Long Trade on BNB (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 0.63 BNB at 775.08$ per unit. Take profit: 806.89 (4.1 %) & Stop Loss: 762.356 (1.64 %)
30 Sep 2026 at 09:44:00
hyperliquid
BNB
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
30 Sep 2026 09:44
→ 21:40
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 775.08$
Qty 0.6287 BNB
Size 487.3177$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 806.89 (+4.1%)
TP $ 20$
SL 762.356 (-1.64%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-0.75%
/ -3.67$
MAE -1.55%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
expires
30 Sep 21:43
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 167365)
#26 / 79
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 09:00
score du 30/09/2026 09:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5945
Quality Score
0.639
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
6.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 09:30
30/09 09:30
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#26 / 79
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.64 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#26 / 79
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.64 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.32×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.95×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 6.97×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 30/09 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium_confirmed (+1) 30/09 08:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4463
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | bull | mature | 0.90 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
83.6%
Impulse :
+0.00
Participation :
broad_risk_on
Leadership :
alts
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 34.6% |
| 1h | 69.1% |
| 4h | 94.6% |
| 24h | 65.5% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 32.7% | -0.04% |
| 4h | 58.2% | +2.40% |
| 24h | 43.6% | +1.00% |
Dispersion :
0.175
Universe :
55
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
30/09 09:31
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5546
Score SMA
0.5755
Rank
#47
/ 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4390
Rank Norm SMA
0.3390
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6284 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.71% · r3d: -1.97% · ema21_slope: 0.4403% · dist_ema21: 0.601% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4877 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.91% · rs_3d: -1.03% · beta_24h: 0.605 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2133 | rvol_20: 0.67× · zscore_50: -0.571 · trend: -32.38% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7036 | ADX: 31.3 (trend) · Chop: 45.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9598 | ATR%: 3.121% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/09/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.6394
Score SMA
0.5132
Rank
#26
/ 79
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5945
Rank Norm SMA
0.4327
Calculé le
30/09/2026 09:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5951 | r1h: 0.848% · r4h: 2.223% · r1d: 1.45% · r3d: -0.47% · ema21_slope: 0.0445% · dist_ema21: 1.723% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4519 | rs_1h: -0.802% · rs_4h: -0.473% · rs_1d: 0.31% · rs_3d: -1.05% · beta_24h: 0.795 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7704 | rvol_20: 3.69× · zscore_50: 0.965 · trend: 29.57% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6256 | ADX: 16.2 (weak) · Chop: 39.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.626% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.4947
Score SMA
0.4937
Rank
#42
/ 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4475
Rank Norm SMA
0.2811
Calculé le
30/09/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5190 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.387% · r1d: 0.42% · r3d: -1.26% · ema21_slope: -0.0861% · dist_ema21: 0.647% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5271 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.642% · rs_1d: 0.94% · rs_3d: -0.07% · beta_24h: 1.044 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2319 | rvol_20: 0.75× · zscore_50: -0.361 · trend: -38.47% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4058 | ADX: 14.5 (weak) · Chop: 64.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.207% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.642%
(12.7240)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.555% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.555% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.555% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.555% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.555% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.597% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.82 | bull_high | +12.90% | -0.17 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.69 | bull_high | +1.97% | +0.04 | 30/09 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_medium_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.77 | bull_medium_confirmed | +1.82% | +0.04 | 30/09 08:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_low_confirmed |
37%
|
choppy 52% | late | — | — | 0.85 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.86% | -0.04 | 30/09 09:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
177425 |
↑ up | bull_high |
61%
|
early 19b 0.2ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.719 |
— — |
0.67 | below_value | -3.47 ATR | — | #97231 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:17
|
|
4h
182497 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
56%
|
early 4b 0.5ATR | noisy_chop 36% | 0.627 |
— — |
0.75 | value | -0.91 ATR | — | #99454 |
30/09 04:00
upd 30/09 08:12
|
|
1h
anchor
182974 |
↔ neutral | bull_medium_confirmed |
60%
|
late 5b 2.8ATR | noisy_chop 46% | 0.465 |
— near 0.3ATR |
3.69 | value | +0.51 ATR | — | #99698 |
30/09 08:00
upd 30/09 09:09
|
|
15m
183139 |
↑ up | bull_low_confirmed |
37%
|
late 1b 2.0ATR | choppy 52% | 0.553 |
— — |
0.92 | value | +0.51 ATR | — | #99698 |
30/09 09:15
upd 30/09 09:30
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 19b | — | 2.329×ATR | p0 | +0.185×ATR | p11 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 2.133×ATR | p3 | +0.491×ATR | p29 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 4.217×ATR | p90 | +2.779×ATR | p99 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 1.819×ATR | p14 | +2.015×ATR | p83 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8297
- reason: up_bo width=2.85×ATR dur=53b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 762.3559809
- tp_price: 806.89004775
- atr:
- score: 0.82965623948605
- expires_at: 2026-10-01T01:43:52.800502
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.82965623948605
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0086
- obi_top10 : -0.0276
- micro_price : 769.68277677
- spread_pct : 0.001299
- mid_price : 769.685
- bid_wall_price : 768
- bid_wall_size : 1853.64
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 772
- ask_wall_size : 2242.348
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0809
- obi_top5_std : 0.0691
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7099
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
769.82
- balance_zone_bottom:
755.87
- balance_zone_mid:
762.845
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790586000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790773200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.8526
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
53
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8297
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790762400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
769.82
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7925
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
3
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.0756
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
7
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
13
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 4.89019098 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
53
inside_close_ratio
0.7925
bars_since_breakout
3
distance_to_edge_atr
1.0756
Signaux confirmants (8)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:44 | 775.08000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 09:55 | 775.08000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 10:09 | 771.23000000 | -0.497% |
| 4 | 10:21 | 771.23000000 | -0.497% |
| 5 | 10:33 | 771.23000000 | -0.497% |
| 6 | 13:05 | 769.90000000 | -0.668% |
| 7 | 13:16 | 769.90000000 | -0.668% |
| 8 | 13:27 | 769.90000000 | -0.668% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7099ms
Confidence avant OB :
83%
→
83%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.009
avg 0.081
± 0.069
OBI Top 10
-0.028
Microstructure
Mid Price
769.6850
Micro Price
769.6828
Spread
0.0013%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
768.0000
Size
1,853.64
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
772.0000
Size
2,242.35
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 775.08 | 762.356 | 806.89 | 2.5 | 752.14 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 775.08
- Stop Loss: 762.356
- Take Profit: 806.89
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 762.356 - 775.08 = -12.724
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 775.08 - 806.89 = -31.81
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -31.81 / -12.724 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 487.3177 | 100 | 0.6287 | 5.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -12.724
Taille de position = 8 / -12.724 = -0.63
Taille de position USD = -0.63 x 775.08 = -488.3
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.63 avec un stoploss a 762.356
Avec un position size USD de -488.3$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.63 x -12.724 = 8.02
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.02$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.63 x -31.81 = 20.04
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.04$
Résumé
- Taille de position -0.63
- Taille de position USD -488.3
- Perte potentielle 8.02
- Gain potentiel 20.04
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.1 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.64 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.67 $ | -0.75 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5547 % | 94.71 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 775.08 | 762.356 | 806.89 | 2.5 | 752.14 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 775.08
- Stop Loss: 762.356
- Take Profit: 806.89
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 762.356 - 775.08 = -12.724
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 775.08 - 806.89 = -31.81
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -31.81 / -12.724 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.642%
(12.7240)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.555% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.555% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.555% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.555% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.555% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.597% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.