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Short Trade on NIL

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29 Sep 2026 at 23:15:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_score)

With 1259.49 NIL at 0.0794$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08576 (8 %)

NIL SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 23:15 → 02:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.07941$

Qty 1259.4875 NIL

Size 100.0121$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 100.02$

SL 0.08576 (-8%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -5.54% / -5.54$ MAE -6.96% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 30 Sep 02:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 166362)
#81 / 82 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0108

Quality Score
0.365
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 23:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#81 / 82 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.00 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#81 / 82 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.00 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.59×ATR
4h clear 1.03×ATR
1d clear 2.22×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

29/09 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/09 22:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4421
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 -2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range compression 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 40.9%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : mixed_dispersion
Leadership : mixed
% Positive (universe)
15m 59.7%
1h 12.9%
4h 35.5%
24h 75.8%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 53.2% +0.04%
4h 51.6% -0.28%
24h 71.0% +2.21%
Dispersion : 0.124
Universe : 62 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 29/09 23:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5133
Score SMA
0.6642
Rank
#61 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2683
Rank Norm SMA
0.6124
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6294 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -11.15% · r3d: -24.37% · ema21_slope: 6.7344% · dist_ema21: 3.670%
Force Relative 25% 0.3646 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -11.34% · rs_3d: -23.43% · beta_24h: 0.670
Volume 20% 0.4943 rvol_20: 0.95× · zscore_50: 0.437 · trend: 95.24%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8964 ADX: 47.6 (trend) · Chop: 7.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 19.534% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.3648
Score SMA
0.4649
Rank
#81 / 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0108
Rank Norm SMA
0.2613
Calculé le
29/09/2026 23:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2460 r1h: 1.062% · r4h: 0.298% · r1d: -1.79% · r3d: -19.32% · ema21_slope: -0.2753% · dist_ema21: -1.212%
Force Relative 25% 0.4055 rs_1h: 1.135% · rs_4h: 0.572% · rs_1d: -2.30% · rs_3d: -18.04% · beta_24h: 4.423
Volume 20% 0.1648 rvol_20: 0.25× · zscore_50: -0.527 · trend: -55.69%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5946 ADX: 31.8 (trend) · Chop: 59.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.859% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2151
Score SMA
0.5135
Rank
#84 / 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0062
Rank Norm SMA
0.3887
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1928 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.892% · r1d: -11.15% · r3d: -24.37% · ema21_slope: -1.2197% · dist_ema21: -13.314%
Force Relative 25% 0.1571 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.958% · rs_1d: -11.34% · rs_3d: -23.43% · beta_24h: 5.499
Volume 20% 0.1593 rvol_20: 0.49× · zscore_50: -0.737 · trend: -43.67%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5742 ADX: 26.5 (trend) · Chop: 56.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.537% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -7.997% (0.0064)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.180% 0.2R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -2.958% 0.4R 0.0× 24
3h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -6.960% 0.9R 0.0× 36
4h +0.000% 0.0R -10.043% 1.3R 0.0× 48
8h +0.000% 0.0R -17.286% 2.2R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -25.055% 3.1R 0.0× 144

computed 5 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 46% mid — — 0.30 bull_high +12.90% +1.00 28/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range strong balanced compression bear_high
48%
noisy_chop 43% late — — 0.13 bull_high +1.75% -1.00 29/09 16:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 40% early — near 0.2ATR 0.12 range_medium -0.51% -0.27 29/09 22:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate grind expansion bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 38% early — — 0.40 range_low -0.23% -0.07 29/09 22:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177642 		↑ up bull_high
64%
mid 5b 0.1ATR noisy_chop 46% 0.823

—

—

0.95 below_value -15.66 ATR — #97289 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:28
4h
177533 		↔ neutral bear_high
48%
late 26b -2.1ATR noisy_chop 43% 0.529

—

—

0.49 below_value -15.66 ATR — #97289 29/09 16:00
upd 29/09 20:22
1h anchor
178789 		↓ down bear_high
57%
early 8b -0.4ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.499

—

near 0.2ATR

0.25 below_value -15.64 ATR — #97871 29/09 22:00
upd 29/09 23:11
15m
178712 		↓ down bear_high
59%
early 8b 0.5ATR noisy_chop 38% 0.382

—

—

1.25 below_value -16.31 ATR — #97708 29/09 22:45
upd 29/09 23:03
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 5b — 4.669×ATR p62 +0.141×ATR p11
4h ↓ down late 26b — 8.294×ATR p93 -2.096×ATR p83
1h ↓ down early 8b — 1.315×ATR p7 -0.41×ATR p16
15m ↑ up early 8b — 2.548×ATR p37 +0.502×ATR p32

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.08575879
  2. atr: 0.00211726
  3. expires_at: 2026-09-30T06:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 82
  2. total: 84
  3. score: 0.196
  4. confidence: 0.976

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.07941 0.08576 0.09567
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.07941
  • Stop Loss: 0.08576
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.08576 - 0.07941 = 0.00635

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.07941 - = 0.07941

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.07941 / 0.00635 = 12.5055

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
100.0121 100 1259.4875 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00635

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00635 = 1259.84

Taille de position USD = 1259.84 x 0.07941 = 100.04

Donc, tu peux acheter 1259.84 avec un stoploss a 0.08576

Avec un position size USD de 100.04$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1259.84 x 0.00635 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1259.84 x 0.07941 = 100.04

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 100.04$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1259.84
  • Taille de position USD 100.04
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 100.04
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 12.5055

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 100.02 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
8 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-5.54 $ -5.54
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-6.9601 % 87.04 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.07941 0.08576 0.09567
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.07941
  • Stop Loss: 0.08576
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.08576 - 0.07941 = 0.00635

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.07941 - = 0.07941

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.07941 / 0.00635 = 12.5055

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.07941
            [stop_loss] => 0.086395
            [rr_ratio] => 11.37
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 07:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.07941
            [stop_loss] => 0.08703
            [rr_ratio] => 10.42
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 07:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.07941
            [stop_loss] => 0.087665
            [rr_ratio] => 9.62
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 07:20:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.07941
            [stop_loss] => 0.088935
            [rr_ratio] => 8.34
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 08:50:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -7.997% (0.0064)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.180% 0.2R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -2.958% 0.4R 0.0× 24
3h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -6.960% 0.9R 0.0× 36
4h +0.000% 0.0R -10.043% 1.3R 0.0× 48
8h +0.000% 0.0R -17.286% 2.2R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -25.055% 3.1R 0.0× 144

computed 5 days ago

Commentaires

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