Short Trade on VIRTUAL

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30 Sep 2026 at 05:15:13 hyperliquid

Short Trade on VIRTUAL (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 213.79 VIRTUAL at 0.785$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7653 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8224 (4.78 %)

VIRTUAL SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 05:15 → 08:50 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 0.7849$

Qty 213.7927 VIRTUAL

Size 167.8166$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.7653 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.19$

SL 0.8224 (-4.78%)

SL $ 8.02$

RR 0.52

Status loss PnL -4.78% / -8.02$ MAE -5.40% MFE +0.20% 0.0R expires 30 Sep 11:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 167007)

#69 / 81 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.4667

Quality Score

0.403

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

93 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

9.4M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 05:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#69 / 81 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

93 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.78 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#69 / 81 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

93 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.78 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	0.70×ATR
4h	clear	3.64×ATR
1d	clear	3.31×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	early	OK
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↑ up	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 30/09 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/09 04:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

30/09 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/09 04:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4445

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	-2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	range	range	0.25	0
Micro	range	compression	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 35.8%

Impulse : +0.00

Participation : mixed_dispersion

Leadership : mixed

% Positive (universe)

15m	54.6%
1h	18.2%
4h	36.4%
24h	34.6%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	54.6%	+0.06%
4h	40.0%	-0.40%
24h	50.9%	-0.93%

Dispersion : 0.129

Universe : 55 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 30/09 05:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.6200

Score SMA

0.6074

Rank

#30 / 83

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.6463

Rank Norm SMA

0.4636

Calculé le

29/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6625	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -6.92% · r3d: -2.70% · ema21_slope: 1.1923% · dist_ema21: 6.293%
Force Relative	25%	0.4658	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -7.11% · rs_3d: -1.76% · beta_24h: 1.418
Volume	20%	0.9527	rvol_20: 2.91× · zscore_50: 2.650 · trend: 92.45%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7619	ADX: 31.4 (trend) · Chop: 34.6 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 7.479% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 30/09/2026 05:00

Score brut

0.4026

Score SMA

0.5748

Rank

#69 / 81

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.4667

Rank Norm SMA

0.6408

Calculé le

30/09/2026 05:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3870	r1h: 0.003% · r4h: -0.745% · r1d: -4.72% · r3d: -4.28% · ema21_slope: -0.1956% · dist_ema21: -0.852%
Force Relative	25%	0.4346	rs_1h: 0.285% · rs_4h: -0.573% · rs_1d: -3.76% · rs_3d: -2.21% · beta_24h: 2.294
Volume	20%	0.1617	rvol_20: 0.18× · zscore_50: -0.574 · trend: -53.34%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5058	ADX: 13.5 (weak) · Chop: 51.3 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.005% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 30/09/2026 04:00

Score brut

0.5075

Score SMA

0.6354

Rank

#33 / 82

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.6543

Rank Norm SMA

0.7433

Calculé le

30/09/2026 04:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6005	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.059% · r1d: -4.54% · r3d: -5.08% · ema21_slope: 0.0776% · dist_ema21: -1.656%
Force Relative	25%	0.4737	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.074% · rs_1d: -3.73% · rs_3d: -3.30% · beta_24h: 2.957
Volume	20%	0.4039	rvol_20: 0.74× · zscore_50: 0.044 · trend: 71.41%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5153	ADX: 24.8 (weak) · Chop: 61.9 (range)
Volatilité	10%	0.5088	ATR%: 4.474% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.778% (0.0375)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.121%	0.0R	-1.205%	0.3R	0.1×	12
2h	+0.121%	0.0R	-1.617%	0.3R	0.1×	24
4h	+0.121%	0.0R	-5.405%	1.1R	0.0×	48
6h ★	+0.198%	0.0R	-5.405%	1.1R	0.0×	72
8h	+0.198%	0.0R	-5.405%	1.1R	0.0×	96
12h	+0.198%	0.0R	-5.405%	1.1R	0.0×	144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.09

