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Long Trade on ASTER

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30 Sep 2026 at 04:15:07 hyperliquid

Long Trade on ASTER (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 317.06 ASTER at 0.762$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7808 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7365 (3.31 %)

ASTER LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 04:15 → 09:05 · 4 hours

Position

Entry 0.7617$

Qty 317.0608 ASTER

Size 241.5148$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.7808 (+2.51%)

TP $ 6.06$

SL 0.7365 (-3.31%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.76

Status win PnL +2.51% / +6.06$ MAE -1.39% MFE +2.62% 0.8R expires 30 Sep 10:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 166857)
#2 / 82 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 04:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9722

Quality Score
0.769
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
93 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
8.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 04:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#2 / 82 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.31 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#2 / 82 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.31 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.86×ATR
4h clear 0.68×ATR
1d near 0.41×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

29/09 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

30/09 02:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4441
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range compression 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 52.3%
Impulse : +0.02
Participation : mixed_dispersion
Leadership : alts
% Positive (universe)
15m 29.3%
1h 87.9%
4h 58.6%
24h 36.2%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 39.7% -0.04%
4h 58.6% +0.30%
24h 43.1% -1.25%
Dispersion : 0.126
Universe : 58 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 04:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4550
Score SMA
0.4199
Rank
#76 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0854
Rank Norm SMA
0.0432
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6133 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.47% · r3d: -1.66% · ema21_slope: 0.0613% · dist_ema21: 0.580%
Force Relative 25% 0.5323 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.28% · rs_3d: -0.72% · beta_24h: 0.706
Volume 20% 0.2548 rvol_20: 0.85× · zscore_50: -0.419 · trend: -30.28%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5172 ADX: 15.7 (weak) · Chop: 52.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0940 ATR%: 5.718% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.7686
Score SMA
0.5328
Rank
#2 / 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9722
Rank Norm SMA
0.4633
Calculé le
30/09/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7142 r1h: 1.619% · r4h: 1.634% · r1d: 5.82% · r3d: 2.54% · ema21_slope: 0.2082% · dist_ema21: 3.064%
Force Relative 25% 0.7081 rs_1h: 1.316% · rs_4h: 1.649% · rs_1d: 6.63% · rs_3d: 4.33% · beta_24h: 1.321
Volume 20% 0.8491 rvol_20: 2.35× · zscore_50: 2.292 · trend: 123.90%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7722 ADX: 32.7 (trend) · Chop: 36.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.385% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.6697
Score SMA
0.5025
Rank
#5 / 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9753
Rank Norm SMA
0.2954
Calculé le
30/09/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6288 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.634% · r1d: 5.82% · r3d: 2.54% · ema21_slope: 0.0025% · dist_ema21: 4.735%
Force Relative 25% 0.7018 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.649% · rs_1d: 6.63% · rs_3d: 4.33% · beta_24h: 1.389
Volume 20% 0.9253 rvol_20: 3.26× · zscore_50: 1.880 · trend: 113.56%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6415 ADX: 19.5 (weak) · Chop: 40.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.224% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.308% (0.0252)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.247% 0.4R -0.066% 0.0R 19.0× 12
2h +1.323% 0.4R -0.066% 0.0R 20.2× 24
4h +1.536% 0.5R -1.390% 0.4R 1.1× 48
6h ★ +2.617% 0.8R -1.390% 0.4R 1.9× 72
8h +2.617% 0.8R -1.390% 0.4R 1.9× 96
12h +2.617% 0.8R -1.926% 0.6R 1.4× 144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.07
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range strong grind compression bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 36% early near -0.3ATR near 0.4ATR 0.57 bull_high +12.90% -0.65 28/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced expansion bull_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 35% late — — 0.40 bull_high +1.30% +0.24 29/09 20:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
55%
noisy_chop 38% mid — — 0.51 bear_medium -0.86% +0.38 30/09 02:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high
65%
noisy_chop 41% early — near -0.7ATR 0.56 range_low -0.20% +0.17 30/09 03:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177657 		↑ up bull_high
54%
early 6b 0.1ATR noisy_chop 36% 0.613

near -0.3ATR

near 0.4ATR

0.85 above_value +2.32 ATR — #97296 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:29
4h
179277 		↔ neutral bull_high_confirmed
57%
late 9b 1.5ATR noisy_chop 35% 0.495

—

—

5.23 above_value +3.93 ATR — #98040 29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 00:19
1h anchor
180453 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
55%
mid 1b 1.3ATR noisy_chop 38% 0.576

—

—

0.69 above_value +3.93 ATR — #98614 30/09 02:00
upd 30/09 03:11
15m
180773 		↑ up bull_high
65%
early 4b 1.1ATR noisy_chop 41% 0.675

—

near -0.7ATR

0.48 above_value +3.93 ATR — #98614 30/09 03:45
upd 30/09 04:04
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 6b — 2.022×ATR p0 +0.102×ATR p9
4h ↑ up late 9b — 3.449×ATR p52 +1.509×ATR p84
1h ↓ down mid 1b — 1.759×ATR p16 +1.259×ATR p73
15m ↑ up early 4b — 2.373×ATR p39 +1.114×ATR p52

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.73649825
  2. tp_price: 0.78077325
  3. atr: 0.0100927
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-30T14:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 7
  2. total: 82
  3. score: 0.705
  4. delta_2h: 0.0095
  5. extension_atr: 2.17
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9722
  9. confidence: 0.926

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.7617 0.7365 0.7808 0.76 0.7022
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.7617
  • Stop Loss: 0.7365
  • Take Profit: 0.7808

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.7365 - 0.7617 = -0.0252

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.7617 - 0.7808 = -0.0191

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0191 / -0.0252 = 0.7579

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
241.5148 100 317.0608 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0252

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0252 = -317.46

Taille de position USD = -317.46 x 0.7617 = -241.81

Donc, tu peux acheter -317.46 avec un stoploss a 0.7365

Avec un position size USD de -241.81$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -317.46 x -0.0252 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -317.46 x -0.0191 = 6.06

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.06$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -317.46
  • Taille de position USD -241.81
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 6.06
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7579

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 6.06 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.31 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
6.06 $ 2.51
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.3903 % 42.02 % 11
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.7617 0.7365 0.7808 0.76 0.7022
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.7617
  • Stop Loss: 0.7365
  • Take Profit: 0.7808

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.7365 - 0.7617 = -0.0252

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.7617 - 0.7808 = -0.0191

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0191 / -0.0252 = 0.7579

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.308% (0.0252)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.247% 0.4R -0.066% 0.0R 19.0× 12
2h +1.323% 0.4R -0.066% 0.0R 20.2× 24
4h +1.536% 0.5R -1.390% 0.4R 1.1× 48
6h ★ +2.617% 0.8R -1.390% 0.4R 1.9× 72
8h +2.617% 0.8R -1.390% 0.4R 1.9× 96
12h +2.617% 0.8R -1.926% 0.6R 1.4× 144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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