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Long Trade on kBONK

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30 Sep 2026 at 06:15:06 hyperliquid

Long Trade on kBONK (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 39163.85 kBONK at 0.00394$ per unit. Take profit: 0.004034 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.003732 (5.18 %)

kBONK LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 06:15 → 06:25 · 9 minutes

Position

Entry 0.003936$

Qty 39163.8518 kBONK

Size 154.1489$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.004034 (+2.49%)

TP $ 3.84$

SL 0.003732 (-5.18%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.48

Status win PnL +2.49% / +3.84$ MAE -3.46% MFE +2.49% 0.5R expires 30 Sep 12:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 167066)
#7 / 81 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 06:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9193

Quality Score
0.661
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
6.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 06:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#7 / 81 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.18 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#7 / 81 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.18 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.18×ATR
4h near -0.09×ATR
1d near 0.47×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

30/09 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

30/09 05:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4449
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range compression 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 79.6%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : broad_risk_on
Leadership : alts
% Positive (universe)
15m 68.5%
1h 92.6%
4h 87.0%
24h 46.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 29.6% +0.03%
4h 70.4% +0.69%
24h 51.9% -0.38%
Dispersion : 0.114
Universe : 54 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 06:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6550
Score SMA
0.6205
Rank
#25 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7073
Rank Norm SMA
0.5035
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8258 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 4.03% · r3d: -0.30% · ema21_slope: 1.5346% · dist_ema21: 9.856%
Force Relative 25% 0.6701 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.83% · rs_3d: 0.64% · beta_24h: 2.055
Volume 20% 0.6193 rvol_20: 1.73× · zscore_50: 1.064 · trend: 64.10%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7726 ADX: 32.7 (trend) · Chop: 29.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.831% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 06:00
Score brut
0.6606
Score SMA
0.5389
Rank
#7 / 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9193
Rank Norm SMA
0.4961
Calculé le
30/09/2026 06:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7124 r1h: 0.463% · r4h: 2.173% · r1d: 7.46% · r3d: 4.81% · ema21_slope: 0.2430% · dist_ema21: 4.350%
Force Relative 25% 0.6856 rs_1h: -0.218% · rs_4h: 1.872% · rs_1d: 8.20% · rs_3d: 6.38% · beta_24h: 2.639
Volume 20% 0.2953 rvol_20: 0.82× · zscore_50: -0.031 · trend: -15.95%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7116 ADX: 36.3 (trend) · Chop: 49.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.166% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.5908
Score SMA
0.5820
Rank
#13 / 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8642
Rank Norm SMA
0.5815
Calculé le
30/09/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6942 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.036% · r1d: 4.85% · r3d: 1.66% · ema21_slope: -0.0026% · dist_ema21: 4.526%
Force Relative 25% 0.6095 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.051% · rs_1d: 5.66% · rs_3d: 3.44% · beta_24h: 1.943
Volume 20% 0.3282 rvol_20: 0.91× · zscore_50: -0.099 · trend: 2.03%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6406 ADX: 24.8 (weak) · Chop: 46.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.6848 ATR%: 3.946% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.183% (0.0002)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.490% 0.5R -1.779% 0.3R 1.4× 12
2h +2.490% 0.5R -1.779% 0.3R 1.4× 24
4h +2.490% 0.5R -1.906% 0.4R 1.3× 48
6h ★ +2.490% 0.5R -3.455% 0.7R 0.7× 72
8h +2.490% 0.5R -4.954% 1.0R 0.5× 96
12h +2.490% 0.5R -5.869% 1.1R 0.4× 144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.51
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range strong explosive expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
67%
noisy_chop 40% early — near 0.5ATR 0.67 bull_high +12.90% +0.94 28/09 20:00
4h ↑ up range range strong balanced expansion bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 35% mid — near -0.1ATR 0.56 bull_high +1.26% +0.50 30/09 00:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate fading normal bull_high
59%
noisy_chop 42% late — near 0.2ATR 0.51 range_medium -0.13% +0.18 30/09 05:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 47% late — near -0.1ATR 0.59 range_low +0.23% +0.29 30/09 05:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177543 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
67%
early 6b 0.9ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.792

—

near 0.5ATR

1.73 value -0.87 ATR — #97260 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:23
4h
180848 		↑ up bull_high
64%
mid 4b 1.0ATR noisy_chop 35% 0.688

—

near -0.1ATR

0.91 above_value +1.07 ATR — #98742 30/09 00:00
upd 30/09 04:15
1h anchor
181708 		↑ up bull_high
59%
late 11b 2.2ATR noisy_chop 42% 0.361

—

near 0.2ATR

0.82 above_value +2.19 ATR — #99152 30/09 05:00
upd 30/09 06:12
15m
181633 		↑ up bull_high
64%
late 12b 1.7ATR noisy_chop 47% 0.562

—

near -0.1ATR

0.13 above_value +1.92 ATR — #98988 30/09 05:45
upd 30/09 06:02
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 6b — 1.779×ATR p0 +0.945×ATR p47
4h ↓ down mid 4b — 0.913×ATR p0 +1.008×ATR p61
1h ↑ up late 11b — 3.454×ATR p76 +2.203×ATR p92
15m ↑ up late 12b — 4.188×ATR p83 +1.703×ATR p75

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00373173
  2. tp_price: 0.0040344
  3. atr: 8.171E-5
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-30T16:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 8
  2. total: 82
  3. score: 0.7341
  4. delta_2h: 0.0542
  5. extension_atr: 2.14
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9193
  9. confidence: 0.964

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.003936 0.003732 0.004034 0.48 0.003402
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.003936
  • Stop Loss: 0.003732
  • Take Profit: 0.004034

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.003732 - 0.003936 = -0.000204

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.003936 - 0.004034 = -9.8E-5

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -9.8E-5 / -0.000204 = 0.4804

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
154.1489 100 39163.8518 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.000204

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000204 = -39215.69

Taille de position USD = -39215.69 x 0.003936 = -154.35

Donc, tu peux acheter -39215.69 avec un stoploss a 0.003732

Avec un position size USD de -154.35$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -39215.69 x -0.000204 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -39215.69 x -9.8E-5 = 3.84

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.84$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -39215.69
  • Taille de position USD -154.35
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.84
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4804

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.49 % 3.84 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.18 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
3.84 $ 2.49
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.003936 0.003732 0.004034 0.48 0.003402
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.003936
  • Stop Loss: 0.003732
  • Take Profit: 0.004034

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.003732 - 0.003936 = -0.000204

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.003936 - 0.004034 = -9.8E-5

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -9.8E-5 / -0.000204 = 0.4804

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.183% (0.0002)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.490% 0.5R -1.779% 0.3R 1.4× 12
2h +2.490% 0.5R -1.779% 0.3R 1.4× 24
4h +2.490% 0.5R -1.906% 0.4R 1.3× 48
6h ★ +2.490% 0.5R -3.455% 0.7R 0.7× 72
8h +2.490% 0.5R -4.954% 1.0R 0.5× 96
12h +2.490% 0.5R -5.869% 1.1R 0.4× 144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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