Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 95946.27 PENGU at 0.00983$ per unit. Take profit: 0.009998 (1.7 %) & Stop Loss: 0.009748 (0.84 %)
Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 95946.27 PENGU at 0.00983$ per unit. Take profit: 0.009998 (1.7 %) & Stop Loss: 0.009748 (0.84 %)
Position
Entry 0.009831$
Qty 95946.2701 PENGU
Size 943.2478$ (margin 100$) (leverage 9)
Risk Setup
TP 0.009998 (+1.7%)
TP $ 16.02$
SL 0.009748 (-0.84%)
SL $ 7.96$
RR 2.01
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7900
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.73×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.45×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.77×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.633279 15m : 0.620568 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 29/09 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 29/09 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | compression | 0.25 |
| 15m | 14.5% |
| 1h | 33.9% |
| 4h | 59.7% |
| 24h | 72.6% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 14.5% | -0.16% |
| 4h | 72.6% | +0.30% |
| 24h | 67.7% | +1.60% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8147 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 5.30% · r3d: 0.47% · ema21_slope: 1.6119% · dist_ema21: 11.501% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6241 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 5.11% · rs_3d: 1.41% · beta_24h: 1.603 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3863 | rvol_20: 0.89× · zscore_50: -0.032 · trend: 45.01% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8069 | ADX: 36.8 (trend) · Chop: 30.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.866% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5714 | r1h: -1.955% · r4h: 0.222% · r1d: 9.89% · r3d: 0.98% · ema21_slope: 0.1721% · dist_ema21: 0.962% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5681 | rs_1h: -1.882% · rs_4h: 0.496% · rs_1d: 9.39% · rs_3d: 2.26% · beta_24h: 2.821 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3906 | rvol_20: 1.53× · zscore_50: 0.018 · trend: -31.76% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5721 | ADX: 22.2 (weak) · Chop: 52.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.258% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6236 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.239% · r1d: 5.30% · r3d: 0.47% · ema21_slope: -0.1983% · dist_ema21: 2.151% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6136 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.173% · rs_1d: 5.11% · rs_3d: 1.41% · beta_24h: 2.794 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1545 | rvol_20: 0.30× · zscore_50: -1.009 · trend: -33.69% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6550 | ADX: 34.1 (trend) · Chop: 54.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5102 | ATR%: 4.469% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.872% | 2.2R | -0.163% | 0.2R | 11.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.872% | 2.2R | -0.265% | 0.3R | 7.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.872% | 2.2R | -1.750% | 2.1R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.045% | 6.0R | -1.750% | 2.1R | 2.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.290% | 9.8R | -1.750% | 2.1R | 4.7× | 144 |
computed 6 days ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.72 | bull_high | +12.90% | +0.96 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.57 | bull_high | +1.75% | -0.22 | 29/09 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.50 | range_medium | -0.51% | +0.53 | 29/09 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.75 | range_low | -0.29% | -0.04 | 29/09 23:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
177627 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
mid 14b 1.0ATR | noisy_chop 40% | 0.682 |
— near -0.8ATR |
0.89 | above_value | +0.34 ATR | — | #97282 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:27
|
|
4h
177504 |
↑ up | bull_high |
54%
|
early 5b 0.5ATR | noisy_chop 34% | 0.677 |
— near 0.4ATR |
0.30 | above_value | +0.34 ATR | — | #97282 |
29/09 16:00
upd 29/09 20:21
|
|
1h
anchor
178782 |
↑ up | bull_high |
66%
|
early 9b 0.4ATR | noisy_chop 40% | 0.545 |
— — |
1.53 | above_value | +0.35 ATR | — | #97864 |
29/09 22:00
upd 29/09 23:11
|
|
15m
178939 |
↔ neutral | range_high |
40%
|
early 7b -1.3ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.797 |
near -0.5ATR — |
1.88 | above_value | +0.35 ATR | — | #97864 |
29/09 23:15
upd 29/09 23:32
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 14b | — | 3.736×ATR | p53 | +1.044×ATR | p58 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 2.207×ATR | p4 | +0.463×ATR | p21 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 1.784×ATR | p15 | +0.418×ATR | p23 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -1.263×ATR | p54 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
83468.9
-0.00231117
83276
0.633279
83457.7
-0.00217758
83276
0.620568
83731.1
-0.00562743
83260
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0.010309
198
0.7003
0.5475
0.3032
0.2359
0.3583
1
0.3805
0.541
0.6393
0.2648
0.5973
0.4736
0.0868
0.0451
1
0.3204
0.6578
0.5
0.5
1
1
1
0.5282
0.3485
4.9552
0.55
1.4698
3.603
0.6578
0.638
0.2709
0.12
-0.0108
0.5119
0.5091
0.8985
0.4736
-5.0506
4.5431
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:34 | 0.00983100 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:53 | 0.00981600 | -0.153% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 22:30:00 | 0.00989 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 23:00:00 | 0.009893 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 23:15:00 | 0.010062 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 23:40:00 | 0.009877 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 00:25:00 | 0.009923 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 00:30:00 | 0.010058 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 01:20:00 | 0.010222 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 01:35:00 | 0.010047 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 02:10:00 | 0.010309 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 03:30:00 | 0.009802 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 13:30:00 | 0.009844 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 14:45:00 | 0.010014 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 17:45:00 | 0.00953 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 19:00:00 | 0.010091 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 20:00:00 | 0.009816 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 21:45:00 | 0.009884 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 23:15:00 | 0.010062 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 23:30:00 | 0.009877 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 02:00:00 | 0.010309 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 03:30:00 | 0.009802 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 12:00:00 | 0.01095 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 16:00:00 | 0.009921 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 00:00:00 | 0.0105 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 09:00:00 | 0.00939 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 13:00:00 | 0.01005 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 02:00:00 | 0.008984 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 13:00:00 | 0.01006 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 17:00:00 | 0.00953 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 19:00:00 | 0.010091 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 02:00:00 | 0.010309 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.009831 | 0.009748 | 0.009998 | 2.01 | 0.008556 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.009748 - 0.009831 = -8.3E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.009831 - 0.009998 = -0.000167
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000167 / -8.3E-5 = 2.012
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 943.2478 | 100 | 95946.2701 | 9.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -8.3E-5 = -96385.54
Taille de position USD = -96385.54 x 0.009831 = -947.57
Donc, tu peux acheter -96385.54 avec un stoploss a 0.009748
Avec un position size USD de -947.57$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -96385.54 x -8.3E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -96385.54 x -0.000167 = 16.1
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.1$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.7 % | 16.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.84 % | 7.96 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.02 $ | 1.70 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1628 % | 19.28 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.009831 | 0.009748 | 0.009998 | 2.01 | 0.008556 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.009748 - 0.009831 = -8.3E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.009831 - 0.009998 = -0.000167
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000167 / -8.3E-5 = 2.012
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[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.010163
[stop_loss] => 0.009748
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 06:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0102045
[stop_loss] => 0.009748
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 06:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.010246
[stop_loss] => 0.009748
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 06:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0102875
[stop_loss] => 0.009748
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 06:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.010329
[stop_loss] => 0.009748
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 06:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0103705
[stop_loss] => 0.009748
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 06:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.010412
[stop_loss] => 0.009748
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 06:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.872% | 2.2R | -0.163% | 0.2R | 11.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.872% | 2.2R | -0.265% | 0.3R | 7.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.872% | 2.2R | -1.750% | 2.1R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.045% | 6.0R | -1.750% | 2.1R | 2.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.290% | 9.8R | -1.750% | 2.1R | 4.7× | 144 |
computed 6 days ago
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