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Short Trade on APEX

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29 Sep 2026 at 23:15:06 hyperliquid

Short Trade on APEX (momentum_rotation_score)

With 409.83 APEX at 0.268$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2874 (7.28 %)

APEX SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 23:15 → 02:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.2679$

Qty 409.8338 APEX

Size 109.8027$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 109.79$

SL 0.2874 (-7.28%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR

Status loss PnL -1.30% / -1.42$ MAE -2.14% MFE +0.22% 0.0R expires 30 Sep 02:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 166371)
#61 / 82 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2044

Quality Score
0.437
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 23:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#61 / 82 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-4 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.28 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#61 / 82 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-4 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.28 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.38×ATR
4h clear —
1d clear 3.68×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h — — OK
1d ↑ up late OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

27/09 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/09 22:00

Score : -2 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4421
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 -2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range compression 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 40.9%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : mixed_dispersion
Leadership : mixed
% Positive (universe)
15m 59.7%
1h 12.9%
4h 35.5%
24h 75.8%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 53.2% +0.04%
4h 51.6% -0.28%
24h 71.0% +2.21%
Dispersion : 0.124
Universe : 62 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 29/09 23:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7723
Score SMA
0.5595
Rank
#11 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8864
Rank Norm SMA
0.5132
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8664 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 8.74% · r3d: 14.10% · ema21_slope: 0.7397% · dist_ema21: 17.114%
Force Relative 25% 0.8712 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 9.90% · rs_3d: 14.83% · beta_24h: 1.274
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 5.35× · zscore_50: 3.184 · trend: 107.99%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6308 ADX: 16.3 (weak) · Chop: 38.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.110% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.4373
Score SMA
0.5390
Rank
#61 / 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2044
Rank Norm SMA
0.5247
Calculé le
29/09/2026 23:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4048 r1h: 3.449% · r4h: 3.195% · r1d: -5.27% · r3d: 0.18% · ema21_slope: -0.4544% · dist_ema21: -1.230%
Force Relative 25% 0.6373 rs_1h: 3.522% · rs_4h: 3.469% · rs_1d: -5.78% · rs_3d: 1.47% · beta_24h: 1.225
Volume 20% 0.1726 rvol_20: 0.39× · zscore_50: -0.613 · trend: -39.88%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6641 ADX: 26.7 (trend) · Chop: 45.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.698% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4410
Score SMA
0.5693
Rank
#61 / 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4312
Rank Norm SMA
0.6170
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4604 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.924% · r1d: -12.34% · r3d: -4.70% · ema21_slope: 0.3311% · dist_ema21: -5.746%
Force Relative 25% 0.2705 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.990% · rs_1d: -12.53% · rs_3d: -3.76% · beta_24h: 3.115
Volume 20% 0.5246 rvol_20: 1.17× · zscore_50: 0.649 · trend: 80.81%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7596 ADX: 31.1 (trend) · Chop: 33.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.1636 ATR%: 5.509% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -7.279% (0.0195)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.217% 0.0R -1.766% 0.2R 0.1× 12
2h +0.217% 0.0R -1.766% 0.2R 0.1× 24
3h ★ +0.217% 0.0R -2.143% 0.3R 0.1× 36
4h +1.303% 0.2R -2.143% 0.3R 0.6× 48
8h +1.303% 0.2R -4.965% 0.7R 0.3× 96
12h +1.303% 0.2R -9.963% 1.4R 0.1× 144

computed 5 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.21
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate balanced expansion bull_high_confirmed
67%
noisy_chop 42% late — — 0.44 bull_high +12.96% +1.00 27/09 20:00
4h —
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 45% early — — 0.33 range_medium -0.51% -0.70 29/09 22:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
63%
noisy_chop 44% early — — 0.38 range_low -0.24% -0.09 29/09 22:30
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
167096 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
67%
late 20b 1.7ATR noisy_chop 42% 0.633

—

—

5.35 value +3.02 ATR — #92669 27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:30
4h
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
1h anchor
178799 		↓ down bear_high
58%
early 2b -0.5ATR noisy_chop 45% 0.373

—

—

0.39 above_value +0.58 ATR — #97881 29/09 22:00
upd 29/09 23:11
15m
178642 		↓ down bear_high
63%
early 6b 0.1ATR noisy_chop 44% 0.356

—

—

0.13 above_value -0.01 ATR — #97718 29/09 22:30
upd 29/09 22:48
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 20b — 4.389×ATR p47 +1.704×ATR p83
1h ↑ up early 2b — 1.772×ATR p13 -0.51×ATR p32
15m ↓ down early 6b — 0.607×ATR p0 +0.136×ATR p5

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.28744011
  2. atr: 0.0065067
  3. expires_at: 2026-09-30T06:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 81
  2. total: 84
  3. score: 0.3068
  4. confidence: 0.964

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2679 0.2874 0.2342
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2679
  • Stop Loss: 0.2874
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2874 - 0.2679 = 0.0195

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2679 - = 0.2679

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2679 / 0.0195 = 13.7385

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
109.8027 100 409.8338 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0195

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0195 = 410.26

Taille de position USD = 410.26 x 0.2679 = 109.91

Donc, tu peux acheter 410.26 avec un stoploss a 0.2874

Avec un position size USD de 109.91$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 410.26 x 0.0195 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 410.26 x 0.2679 = 109.91

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 109.91$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 410.26
  • Taille de position USD 109.91
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 109.91
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 13.7385

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 109.79 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
7.28 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-1.42 $ -1.30
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.7656 % 24.26 % 5
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2679 0.2874 0.2342
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2679
  • Stop Loss: 0.2874
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2874 - 0.2679 = 0.0195

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2679 - = 0.2679

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2679 / 0.0195 = 13.7385

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -7.279% (0.0195)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.217% 0.0R -1.766% 0.2R 0.1× 12
2h +0.217% 0.0R -1.766% 0.2R 0.1× 24
3h ★ +0.217% 0.0R -2.143% 0.3R 0.1× 36
4h +1.303% 0.2R -2.143% 0.3R 0.6× 48
8h +1.303% 0.2R -4.965% 0.7R 0.3× 96
12h +1.303% 0.2R -9.963% 1.4R 0.1× 144

computed 5 days ago

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