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Short Trade on LIT

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30 Sep 2026 at 08:15:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_score)

With 19.9 LIT at 3.91$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 4.3117 (10.28 %)

LIT SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 08:15 → 11:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 3.9096$

Qty 19.8953 LIT

Size 77.7828$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 77.78$

SL 4.3117 (-10.28%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -1.97% / -1.53$ MAE -4.58% MFE +0.17% 0.0R expires 30 Sep 11:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 167275)
#61 / 81 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1508

Quality Score
0.414
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
172.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 08:03

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#61 / 81 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
10.28 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#61 / 81 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
10.28 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near 0.12×ATR
1d clear 3.43×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

30/09 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/09 06:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4457
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 -2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range compression 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 72.2%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : broad_risk_on
Leadership : alts
% Positive (universe)
15m 48.2%
1h 29.6%
4h 79.6%
24h 40.7%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 40.7% -0.01%
4h 66.7% +0.75%
24h 50.0% -0.86%
Dispersion : 0.127
Universe : 54 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 08:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4075
Score SMA
0.5207
Rank
#80 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0366
Rank Norm SMA
0.2242
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3850 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -11.51% · r3d: -18.78% · ema21_slope: 0.6205% · dist_ema21: -13.228%
Force Relative 25% 0.1446 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -11.70% · rs_3d: -17.84% · beta_24h: 0.389
Volume 20% 0.6717 rvol_20: 2.00× · zscore_50: 1.844 · trend: 31.45%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8100 ADX: 43.8 (trend) · Chop: 45.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 12.102% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.4144
Score SMA
0.4819
Rank
#61 / 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1508
Rank Norm SMA
0.3000
Calculé le
30/09/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2894 r1h: -0.855% · r4h: 3.952% · r1d: -13.02% · r3d: -18.38% · ema21_slope: -0.7436% · dist_ema21: -2.701%
Force Relative 25% 0.2810 rs_1h: -0.861% · rs_4h: 3.208% · rs_1d: -12.51% · rs_3d: -17.20% · beta_24h: 0.862
Volume 20% 0.2543 rvol_20: 0.35× · zscore_50: -0.137 · trend: -2.43%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8540 ADX: 42.5 (trend) · Chop: 27.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.7988 ATR%: 3.604% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.3837
Score SMA
0.4222
Rank
#74 / 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0437
Rank Norm SMA
0.1641
Calculé le
30/09/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2938 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 3.952% · r1d: -13.02% · r3d: -18.38% · ema21_slope: -0.6952% · dist_ema21: -9.858%
Force Relative 25% 0.1918 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 3.208% · rs_1d: -12.51% · rs_3d: -17.20% · beta_24h: 2.542
Volume 20% 0.6727 rvol_20: 1.79× · zscore_50: 0.994 · trend: 122.86%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7961 ADX: 35.5 (trend) · Chop: 36.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.104% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -10.285% (0.4021)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.169% 0.0R -3.044% 0.3R 0.1× 12
2h +0.169% 0.0R -4.576% 0.4R 0.0× 24
3h ★ +0.169% 0.0R -4.576% 0.4R 0.0× 36
4h +0.169% 0.0R -4.576% 0.4R 0.0× 48
8h +2.530% 0.3R -5.663% 0.6R 0.5× 96
12h +2.530% 0.3R -5.663% 0.6R 0.5× 144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.22
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high
52%
noisy_chop 35% mid — — — bull_high +12.90% -0.97 28/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
40%
noisy_chop 43% late near 0.1ATR — 0.33 bull_high +1.26% -0.98 30/09 00:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition weak fading volatile_reversal bear_high
40%
noisy_chop 43% early — — 0.29 range_medium +0.20% -0.88 30/09 06:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 44% late — near -2.2ATR 0.29 range_low +0.50% +0.12 30/09 07:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177678 		↑ up bull_high
52%
mid 5b -1.2ATR noisy_chop 35% 0.588

—

—

2.00 below_value -4.17 ATR inside #97306 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:30
4h
180988 		↔ neutral bear_high_confirmed
40%
late 33b -2.6ATR noisy_chop 43% 0.416

near 0.1ATR

—

1.76 below_value -3.73 ATR — #98789 30/09 00:00
upd 30/09 04:21
1h anchor
182159 		↓ down bear_high
40%
early 5b -0.4ATR noisy_chop 43% 0.776

—

—

0.56 below_value -2.85 ATR — #99363 30/09 06:00
upd 30/09 07:12
15m
182481 		↔ neutral bear_high
60%
late 14b 0.9ATR noisy_chop 44% 0.593

—

near -2.2ATR

0.15 below_value -2.85 ATR — #99363 30/09 07:45
upd 30/09 08:04
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 5b — 3.47×ATR p44 -1.219×ATR p67
4h ↓ down late 33b — 7.448×ATR p100 -2.648×ATR p96
1h ↑ up early 5b — 1.975×ATR p22 -0.417×ATR p23
15m ↑ up late 14b — 4.274×ATR p94 +0.879×ATR p55

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 4.31170456
  2. atr: 0.13403485
  3. expires_at: 2026-09-30T15:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 82
  2. total: 82
  3. score: 0.29
  4. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.9096 4.3117 3.7027
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.9096
  • Stop Loss: 4.3117
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.3117 - 3.9096 = 0.4021

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.9096 - = 3.9096

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.9096 / 0.4021 = 9.723

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
77.7828 77.7828 19.8953 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.4021

Taille de position = 8 / 0.4021 = 19.9

Taille de position USD = 19.9 x 3.9096 = 77.8

Donc, tu peux acheter 19.9 avec un stoploss a 4.3117

Avec un position size USD de 77.8$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 19.9 x 0.4021 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 19.9 x 3.9096 = 77.8

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 77.8$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 19.9
  • Taille de position USD 77.8
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 77.8
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 9.723

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 77.78 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
10.28 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-1.53 $ -1.97
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.5759 % 44.49 % 4
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.9096 4.3117 3.7027
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.9096
  • Stop Loss: 4.3117
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.3117 - 3.9096 = 0.4021

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.9096 - = 3.9096

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.9096 / 0.4021 = 9.723

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -10.285% (0.4021)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.169% 0.0R -3.044% 0.3R 0.1× 12
2h +0.169% 0.0R -4.576% 0.4R 0.0× 24
3h ★ +0.169% 0.0R -4.576% 0.4R 0.0× 36
4h +0.169% 0.0R -4.576% 0.4R 0.0× 48
8h +2.530% 0.3R -5.663% 0.6R 0.5× 96
12h +2.530% 0.3R -5.663% 0.6R 0.5× 144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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