Long Trade on ASTER (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 370.01 ASTER at 0.749$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7674 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7271 (2.89 %)
30 Sep 2026 at 00:15:07
hyperliquid
ASTER
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Sep 2026 00:15
→ 04:15
· 3 hours
Position
Entry 0.7487$
Qty 370.0117 ASTER
Size 277.0277$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.7674 (+2.5%)
TP $ 6.92$
SL 0.7271 (-2.89%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.87
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +6.92$
MAE -0.63%
MFE +3.08%
1.1R
expires
30 Sep 06:15
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 166447)
#3 / 79
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 00:00
score du 30/09/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8127
Quality Score
0.703
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
6.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 00:02
30/09 00:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#3 / 79
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#3 / 79
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.97×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.62×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.41×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 29/09 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 29/09 22:00 Score : +4 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4425
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | compression | 0.25 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
43.0%
Impulse :
+0.00
Participation :
mixed_dispersion
Leadership :
alts
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 30.7% |
| 1h | 6.5% |
| 4h | 41.9% |
| 24h | 67.7% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 27.4% | -0.08% |
| 4h | 58.1% | -0.21% |
| 24h | 61.3% | +1.20% |
Dispersion :
0.114
Universe :
62
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
30/09 00:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4550
Score SMA
0.4199
Rank
#76
/ 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0854
Rank Norm SMA
0.0432
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6133 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.47% · r3d: -1.66% · ema21_slope: 0.0613% · dist_ema21: 0.580% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5323 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.28% · rs_3d: -0.72% · beta_24h: 0.706 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2548 | rvol_20: 0.85× · zscore_50: -0.419 · trend: -30.28% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5172 | ADX: 15.7 (weak) · Chop: 52.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0940 | ATR%: 5.718% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/09/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.7029
Score SMA
0.5265
Rank
#3
/ 79
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8127
Rank Norm SMA
0.4423
Calculé le
30/09/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6844 | r1h: 0.005% · r4h: 3.021% · r1d: 6.24% · r3d: 2.29% · ema21_slope: 0.1415% · dist_ema21: 2.518% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6800 | rs_1h: 0.093% · rs_4h: 3.439% · rs_1d: 5.96% · rs_3d: 3.61% · beta_24h: 0.796 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8154 | rvol_20: 2.33× · zscore_50: 1.832 · trend: 178.00% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7188 | ADX: 26.3 (trend) · Chop: 33.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.212% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/09/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.7518
Score SMA
0.4971
Rank
#2
/ 79
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7527
Rank Norm SMA
0.2736
Calculé le
30/09/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6128 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 3.021% · r1d: 6.24% · r3d: 2.29% · ema21_slope: -0.0648% · dist_ema21: 3.541% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7086 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 3.439% · rs_1d: 5.96% · rs_3d: 3.61% · beta_24h: 1.394 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9855 | rvol_20: 5.23× · zscore_50: 3.152 · trend: 89.16% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6015 | ADX: 18.4 (weak) · Chop: 44.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.210% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.885%
(0.0216)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.406% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.158% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +2.814% | 1.0R | -0.628% | 0.2R | 4.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.083% | 1.1R | -0.628% | 0.2R | 4.9× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.299% | 1.1R | -0.628% | 0.2R | 5.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.398% | 1.5R | -0.628% | 0.2R | 7.0× | 144 |
computed 6 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.43
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near -0.3ATR | near 0.4ATR | 0.57 | bull_high | +12.90% | -0.65 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
35%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.40 | bull_high | +1.75% | -0.11 | 29/09 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
66%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.51 | range_medium | -0.51% | +0.48 | 29/09 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | 0.56 | range_low | -0.29% | +0.32 | 29/09 23:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
177657 |
↑ up | bull_high |
54%
|
early 6b 0.1ATR | noisy_chop 36% | 0.613 |
near -0.3ATR near 0.4ATR |
0.85 | above_value | +2.32 ATR | — | #97296 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:29
|
|
4h
177561 |
↔ neutral | range_high |
35%
|
early 8b 0.4ATR | noisy_chop 34% | 0.561 |
— — |
0.42 | above_value | +2.32 ATR | — | #97296 |
29/09 16:00
upd 29/09 20:24
|
|
1h
anchor
178796 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
66%
|
late 1b 2.3ATR | noisy_chop 42% | 0.627 |
— — |
3.98 | above_value | +4.34 ATR | — | #97878 |
29/09 22:00
upd 29/09 23:11
|
|
15m
179102 |
↑ up | bull_high |
55%
|
early 3b 0.9ATR | noisy_chop 46% | 0.721 |
— — |
0.11 | above_value | +4.34 ATR | — | #97878 |
29/09 23:45
upd 30/09 00:04
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 2.022×ATR | p0 | +0.102×ATR | p9 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 2.304×ATR | p12 | +0.411×ATR | p39 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 1.206×ATR | p2 | +2.335×ATR | p97 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 0.956×ATR | p0 | +0.894×ATR | p39 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.72707906
- tp_price: 0.7674175
- atr: 0.00864838
- expires_at: 2026-09-30T10:15:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 9
- total: 82
- score: 0.6713
- delta_2h: 0.0274
- extension_atr: 2.01
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.811
- confidence: 0.901
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:15 | 0.74870000 | 0% |
| 2 | 01:15 | 0.75375000 | +0.675% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7487 | 0.7271 | 0.7674 | 0.87 | 0.7053 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.7487
- Stop Loss: 0.7271
- Take Profit: 0.7674
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7271 - 0.7487 = -0.0216
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7487 - 0.7674 = -0.0187
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0187 / -0.0216 = 0.8657
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 277.0277 | 100 | 370.0117 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0216
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0216 = -370.37
Taille de position USD = -370.37 x 0.7487 = -277.3
Donc, tu peux acheter -370.37 avec un stoploss a 0.7271
Avec un position size USD de -277.3$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -370.37 x -0.0216 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -370.37 x -0.0187 = 6.93
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.93$
Résumé
- Taille de position -370.37
- Taille de position USD -277.3
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 6.93
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8657
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 6.92 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.89 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 6.92 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6278 % | 21.76 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7487 | 0.7271 | 0.7674 | 0.87 | 0.7053 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.7487
- Stop Loss: 0.7271
- Take Profit: 0.7674
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7271 - 0.7487 = -0.0216
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7487 - 0.7674 = -0.0187
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0187 / -0.0216 = 0.8657
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.885%
(0.0216)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.406% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.158% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +2.814% | 1.0R | -0.628% | 0.2R | 4.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.083% | 1.1R | -0.628% | 0.2R | 4.9× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.299% | 1.1R | -0.628% | 0.2R | 5.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.398% | 1.5R | -0.628% | 0.2R | 7.0× | 144 |
computed 6 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.