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Short Trade on LIT

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30 Sep 2026 at 02:15:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_score)

With 17.91 LIT at 3.798$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 4.2447 (11.76 %)

LIT SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 02:15 → 05:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 3.7981$

Qty 17.9118 LIT

Size 68.0309$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 68.03$

SL 4.2447 (-11.76%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -1.46% / -0.99$ MAE -1.56% MFE +3.33% 0.3R expires 30 Sep 05:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 166704)
#81 / 81 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0454

Quality Score
0.338
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
146.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 02:03

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#81 / 81 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
11.76 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#81 / 81 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
11.76 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near -0.19×ATR
1d clear 3.43×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

29/09 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

30/09 01:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4433
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 -2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range compression 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 49.7%
Impulse : +0.02
Participation : mixed_dispersion
Leadership : mixed
% Positive (universe)
15m 41.0%
1h 91.8%
4h 47.5%
24h 70.5%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 45.9% -0.03%
4h 47.5% -0.02%
24h 70.5% +0.99%
Dispersion : 0.125
Universe : 61 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 02:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4075
Score SMA
0.5207
Rank
#80 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0366
Rank Norm SMA
0.2242
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3850 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -11.51% · r3d: -18.78% · ema21_slope: 0.6205% · dist_ema21: -13.228%
Force Relative 25% 0.1446 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -11.70% · rs_3d: -17.84% · beta_24h: 0.389
Volume 20% 0.6717 rvol_20: 2.00× · zscore_50: 1.844 · trend: 31.45%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8100 ADX: 43.8 (trend) · Chop: 45.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 12.102% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.3375
Score SMA
0.4915
Rank
#81 / 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0454
Rank Norm SMA
0.3224
Calculé le
30/09/2026 02:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1175 r1h: 0.938% · r4h: -2.357% · r1d: -12.97% · r3d: -20.25% · ema21_slope: -0.5673% · dist_ema21: -8.726%
Force Relative 25% 0.2330 rs_1h: 0.731% · rs_4h: -2.277% · rs_1d: -12.90% · rs_3d: -18.94% · beta_24h: 1.382
Volume 20% 0.4208 rvol_20: 0.89× · zscore_50: 0.215 · trend: 57.88%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8099 ADX: 37.2 (trend) · Chop: 18.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.5996 ATR%: 4.201% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.3127
Score SMA
0.4314
Rank
#81 / 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0182
Rank Norm SMA
0.1737
Calculé le
30/09/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0154 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -6.251% · r1d: -15.31% · r3d: -22.25% · ema21_slope: -0.6183% · dist_ema21: -16.947%
Force Relative 25% 0.0035 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -5.833% · rs_1d: -15.60% · rs_3d: -20.94% · beta_24h: 2.305
Volume 20% 0.9615 rvol_20: 3.62× · zscore_50: 2.423 · trend: 191.21%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7662 ADX: 31.9 (trend) · Chop: 31.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.461% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -11.759% (0.4466)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.493% 0.2R -1.417% 0.1R 1.8× 12
2h +3.331% 0.3R -1.417% 0.1R 2.4× 24
3h ★ +3.331% 0.3R -1.564% 0.1R 2.1× 36
4h +3.331% 0.3R -2.517% 0.2R 1.3× 48
8h +3.331% 0.3R -7.646% 0.7R 0.4× 96
12h +3.331% 0.3R -8.765% 0.8R 0.4× 144

computed 6 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.17
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high
52%
noisy_chop 35% mid — — — bull_high +12.90% -0.97 28/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
40%
noisy_chop 45% late near -0.2ATR — 0.33 bull_high +1.30% -0.98 29/09 20:00
1h ↓ down range range strong balanced volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
44%
noisy_chop 44% late — — 0.29 range_medium -0.48% -0.91 30/09 01:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 40% early — near 0.1ATR 0.29 range_low -0.17% -0.31 30/09 01:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177678 		↑ up bull_high
52%
mid 5b -1.2ATR noisy_chop 35% 0.588

—

—

2.00 below_value -4.17 ATR inside #97306 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:30
4h
179311 		↔ neutral bear_high_confirmed
40%
late 32b -3.3ATR noisy_chop 45% 0.417

near -0.2ATR

—

3.62 below_value -3.76 ATR — #98051 29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 00:20
1h anchor
180066 		↓ down bear_high_confirmed
44%
late 5b -1.8ATR noisy_chop 44% 0.415

—

—

0.89 below_value -3.77 ATR — #98461 30/09 01:00
upd 30/09 02:14
15m
179985 		↓ down bear_high
54%
early 5b -0.6ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.489

—

near 0.1ATR

0.64 below_value -3.77 ATR — #98461 30/09 01:45
upd 30/09 02:10
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 5b — 3.47×ATR p44 -1.219×ATR p67
4h ↓ down late 32b — 7.67×ATR p100 -3.268×ATR p100
1h ↑ up late 5b — 0.589×ATR p0 -1.841×ATR p90
15m ↓ down early 5b — 0.777×ATR p0 -0.59×ATR p40

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 4.24473233
  2. atr: 0.14887744
  3. expires_at: 2026-09-30T09:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 82
  2. total: 82
  3. score: 0.1008
  4. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.7981 4.2447 3.6074
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.7981
  • Stop Loss: 4.2447
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.2447 - 3.7981 = 0.4466

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.7981 - = 3.7981

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.7981 / 0.4466 = 8.5045

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
68.0309 68.0309 17.9118 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.4466

Taille de position = 8 / 0.4466 = 17.91

Taille de position USD = 17.91 x 3.7981 = 68.02

Donc, tu peux acheter 17.91 avec un stoploss a 4.2447

Avec un position size USD de 68.02$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 17.91 x 0.4466 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 17.91 x 3.7981 = 68.02

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 68.02$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 17.91
  • Taille de position USD 68.02
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 68.02
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 8.5045

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 68.03 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
11.76 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-0.99 $ -1.46
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.5639 % 13.3 % 10
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.7981 4.2447 3.6074
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.7981
  • Stop Loss: 4.2447
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.2447 - 3.7981 = 0.4466

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.7981 - = 3.7981

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.7981 / 0.4466 = 8.5045

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -11.759% (0.4466)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.493% 0.2R -1.417% 0.1R 1.8× 12
2h +3.331% 0.3R -1.417% 0.1R 2.4× 24
3h ★ +3.331% 0.3R -1.564% 0.1R 2.1× 36
4h +3.331% 0.3R -2.517% 0.2R 1.3× 48
8h +3.331% 0.3R -7.646% 0.7R 0.4× 96
12h +3.331% 0.3R -8.765% 0.8R 0.4× 144

computed 6 days ago

Commentaires

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