: 3.02188929
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-30T06:15:19+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 6
  2. total: 83
  3. score: 0.7629
  4. delta_2h: 0.014
  5. extension_atr: 0.38
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9472
  9. confidence: 0.939

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
165.52 157.9653 169.658 0.55 182.94
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 165.52
  • Stop Loss: 157.9653
  • Take Profit: 169.658

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 157.9653 - 165.52 = -7.5547

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 165.52 - 169.658 = -4.138

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.138 / -7.5547 = 0.5477

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
175.2758 100 1.0589 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -7.5547

Taille de position = 8 / -7.5547 = -1.06

Taille de position USD = -1.06 x 165.52 = -175.45

Donc, tu peux acheter -1.06 avec un stoploss a 157.9653

Avec un position size USD de -175.45$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -1.06 x -7.5547 = 8.01

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -1.06 x -4.138 = 4.39

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.39$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -1.06
  • Taille de position USD -175.45
  • Perte potentielle 8.01
  • Gain potentiel 4.39
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5477

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 4.38 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.56 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-3.3 $ -1.88
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.9391 % 86.3 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
165.52 157.9653 169.658 0.55 182.94
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 165.52
  • Stop Loss: 157.9653
  • Take Profit: 169.658

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 157.9653 - 165.52 = -7.5547

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 165.52 - 169.658 = -4.138

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.138 / -7.5547 = 0.5477

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.564% (7.5547)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -2.616% 0.6R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -3.250% 0.7R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -3.939% 0.9R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -3.939% 0.9R 0.0× 72
8h +0.000% 0.0R -4.217% 0.9R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -4.217% 0.9R 0.0× 144

computed 4 days ago

Commentaires

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