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high	67%	noisy_chop 44%	early	—	near -0.8ATR	0.71	bull_high	+12.90%	+0.71	28/09 20:00
4h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 34%	early	—	—	0.57	bull_high	+1.26%	+0.00	30/09 00:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 40%	early	—	—	0.57	bear_medium	-0.81%	-0.30	30/09 04:00
15m	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	normal	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 38%	early	—	near 0.2ATR	0.66	range_low	-0.44%	+0.04	30/09 04:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 177625	↑ up	bull_high	67%	early 13b 0.8ATR	noisy_chop 44%	0.684	— near -0.8ATR	2.91	value	-2.52 ATR	—	#97281	28/09 20:00 upd 29/09 20:27
4h 180909	↑ up	bull_high	60%	early 13b -0.3ATR	noisy_chop 34%	0.665	— —	0.74	above_value	-1.97 ATR	—	#98763	30/09 00:00 upd 30/09 04:18
1h anchor 181326	↓ down	bear_high	56%	early 8b -0.4ATR	noisy_chop 40%	0.370	— —	0.18	above_value	-2.03 ATR	—	#99010	30/09 04:00 upd 30/09 05:11
15m 181248	↔ neutral	bear_high	58%	early 6b 0.2ATR	noisy_chop 38%	0.668	— near 0.2ATR	0.75	above_value	-1.97 ATR	—	#98763	30/09 04:45 upd 30/09 05:03
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	early	13b	—	3.41×ATR	p29	+0.787×ATR	p53
4h	↓ down	early	13b	—	2.07×ATR	p4	-0.331×ATR	p23
1h	↑ up	early	8b	—	1.392×ATR	p0	-0.423×ATR	p22
15m	↑ up	early	6b	—	1.659×ATR	p0	+0.233×ATR	p17

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.82236943
tp_price: 0.76532625
atr: 0.01496777
expires_at: 2026-09-30T15:15:13+00:00

Details

rank: 76
total: 82
score: 0.3426
delta_2h: -0.0243
extension_atr: -0.21
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.4589
confidence: 0.926

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.7849	0.8224	0.7653	0.52	0.7072

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.7849
Stop Loss: 0.8224
Take Profit: 0.7653

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.8224 - 0.7849 = 0.0375
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.7849 - 0.7653 = 0.0196
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0196 / 0.0375 = 0.5227

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
167.8166	100	213.7927	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0375

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0375 = 213.33

Taille de position USD = 213.33 x 0.7849 = 167.44

Donc, tu peux acheter 213.33 avec un stoploss a 0.8224

Avec un position size USD de 167.44$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 213.33 x 0.0375 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 213.33 x 0.0196 = 4.18

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.18$

Résumé

Taille de position 213.33
Taille de position USD 167.44
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 4.18
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5227

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	4.19 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.78 %	8.02 $

PNL	PNL %
-8.02 $	-4.78

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-4.914 %	102.85 %	1

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.7849	0.8224	0.7653	0.52	0.7072

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.7849
Stop Loss: 0.8224
Take Profit: 0.7653

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.8224 - 0.7849 = 0.0375
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.7849 - 0.7653 = 0.0196
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0196 / 0.0375 = 0.5227

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.7653
            [entry_price] => 0.7849
            [stop_loss] => 0.82615
            [rr_ratio] => 0.48
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 12:55:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.778% (0.0375)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.121%	0.0R	-1.205%	0.3R	0.1×	12
2h	+0.121%	0.0R	-1.617%	0.3R	0.1×	24
4h	+0.121%	0.0R	-5.405%	1.1R	0.0×	48
6h ★	+0.198%	0.0R	-5.405%	1.1R	0.0×	72
8h	+0.198%	0.0R	-5.405%	1.1R	0.0×	96
12h	+0.198%	0.0R	-5.405%	1.1R	0.0×	144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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