30 Sep 2026 at 08:15:09 hyperliquid

Short Trade on W (momentum_rotation_score)

With 11611.54 W at 0.0134$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0141 (5.15 %)

W SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 08:15 → 11:10 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.01341$

Qty 11611.5361 W

Size 155.7107$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 155.71$

SL 0.0141 (-5.15%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR

Status win PnL +0.67% / +1.05$ MAE -3.50% MFE +1.86% 0.4R expires 30 Sep 11:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 167234)
#81 / 81 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1059

Quality Score
0.360
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 08:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#81 / 81 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.15 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#81 / 81 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.15 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -1.05×ATR
4h clear 3.05×ATR
1d clear 4.43×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

30/09 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/09 06:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4457
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 -2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range compression 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 72.2%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : broad_risk_on
Leadership : alts
% Positive (universe)
15m 48.2%
1h 29.6%
4h 79.6%
24h 40.7%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 40.7% -0.01%
4h 66.7% +0.75%
24h 50.0% -0.86%
Dispersion : 0.127
Universe : 54 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 08:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7053
Score SMA
0.7799
Rank
#14 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8415
Rank Norm SMA
0.9109
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8212 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.31% · r3d: 3.98% · ema21_slope: 1.9318% · dist_ema21: 15.450%
Force Relative 25% 0.7328 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.50% · rs_3d: 4.92% · beta_24h: 1.508
Volume 20% 0.7919 rvol_20: 2.34× · zscore_50: 1.450 · trend: 242.35%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7826 ADX: 33.9 (trend) · Chop: 16.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.573% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.3598
Score SMA
0.5980
Rank
#81 / 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1059
Rank Norm SMA
0.6213
Calculé le
30/09/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3459 r1h: -0.664% · r4h: -0.517% · r1d: -6.78% · r3d: -9.17% · ema21_slope: -0.1534% · dist_ema21: -1.397%
Force Relative 25% 0.3009 rs_1h: -0.670% · rs_4h: -1.262% · rs_1d: -6.27% · rs_3d: -7.99% · beta_24h: 1.012
Volume 20% 0.2665 rvol_20: 1.04× · zscore_50: -0.308 · trend: -63.23%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.2133 ADX: 10.2 (weak) · Chop: 84.2 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.793% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.4176
Score SMA
0.6720
Rank
#65 / 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2541
Rank Norm SMA
0.7556
Calculé le
30/09/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5529 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.517% · r1d: -6.78% · r3d: -9.17% · ema21_slope: 0.0054% · dist_ema21: -1.753%
Force Relative 25% 0.4100 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.262% · rs_1d: -6.27% · rs_3d: -7.99% · beta_24h: 2.988
Volume 20% 0.1734 rvol_20: 0.18× · zscore_50: -0.488 · trend: -45.53%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5509 ADX: 32.9 (trend) · Chop: 65.8 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.3400 ATR%: 4.980% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.145% (0.0007)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.298% 0.1R -3.505% 0.7R 0.1× 12
2h +0.298% 0.1R -3.505% 0.7R 0.1× 24
3h ★ +1.864% 0.4R -3.505% 0.7R 0.5× 36
4h +2.312% 0.5R -3.505% 0.7R 0.7× 48
8h +3.356% 0.7R -3.505% 0.7R 1.0× 96
12h +3.356% 0.7R -3.505% 0.7R 1.0× 144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.6
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range strong balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
72%
noisy_chop 47% mid — — 0.59 bull_high +12.90% +0.98 28/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high
52%
noisy_chop 40% early — — 0.49 bull_high +1.26% +0.45 30/09 00:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 36% early near -1.0ATR — 0.31 range_medium +0.20% -0.36 30/09 06:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate balanced compression bear_medium
58%
noisy_chop 41% early near -0.9ATR — 0.46 range_low +0.50% -0.04 30/09 07:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177563
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
72%
mid 2b 1.4ATR noisy_chop 47% 0.679

—

—

2.34 above_value -0.38 ATR — #97265 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:24
4h
180861
↔ neutral bull_high
52%
early 5b -0.3ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.507

—

—

0.21 above_value -0.69 ATR — #98747 30/09 00:00
upd 30/09 04:15
1h anchor
182117
↓ down bear_high
56%
early 3b -0.6ATR noisy_chop 36% 0.407

near -1.0ATR

—

0.20 above_value -0.66 ATR — #99321 30/09 06:00
upd 30/09 07:10
15m
182447
↓ down bear_medium
58%
early 9b -0.8ATR noisy_chop 41% 0.442

near -0.9ATR

—

0.25 above_value -0.66 ATR — #99321 30/09 07:45
upd 30/09 08:02
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 2b — 2.264×ATR p0 +1.378×ATR p70
4h ↓ down early 5b — 1.986×ATR p0 -0.255×ATR p16
1h ↑ up early 3b — 0.885×ATR p2 -0.646×ATR p32
15m ↓ down early 9b — 3.222×ATR p32 -0.771×ATR p44

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.01409897
  2. atr: 0.00022966
  3. expires_at: 2026-09-30T15:15:09+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 79
  2. total: 82
  3. score: 0.345
  4. confidence: 0.963

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.01341 0.0141 0.01746
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.01341
  • Stop Loss: 0.0141
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0141 - 0.01341 = 0.00069

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.01341 - = 0.01341

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.01341 / 0.00069 = 19.4348

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
155.7107 100 11611.5361 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00069

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00069 = 11594.2

Taille de position USD = 11594.2 x 0.01341 = 155.48

Donc, tu peux acheter 11594.2 avec un stoploss a 0.0141

Avec un position size USD de 155.48$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 11594.2 x 0.00069 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 11594.2 x 0.01341 = 155.48

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 155.48$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 11594.2
  • Taille de position USD 155.48
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 155.48
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 19.4348

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 155.71 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.15 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
1.05 $ 0.67
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.5048 % 68.12 % 4
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.01341 0.0141 0.01746
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.01341
  • Stop Loss: 0.0141
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.0141 - 0.01341 = 0.00069

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.01341 - = 0.01341

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.01341 / 0.00069 = 19.4348

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.145% (0.0007)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.298% 0.1R -3.505% 0.7R 0.1× 12
2h +0.298% 0.1R -3.505% 0.7R 0.1× 24
3h ★ +1.864% 0.4R -3.505% 0.7R 0.5× 36
4h +2.312% 0.5R -3.505% 0.7R 0.7× 48
8h +3.356% 0.7R -3.505% 0.7R 1.0× 96
12h +3.356% 0.7R -3.505% 0.7R 1.0× 144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.