Long Trade on WLD (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 272.3 WLD at 0.519$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5923 (14.17 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4894 (5.67 %)
30 Sep 2026 at 05:12:48
hyperliquid
WLD
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
30 Sep 2026 05:12
→ 17:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.5188$
Qty 272.3017 WLD
Size 141.2756$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.5923 (+14.17%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 0.4894 (-5.67%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+2.83%
/ +3.99$
MAE -1.79%
MFE +10.16%
1.8R
expires
30 Sep 17:12
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 166973)
#11 / 81
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 05:00
score du 30/09/2026 05:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6269
Quality Score
0.608
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
34.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 05:00
30/09 05:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#11 / 81
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.67 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#11 / 81
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.67 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.09×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.45×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.90×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 30/09 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/09 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4445
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | compression | 0.25 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
35.8%
Impulse :
+0.00
Participation :
mixed_dispersion
Leadership :
mixed
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 54.6% |
| 1h | 18.2% |
| 4h | 36.4% |
| 24h | 34.6% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 54.6% | +0.06% |
| 4h | 40.0% | -0.40% |
| 24h | 50.9% | -0.93% |
Dispersion :
0.129
Universe :
55
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
30/09 05:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6026
Score SMA
0.6607
Rank
#35
/ 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5854
Rank Norm SMA
0.6049
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7134 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.60% · r3d: -7.60% · ema21_slope: 1.3341% · dist_ema21: 7.780% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5649 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.79% · rs_3d: -6.66% · beta_24h: 1.522 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6615 | rvol_20: 1.56× · zscore_50: 1.378 · trend: 113.01% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7670 | ADX: 32.0 (trend) · Chop: 31.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.216% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/09/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.6079
Score SMA
0.5877
Rank
#11
/ 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6269
Rank Norm SMA
0.5809
Calculé le
30/09/2026 05:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6525 | r1h: 2.599% · r4h: 3.903% · r1d: 3.06% · r3d: -6.08% · ema21_slope: 0.0095% · dist_ema21: 3.724% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7218 | rs_1h: 2.881% · rs_4h: 4.075% · rs_1d: 4.03% · rs_3d: -4.01% · beta_24h: 1.313 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2560 | rvol_20: 0.84× · zscore_50: -0.218 · trend: -38.38% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5369 | ADX: 17.6 (weak) · Chop: 51.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.381% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/09/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4981
Score SMA
0.5943
Rank
#36
/ 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4877
Rank Norm SMA
0.5365
Calculé le
30/09/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6324 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.599% · r1d: -0.18% · r3d: -6.70% · ema21_slope: -0.1806% · dist_ema21: 0.639% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6070 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.614% · rs_1d: 0.63% · rs_3d: -4.92% · beta_24h: 2.681 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1879 | rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -0.610 · trend: -28.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5472 | ADX: 20.8 (weak) · Chop: 53.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.3696 | ATR%: 4.891% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.667%
(0.0294)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.823% | 0.2R | -1.403% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.823% | 0.2R | -1.789% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +10.037% | 1.8R | -1.789% | 0.3R | 5.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +10.158% | 1.8R | -1.789% | 0.3R | 5.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +10.158% | 1.8R | -1.789% | 0.3R | 5.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +10.158% | 1.8R | -1.789% | 0.3R | 5.7× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.08
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.47 | bull_high | +12.90% | +0.70 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.42 | bull_high | +1.26% | -0.28 | 30/09 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.38 | bear_medium | -0.81% | +0.40 | 30/09 04:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.59 | range_low | -0.44% | +0.50 | 30/09 04:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
177485 |
↑ up | bull_high |
66%
|
early 2b 0.7ATR | noisy_chop 44% | 0.705 |
— — |
1.56 | above_value | -0.28 ATR | — | #97246 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:20
|
|
4h
180824 |
↑ up | bull_high |
60%
|
early 7b 0.1ATR | noisy_chop 38% | 0.719 |
