Long Trade on AAVE (CatchTheWave)
With 8.3 AAVE at 162.56$ per unit. Take profit: 164.4866 (1.19 %) & Stop Loss: 161.5967 (0.59 %)
Long Trade on AAVE (CatchTheWave)
With 8.3 AAVE at 162.56$ per unit. Take profit: 164.4866 (1.19 %) & Stop Loss: 161.5967 (0.59 %)
Position
Entry 162.56$
Qty 8.3048 AAVE
Size 1350.0279$ (margin 100$) (leverage 14)
Risk Setup
TP 164.4866 (+1.19%)
TP $ 16$
SL 161.5967 (-0.59%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9443
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.92×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.04×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.045265 15m : 0.476544 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 29/09 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 29/09 19:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | compression | 0.25 |
| 15m | 44.4% |
| 1h | 47.6% |
| 4h | 14.3% |
| 24h | 52.4% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 38.1% | -0.08% |
| 4h | 9.5% | -1.04% |
| 24h | 41.3% | +0.12% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9172 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 10.53% · r3d: 6.05% · ema21_slope: 1.1874% · dist_ema21: 16.405% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8882 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 10.34% · rs_3d: 6.99% · beta_24h: 1.366 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9515 | rvol_20: 3.64× · zscore_50: 2.513 · trend: 87.97% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8005 | ADX: 36.1 (trend) · Chop: 26.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.679% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7337 | r1h: -0.446% · r4h: -0.187% · r1d: 10.53% · r3d: 6.05% · ema21_slope: 0.3986% · dist_ema21: 0.737% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6571 | rs_1h: -0.502% · rs_4h: -0.253% · rs_1d: 10.34% · rs_3d: 6.99% · beta_24h: 1.119 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2211 | rvol_20: 0.24× · zscore_50: -0.489 · trend: -9.72% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6601 | ADX: 34.6 (trend) · Chop: 54.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.911% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7164 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.187% · r1d: 10.53% · r3d: 6.05% · ema21_slope: 0.2417% · dist_ema21: 5.573% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7690 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.253% · rs_1d: 10.34% · rs_3d: 6.99% · beta_24h: 2.727 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4777 | rvol_20: 0.96× · zscore_50: 0.071 · trend: 127.99% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7404 | ADX: 28.8 (trend) · Chop: 26.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8870 | ATR%: 3.339% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.443% | 0.8R | -0.843% | 1.4R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.443% | 0.8R | -1.575% | 2.7R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.443% | 0.8R | -2.190% | 3.7R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.443% | 0.8R | -2.473% | 4.2R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.443% | 0.8R | -2.473% | 4.2R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 5 days ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.68 | bull_high | +12.90% | +0.97 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.56 | bull_high | +1.75% | +0.60 | 29/09 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
73%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | — | 0.50 | range_medium | -0.21% | +0.79 | 29/09 19:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | weak | compressed | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | — | 0.63 | range_low | -0.10% | +0.00 | 29/09 20:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
177481 |
↔ neutral | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
late 13b 1.9ATR | noisy_chop 42% | 0.562 |
— near 0.0ATR |
3.64 | above_value | +3.33 ATR | — | #97245 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:20
|
|
4h
177381 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
mid 2b 1.5ATR | noisy_chop 38% | 0.592 |
— — |
0.96 | above_value | +3.33 ATR | — | #97245 |
29/09 16:00
upd 29/09 20:14
|
|
1h
anchor
177380 |
↑ up | bull_high |
73%
|
late 9b 0.4ATR | noisy_chop 49% | 0.683 |
— — |
0.24 | above_value | +3.33 ATR | — | #97245 |
29/09 19:00
upd 29/09 20:14
|
|
15m
177480 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
54%
|
mid 8b -1.5ATR | noisy_chop 34% | 0.329 |
— — |
2.59 | above_value | +3.33 ATR | — | #97245 |
29/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:19
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 4.72×ATR | p71 | +1.897×ATR | p88 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2×ATR | p0 | +1.458×ATR | p75 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 3.495×ATR | p84 | +0.363×ATR | p18 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 2.17×ATR | p46 | -1.517×ATR | p64 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
83455.8
-0.000549159
83410
-0.045265
83578.1
-0.00201203
83410
0.476544
83747.3
-0.000839666
83677
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176.23
189
0.7413
0.6484
0.3037
0.2461
0.3508
1
0.2789
0.5879
0.6983
0.5447
0.6352
0.6792
0.0711
0.1088
1
0.4323
2.33
0.55
0.45
1
10
1
0.5078
0.5297
8.2023
0.6
7.6599
12.2788
2.33
0
0.3001
0.54
0.031
0.5415
0.5087
0.6466
0.6792
-4.0012
8.4731
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20:22 | 162.56000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 20:33 | 163.20000000 | +0.394% |
| 3 | 20:43 | 162.47000000 | -0.055% |
| 4 | 20:52 | 162.17000000 | -0.24% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 18:45:00 | 164.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 20:00:00 | 164.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 20:35:00 | 166.67 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 21:00:00 | 165.28 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 22:00:00 | 167.32 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 22:45:00 | 166.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 23:00:00 | 165.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 23:40:00 | 164.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 00:00:00 | 166.17 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 00:20:00 | 162.42 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 00:30:00 | 149.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 02:30:00 | 146.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 14:30:00 | 176.23 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 18:45:00 | 164.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 22:00:00 | 167.32 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 00:15:00 | 162.64 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 04:00:00 | 154.02 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 07:00:00 | 157.57 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 15:00:00 | 151.69 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 18:00:00 | 156.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 00:00:00 | 156.51 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 13:00:00 | 151.03 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 14:00:00 | 144.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 22:00:00 | 145.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 14:00:00 | 176.23 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 18:00:00 | 164.22 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 162.56 | 161.5967 | 164.4866 | 2 | 186.33 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 161.5967 - 162.56 = -0.9633
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 162.56 - 164.4866 = -1.9266
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.9266 / -0.9633 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1350.0279 | 100 | 8.3048 | 14.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.9633 = -8.3
Taille de position USD = -8.3 x 162.56 = -1349.25
Donc, tu peux acheter -8.3 avec un stoploss a 161.5967
Avec un position size USD de -1349.25$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -8.3 x -0.9633 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -8.3 x -1.9266 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.19 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.59 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.59 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8428 % | 142.22 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 162.56 | 161.5967 | 164.4866 | 2 | 186.33 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 161.5967 - 162.56 = -0.9633
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 162.56 - 164.4866 = -1.9266
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.9266 / -0.9633 = 2
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(
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.443% | 0.8R | -0.843% | 1.4R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.443% | 0.8R | -1.575% | 2.7R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.443% | 0.8R | -2.190% | 3.7R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.443% | 0.8R | -2.473% | 4.2R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.443% | 0.8R | -2.473% | 4.2R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 5 days ago
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