29 Sep 2026 at 23:15:14 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 15908.68 PUMP at 0.00586$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006008 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.005358 (8.58 %)

PUMP LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 23:15 → 05:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.005861$

Qty 15908.6842 PUMP

Size 93.2408$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.006008 (+2.51%)

TP $ 2.34$

SL 0.005358 (-8.58%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.29

Status loss PnL -1.09% / -1.02$ MAE -3.77% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 30 Sep 05:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 166365)
#8 / 82 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9414

Quality Score
0.630
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
273.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 23:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#8 / 82 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.58 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#8 / 82 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.58 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear —
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

29/09 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

29/09 22:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4421
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range compression 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 40.9%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : mixed_dispersion
Leadership : mixed
% Positive (universe)
15m 59.7%
1h 12.9%
4h 35.5%
24h 75.8%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 53.2% +0.04%
4h 51.6% -0.28%
24h 71.0% +2.21%
Dispersion : 0.124
Universe : 62 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 29/09 23:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8549
Score SMA
0.5683
Rank
#3 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9756
Rank Norm SMA
0.3897
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9854 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 19.54% · r3d: 33.89% · ema21_slope: 1.1367% · dist_ema21: 34.114%
Force Relative 25% 0.9756 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 19.34% · rs_3d: 34.83% · beta_24h: 1.139
Volume 20% 0.9891 rvol_20: 3.56× · zscore_50: 2.836 · trend: 114.29%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7837 ADX: 34.0 (trend) · Chop: 34.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.640% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.6302
Score SMA
0.5922
Rank
#8 / 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9414
Rank Norm SMA
0.5430
Calculé le
29/09/2026 23:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8096 r1h: -0.136% · r4h: -0.238% · r1d: 24.90% · r3d: 32.84% · ema21_slope: 0.6880% · dist_ema21: 4.156%
Force Relative 25% 0.7481 rs_1h: -0.063% · rs_4h: 0.036% · rs_1d: 24.40% · rs_3d: 34.13% · beta_24h: 2.146
Volume 20% 0.1759 rvol_20: 0.39× · zscore_50: -0.706 · trend: -32.72%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5579 ADX: 39.0 (trend) · Chop: 71.2 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.8124 ATR%: 3.563% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7144
Score SMA
0.5866
Rank
#4 / 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9696
Rank Norm SMA
0.4614
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8940 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.323% · r1d: 19.54% · r3d: 33.89% · ema21_slope: 1.1262% · dist_ema21: 16.105%
Force Relative 25% 0.8804 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.257% · rs_1d: 19.34% · rs_3d: 34.83% · beta_24h: 1.482
Volume 20% 0.4884 rvol_20: 0.90× · zscore_50: 0.503 · trend: 92.77%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7897 ADX: 35.2 (trend) · Chop: 38.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0994 ATR%: 5.702% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -8.582% (0.0005)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -3.122% 0.4R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -3.122% 0.4R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -3.771% 0.4R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -3.771% 0.4R 0.0× 72
8h +0.119% 0.0R -3.771% 0.4R 0.0× 96
12h +0.119% 0.0R -6.484% 0.8R 0.0× 144

computed 6 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.01
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion bull_high_confirmed
69%
noisy_chop 44% late — — 0.50 bull_high +12.90% +1.00 28/09 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 47% late — — 0.27 bull_high +1.75% +0.99 29/09 16:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading normal bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 37% early — — 0.36 range_medium -0.51% +0.96 29/09 22:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate balanced compression bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 37% early near -0.7ATR near 0.1ATR 0.47 range_low -0.23% +0.10 29/09 22:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177651
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
69%
late 13b 2.7ATR noisy_chop 44% 0.682

—

—

3.56 value +4.00 ATR inside #97293 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:29
4h
177549
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
58%
late 5b 2.0ATR noisy_chop 47% 0.669

—

—

0.90 value +4.00 ATR — #97293 29/09 16:00
upd 29/09 20:23
1h anchor
178793
↑ up bull_high
67%
early 9b 1.1ATR noisy_chop 37% 0.368

—

—

0.39 value +3.92 ATR — #97875 29/09 22:00
upd 29/09 23:11
15m
178713
↑ up bull_high
60%
early 6b -0.1ATR noisy_chop 37% 0.508

near -0.7ATR

near 0.1ATR

0.41 value +4.02 ATR — #97712 29/09 22:45
upd 29/09 23:03
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 13b — 4.413×ATR p70 +2.701×ATR p97
4h ↑ up late 5b — 3.622×ATR p71 +2.005×ATR p89
1h ↑ up early 9b — 1.391×ATR p3 +1.104×ATR p56
15m ↓ down early 6b — 1.592×ATR p3 -0.123×ATR p11

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00535813
  2. tp_price: 0.00600752
  3. atr: 0.00020115
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-30T09:15:14+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 5
  2. total: 84
  3. score: 0.8128
  4. delta_2h: 0.035
  5. extension_atr: 0.92
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9429
  9. confidence: 0.952

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.005861 0.005358 0.006008 0.29 0.006478
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.005861
  • Stop Loss: 0.005358
  • Take Profit: 0.006008

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.005358 - 0.005861 = -0.000503

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.005861 - 0.006008 = -0.000147

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000147 / -0.000503 = 0.2922

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
93.2408 93.2408 15908.6842 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.000503

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000503 = -15904.57

Taille de position USD = -15904.57 x 0.005861 = -93.22

Donc, tu peux acheter -15904.57 avec un stoploss a 0.005358

Avec un position size USD de -93.22$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -15904.57 x -0.000503 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -15904.57 x -0.000147 = 2.34

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.34$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -15904.57
  • Taille de position USD -93.22
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.34
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2922

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 2.34 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
8.58 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-1.02 $ -1.09
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.7707 % 43.94 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.005861 0.005358 0.006008 0.29 0.006478
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.005861
  • Stop Loss: 0.005358
  • Take Profit: 0.006008

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.005358 - 0.005861 = -0.000503

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.005861 - 0.006008 = -0.000147

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000147 / -0.000503 = 0.2922

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -8.582% (0.0005)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -3.122% 0.4R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -3.122% 0.4R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -3.771% 0.4R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -3.771% 0.4R 0.0× 72
8h +0.119% 0.0R -3.771% 0.4R 0.0× 96
12h +0.119% 0.0R -6.484% 0.8R 0.0× 144

computed 6 days ago

Commentaires

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