— — |
0.38 | above_value | +1.02 ATR | — | #98730 |
30/09 00:00
upd 30/09 04:14
|
|
1h
anchor
181291 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
59%
|
mid 9b 1.6ATR | noisy_chop 35% | 0.494 |
— near -1.1ATR |
0.84 | value | +2.01 ATR | — | #98976 |
30/09 04:00
upd 30/09 05:09
|
|
15m
181217 |
↑ up | bull_high |
55%
|
late 1b 2.4ATR | noisy_chop 45% | 0.522 |
— near 0.0ATR |
1.62 | above_value | +1.02 ATR | — | #98730 |
30/09 04:45
upd 30/09 05:01
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 2.128×ATR | p0 | +0.655×ATR | p27 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 1.496×ATR | p0 | +0.129×ATR | p7 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 3.11×ATR | p67 | +1.609×ATR | p79 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 1b | — | 3.072×ATR | p41 | +2.384×ATR | p94 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7612
- reason: up_bo width=2.18×ATR dur=44b phase=fresh|ob:ask_pressure(-0.10)|ob:obi_bearish(-0.05)
- stop_price: 0.48944082
- tp_price: 0.59226796
- atr:
- score: 0.91122872702543
- expires_at: 2026-09-30T21:12:40.943866
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.91122872702543
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.6476
- obi_top10 : -0.264
- micro_price : 0.51792962
- spread_pct : 0.057926
- mid_price : 0.51805
- bid_wall_price : 0.509
- bid_wall_size : 2000686.2
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.6619
- obi_top5_std : 0.0972
- pressure_side : ask
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7064
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.50363
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.477635
- balance_zone_mid:
0.4906325
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790604000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790758800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.1814
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
44
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.9112
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790755200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.50363
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8409
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.2747
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
14
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
7
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.01191682 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
44
inside_close_ratio
0.8409
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.2747
Signaux confirmants (16)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:12 | 0.51882000 | +0.004% |
| 2 | 05:23 | 0.51882000 | +0.004% |
| 3 | 05:34 | 0.51882000 | +0.004% |
| 4 | 05:44 | 0.52171000 | +0.561% |
| 5 | 05:55 | 0.52171000 | +0.561% |
| 6 | 06:08 | 0.51640000 | -0.463% |
| 7 | 06:21 | 0.51640000 | -0.463% |
| 8 | 06:32 | 0.51640000 | -0.463% |
| 9 | 06:43 | 0.51770000 | -0.212% |
| 10 | 06:54 | 0.51770000 | -0.212% |
| 11 | 07:06 | 0.51330000 | -1.06% |
| 12 | 07:17 | 0.51330000 | -1.06% |
| 13 | 07:28 | 0.51330000 | -1.06% |
| 14 | 07:39 | 0.51921000 | +0.079% |
| 15 | 07:50 | 0.51921000 | +0.079% |
| 16 | 08:00 | 0.51921000 | +0.079% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↓ ask
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7064ms
Confidence avant OB :
91%
→
76%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.648
avg -0.662
± 0.097
OBI Top 10
-0.264
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.5181
Micro Price
0.5179
Spread
0.0579%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.5090
Size
2,000,686.20
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5188 | 0.4894 | 0.5923 | 2.5 | 0.4912 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5188
- Stop Loss: 0.4894
- Take Profit: 0.5923
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4894 - 0.5188 = -0.0294
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5188 - 0.5923 = -0.0735
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0735 / -0.0294 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 141.2756 | 100 | 272.3017 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0294
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0294 = -272.11
Taille de position USD = -272.11 x 0.5188 = -141.17
Donc, tu peux acheter -272.11 avec un stoploss a 0.4894
Avec un position size USD de -141.17$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -272.11 x -0.0294 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -272.11 x -0.0735 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -272.11
- Taille de position USD -141.17
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 14.17 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.67 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.99 $ | 2.83 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.7887 % | 31.56 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5188 | 0.4894 | 0.5923 | 2.5 | 0.4912 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5188
- Stop Loss: 0.4894
- Take Profit: 0.5923
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4894 - 0.5188 = -0.0294
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5188 - 0.5923 = -0.0735
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0735 / -0.0294 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.667%
(0.0294)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.823% | 0.2R | -1.403% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.823% | 0.2R | -1.789% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +10.037% | 1.8R | -1.789% | 0.3R | 5.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +10.158% | 1.8R | -1.789% | 0.3R | 5.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +10.158% | 1.8R | -1.789% | 0.3R | 5.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +10.158% | 1.8R | -1.789% | 0.3R | 5.7× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.