Long Trade on AR (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 60.98 AR at 4.392$ per unit. Take profit: 4.7204 (7.47 %) & Stop Loss: 4.2612 (2.99 %)
30 Sep 2026 at 09:14:47
hyperliquid
AR
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
30 Sep 2026 09:14
→ 10:35
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 4.3924$
Qty 60.9813 AR
Size 267.8541$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 4.7204 (+7.47%)
TP $ 20$
SL 4.2612 (-2.99%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-2.99%
/ -8$
MAE -8.38%
MFE +1.22%
0.4R
expires
30 Sep 21:14
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 167399)
#72 / 79
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 09:00
score du 30/09/2026 09:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1721
Quality Score
0.441
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 09:01
30/09 09:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#72 / 79
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#72 / 79
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.29×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.51×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.27×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 30/09 04:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 30/09 08:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4461
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | bull | exhaustion | 0.90 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
88.5%
Impulse :
+0.00
Participation :
broad_risk_on
Leadership :
alts
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 50.9% |
| 1h | 92.7% |
| 4h | 94.6% |
| 24h | 45.5% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 41.8% | +0.01% |
| 4h | 72.7% | +2.21% |
| 24h | 47.3% | -0.11% |
Dispersion :
0.198
Universe :
55
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
30/09 09:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5263
Score SMA
0.6488
Rank
#57
/ 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3171
Rank Norm SMA
0.6196
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6710 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.26% · r3d: -10.53% · ema21_slope: 3.7241% · dist_ema21: 9.345% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4903 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.46% · rs_3d: -9.59% · beta_24h: 2.344 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3267 | rvol_20: 0.46× · zscore_50: -0.105 · trend: 50.30% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9142 | ADX: 49.7 (trend) · Chop: 26.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.984% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/09/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.4412
Score SMA
0.5203
Rank
#72
/ 79
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1721
Rank Norm SMA
0.4010
Calculé le
30/09/2026 09:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5666 | r1h: 3.059% · r4h: 2.834% · r1d: 1.72% · r3d: -10.53% · ema21_slope: 0.0263% · dist_ema21: 2.358% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4763 | rs_1h: 1.409% · rs_4h: 0.137% · rs_1d: 0.59% · rs_3d: -11.11% · beta_24h: 1.658 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1902 | rvol_20: 0.66× · zscore_50: -0.532 · trend: -57.67% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4483 | ADX: 15.6 (weak) · Chop: 60.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.582% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.3360
Score SMA
0.4947
Rank
#79
/ 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0372
Rank Norm SMA
0.2654
Calculé le
30/09/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3904 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.408% · r1d: -2.50% · r3d: -11.34% · ema21_slope: -0.4403% · dist_ema21: -2.757% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3482 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.337% · rs_1d: -1.98% · rs_3d: -10.16% · beta_24h: 2.662 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1429 | rvol_20: 0.16× · zscore_50: -0.857 · trend: -64.17% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.2814 | ADX: 13.7 (weak) · Chop: 79.4 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6099 | ATR%: 4.170% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.987%
(0.1312)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.220% | 0.4R | -2.013% | 0.7R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.220% | 0.4R | -3.014% | 1.0R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.220% | 0.4R | -3.599% | 1.2R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.220% | 0.4R | -8.380% | 2.8R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.220% | 0.4R | -8.380% | 2.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.096% | 1.4R | -8.380% | 2.8R | 0.5× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.54
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | 0.55 | bull_high | +12.90% | +1.00 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near -2.3ATR | — | 0.32 | bull_high | +1.97% | -0.73 | 30/09 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | range_high |
39%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.16 | bull_medium_confirmed | +1.82% | +0.06 | 30/09 08:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.63 | bull_low_confirmed | +2.06% | +0.05 | 30/09 08:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
177575 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
early 9b 0.6ATR | noisy_chop 46% | 0.823 |
— — |
0.46 | below_value | -4.91 ATR | — | #97268 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:25
|
|
4h
182567 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
51%
|
mid 16b -0.8ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.631 |
near -2.3ATR — |
0.16 | below_value | -5.33 ATR | — | #99488 |
30/09 04:00
upd 30/09 08:15
|
|
1h
anchor
183009 |
↔ neutral | range_high |
39%
|
