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Short Trade on ZEC

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30 Sep 2026 at 05:15:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ZEC (momentum_rotation_score)

With 0.12 ZEC at 1406.8$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 1472.2519 (4.65 %)

ZEC SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 05:15 → 08:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 1406.8$

Qty 0.1222 ZEC

Size 171.9491$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 171.95$

SL 1472.2519 (-4.65%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -1.61% / -2.77$ MAE -2.00% MFE +0.25% 0.1R expires 30 Sep 08:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 167025)
#79 / 81 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0726

Quality Score
0.373
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
446.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 05:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#79 / 81 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.65 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#79 / 81 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.65 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.11×ATR
4h clear 4.44×ATR
1d clear 6.76×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

30/09 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/09 04:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4445
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 -2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range compression 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 35.8%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : mixed_dispersion
Leadership : mixed
% Positive (universe)
15m 54.6%
1h 18.2%
4h 36.4%
24h 34.6%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 54.6% +0.06%
4h 40.0% -0.40%
24h 50.9% -0.93%
Dispersion : 0.129
Universe : 55 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 05:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5227
Score SMA
0.6147
Rank
#58 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3049
Rank Norm SMA
0.4952
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5903 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.51% · r3d: -14.31% · ema21_slope: 2.0163% · dist_ema21: 2.221%
Force Relative 25% 0.3920 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.70% · rs_3d: -13.37% · beta_24h: 1.343
Volume 20% 0.5293 rvol_20: 1.30× · zscore_50: 1.313 · trend: 35.08%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9448 ADX: 56.9 (trend) · Chop: 41.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.470% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.3732
Score SMA
0.5206
Rank
#79 / 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0726
Rank Norm SMA
0.4319
Calculé le
30/09/2026 05:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3554 r1h: -0.835% · r4h: -0.356% · r1d: -0.38% · r3d: -15.72% · ema21_slope: -0.0719% · dist_ema21: -0.966%
Force Relative 25% 0.3666 rs_1h: -0.553% · rs_4h: -0.184% · rs_1d: 0.58% · rs_3d: -13.66% · beta_24h: 3.000
Volume 20% 0.1439 rvol_20: 0.25× · zscore_50: -0.841 · trend: -70.45%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4107 ADX: 21.2 (weak) · Chop: 71.0 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.638% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.3859
Score SMA
0.5307
Rank
#74 / 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0864
Rank Norm SMA
0.3913
Calculé le
30/09/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3396 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.770% · r1d: -0.79% · r3d: -15.18% · ema21_slope: -0.5313% · dist_ema21: -4.296%
Force Relative 25% 0.3438 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.786% · rs_1d: 0.02% · rs_3d: -13.39% · beta_24h: 3.167
Volume 20% 0.1484 rvol_20: 0.30× · zscore_50: -1.081 · trend: -34.67%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6553 ADX: 23.4 (weak) · Chop: 43.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.7011 ATR%: 3.897% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -4.653% (65.4519)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.249% 0.1R -0.846% 0.2R 0.3× 12
2h +0.249% 0.1R -1.891% 0.4R 0.1× 24
3h ★ +0.249% 0.1R -2.005% 0.4R 0.1× 36
4h +0.249% 0.1R -5.317% 1.1R 0.1× 48
8h +0.249% 0.1R -6.213% 1.3R 0.0× 96
12h +0.249% 0.1R -6.213% 1.3R 0.0× 144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.14
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high
69%
noisy_chop 40% early — — 0.56 bull_high +12.90% +0.56 28/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong explosive normal bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 43% late — — 0.54 bull_high +1.26% -0.89 30/09 00:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 40% early near -0.1ATR near 0.1ATR 0.36 bear_medium -0.81% -0.13 30/09 04:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate grind expansion bear_medium
60%
noisy_chop 38% early near 0.1ATR — 0.64 range_low -0.44% +0.02 30/09 04:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177666 		↑ up bull_high
69%
early 3b 0.2ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.700

—

—

1.30 below_value -4.84 ATR — #97300 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:29
4h
180970 		↔ neutral bear_high
51%
late 20b -1.1ATR noisy_chop 43% 0.753

—

—

0.30 below_value -6.48 ATR — #98783 30/09 00:00
upd 30/09 04:20
1h anchor
181345 		↓ down bear_high
57%
early 8b -0.7ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.512

near -0.1ATR

near 0.1ATR

0.25 below_value -6.59 ATR — #99029 30/09 04:00
upd 30/09 05:12
15m
181261 		↓ down bear_medium
60%
early 1b -0.2ATR noisy_chop 38% 0.395

near 0.1ATR

—

0.26 below_value -6.48 ATR — #98783 30/09 04:45
upd 30/09 05:04
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 3b — 2.074×ATR p0 +0.195×ATR p10
4h ↓ down late 20b — 5.115×ATR p87 -1.066×ATR p55
1h ↓ down early 8b — 1.403×ATR p0 -0.665×ATR p31
15m ↑ up early 1b — 0.823×ATR p0 -0.223×ATR p8

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 1472.25193776
  2. atr: 21.81731259
  3. expires_at: 2026-09-30T12:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 79
  2. total: 82
  3. score: 0.3323
  4. confidence: 0.963

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1406.8 1472.2519 1223.5
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1406.8
  • Stop Loss: 1472.2519
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1472.2519 - 1406.8 = 65.4519

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1406.8 - = 1406.8

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1406.8 / 65.4519 = 21.4936

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
171.9491 100 0.1222 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 65.4519

Taille de position = 8 / 65.4519 = 0.12

Taille de position USD = 0.12 x 1406.8 = 168.82

Donc, tu peux acheter 0.12 avec un stoploss a 1472.2519

Avec un position size USD de 168.82$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 0.12 x 65.4519 = 7.85

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.85$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 0.12 x 1406.8 = 168.82

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 168.82$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 0.12
  • Taille de position USD 168.82
  • Perte potentielle 7.85
  • Gain potentiel 168.82
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 21.4936

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 171.95 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.65 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-2.77 $ -1.61
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.0045 % 43.08 % 6
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1406.8 1472.2519 1223.5
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1406.8
  • Stop Loss: 1472.2519
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1472.2519 - 1406.8 = 65.4519

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1406.8 - = 1406.8

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1406.8 / 65.4519 = 21.4936

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 1406.8
            [stop_loss] => 1478.79709
            [rr_ratio] => 19.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 13:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 1406.8
            [stop_loss] => 1485.34228
            [rr_ratio] => 17.91
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 13:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 1406.8
            [stop_loss] => 1491.88747
            [rr_ratio] => 16.53
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 13:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -4.653% (65.4519)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.249% 0.1R -0.846% 0.2R 0.3× 12
2h +0.249% 0.1R -1.891% 0.4R 0.1× 24
3h ★ +0.249% 0.1R -2.005% 0.4R 0.1× 36
4h +0.249% 0.1R -5.317% 1.1R 0.1× 48
8h +0.249% 0.1R -6.213% 1.3R 0.0× 96
12h +0.249% 0.1R -6.213% 1.3R 0.0× 144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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