mid 5b 1.5ATR | noisy_chop 38% | 0.427 |
— near 0.3ATR |
0.66 | below_value | -2.97 ATR | — | #99732 |
30/09 08:00
upd 30/09 09:10
|
|
15m
182933 |
↑ up | bull_medium |
61%
|
late 5b 3.0ATR | noisy_chop 48% | 0.511 |
— near -0.6ATR |
0.04 | below_value | -5.33 ATR | — | #99488 |
30/09 08:45
upd 30/09 09:02
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 2.284×ATR | p0 | +0.581×ATR | p36 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 16b | — | 5.114×ATR | p73 | -0.798×ATR | p37 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 2.729×ATR | p56 | +1.506×ATR | p77 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 4.469×ATR | p92 | +3.03×ATR | p98 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.901
- reason: up_bo width=2.87×ATR dur=53b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 4.26121216
- tp_price: 4.72036961
- atr:
- score: 0.90097090134579
- expires_at: 2026-10-01T01:14:40.228204
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.90097090134579
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0207
- obi_top10 : 0.0753
- micro_price : 4.38531174
- spread_pct : 0.068446
- mid_price : 4.3845
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 4.39
- ask_wall_size : 12672.06
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0224
- obi_top5_std : 0.0394
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6903
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
4.36325
- balance_zone_bottom:
4.17245
- balance_zone_mid:
4.26785
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790586000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790773200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.8744
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
53
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.901
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790769600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
4.36325
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8868
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.4391
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
10
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
9
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.06637842 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
53
inside_close_ratio
0.8868
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.4391
Signaux confirmants (7)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:14 | 4.39240000 | 0% |
| 2 | 09:26 | 4.39240000 | 0% |
| 3 | 09:37 | 4.36900000 | -0.533% |
| 4 | 09:49 | 4.36900000 | -0.533% |
| 5 | 10:00 | 4.36900000 | -0.533% |
| 6 | 10:15 | 4.39390000 | +0.034% |
| 7 | 10:27 | 4.39390000 | +0.034% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6903ms
Confidence avant OB :
90%
→
90%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.021
avg 0.022
± 0.039
OBI Top 10
0.075
Microstructure
Mid Price
4.3845
Micro Price
4.3853
Spread
0.0684%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
4.3900
Size
12,672.06
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.3924 | 4.2612 | 4.7204 | 2.5 | 4.0965 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 4.3924
- Stop Loss: 4.2612
- Take Profit: 4.7204
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.2612 - 4.3924 = -0.1312
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4.3924 - 4.7204 = -0.328
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.328 / -0.1312 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 267.8541 | 100 | 60.9813 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.1312
Taille de position = 8 / -0.1312 = -60.98
Taille de position USD = -60.98 x 4.3924 = -267.85
Donc, tu peux acheter -60.98 avec un stoploss a 4.2612
Avec un position size USD de -267.85$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -60.98 x -0.1312 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -60.98 x -0.328 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -60.98
- Taille de position USD -267.85
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.47 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.99 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -2.99 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.0143 % | 100.91 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.3924 | 4.2612 | 4.7204 | 2.5 | 4.0965 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 4.3924
- Stop Loss: 4.2612
- Take Profit: 4.7204
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.2612 - 4.3924 = -0.1312
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4.3924 - 4.7204 = -0.328
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.328 / -0.1312 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.7204
[entry_price] => 4.3924
[stop_loss] => 4.24808
[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 15:25:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.7204
[entry_price] => 4.3924
[stop_loss] => 4.23496
[rr_ratio] => 2.08
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 15:25:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.7204
[entry_price] => 4.3924
[stop_loss] => 4.22184
[rr_ratio] => 1.92
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 17:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.7204
[entry_price] => 4.3924
[stop_loss] => 4.1956
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 17:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.987%
(0.1312)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.220% | 0.4R | -2.013% | 0.7R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.220% | 0.4R | -3.014% | 1.0R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.220% | 0.4R | -3.599% | 1.2R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.220% | 0.4R | -8.380% | 2.8R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.220% | 0.4R | -8.380% | 2.8R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.096% | 1.4R | -8.380% | 2.8R | 0.5× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.