30 Sep 2026 at 10:15:07 hyperliquid

Long Trade on GRASS (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 114.13 GRASS at 0.735$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7536 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6652 (9.52 %)

GRASS LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 10:15 → 16:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.7352$

Qty 114.1262 GRASS

Size 83.9113$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.7536 (+2.5%)

TP $ 2.1$

SL 0.6652 (-9.52%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.26

Status loss PnL -4.83% / -4.05$ MAE -5.65% MFE +2.01% 0.2R expires 30 Sep 16:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 167484)
#12 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 10:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8079

Quality Score
0.631
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
27.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 10:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#12 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.52 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#12 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.52 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.86×ATR
4h clear —
1d near 0.00×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

30/09 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

30/09 09:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4465
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro bull expansion 0.90
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 73.9%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : mixed_dispersion
Leadership : mixed
% Positive (universe)
15m 45.5%
1h 34.6%
4h 83.6%
24h 52.7%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 56.4% -0.04%
4h 43.6% +1.79%
24h 36.4% +0.05%
Dispersion : 0.260
Universe : 55 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 10:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8737
Score SMA
0.7915
Rank
#2 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9878
Rank Norm SMA
0.8862
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 1.0000 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 27.83% · r3d: 28.16% · ema21_slope: 3.9891% · dist_ema21: 62.888%
Force Relative 25% 1.0000 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 27.64% · rs_3d: 29.10% · beta_24h: 1.353
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 6.39× · zscore_50: 5.798 · trend: 310.30%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8244 ADX: 38.9 (trend) · Chop: 2.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.475% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 10:00
Score brut
0.6311
Score SMA
0.6531
Rank
#12 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8079
Rank Norm SMA
0.7803
Calculé le
30/09/2026 10:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8298 r1h: 0.036% · r4h: 4.193% · r1d: 4.87% · r3d: 18.30% · ema21_slope: 0.1524% · dist_ema21: 3.323%
Force Relative 25% 0.7731 rs_1h: 0.778% · rs_4h: 2.948% · rs_1d: 4.35% · rs_3d: 18.74% · beta_24h: 1.690
Volume 20% 0.1976 rvol_20: 0.35× · zscore_50: -0.408 · trend: -31.45%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5962 ADX: 32.1 (trend) · Chop: 59.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.6755 ATR%: 3.974% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.6802
Score SMA
0.7147
Rank
#3 / 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9505
Rank Norm SMA
0.8554
Calculé le
30/09/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8314 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.352% · r1d: 3.81% · r3d: 15.92% · ema21_slope: 1.2991% · dist_ema21: 10.408%
Force Relative 25% 0.8375 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.608% · rs_1d: 4.32% · rs_3d: 17.10% · beta_24h: 1.900
Volume 20% 0.3967 rvol_20: 0.63× · zscore_50: 0.066 · trend: 79.25%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9470 ADX: 53.6 (trend) · Chop: 35.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.023% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -9.521% (0.0700)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -2.308% 0.2R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -3.630% 0.4R 0.0× 24
4h +2.013% 0.2R -3.906% 0.4R 0.5× 48
6h ★ +2.013% 0.2R -5.653% 0.6R 0.4× 72
8h +2.013% 0.2R -7.444% 0.8R 0.3× 96
12h +2.013% 0.2R -7.444% 0.8R 0.3× 144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.19
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
61%
choppy 48% late — near 0.0ATR 0.44 bull_high +12.90% +1.00 28/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 41% mid — — 0.20 bull_high +1.97% +0.98 30/09 04:00
1h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 36% early — near -0.9ATR 0.18 bull_medium_confirmed +1.04% +0.73 30/09 09:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bull_high
59%
noisy_chop 34% mid — near -1.4ATR 0.26 bull_medium_confirmed +1.17% +0.19 30/09 09:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177605
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
61%
late 1b 3.7ATR choppy 48% 0.703

—

near 0.0ATR

6.39 value +5.11 ATR inside #97275 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:26
4h
182591
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
62%
mid 3b 1.0ATR noisy_chop 41% 0.634

—

—

0.63 above_value -0.01 ATR — #99496 30/09 04:00
upd 30/09 08:17
1h anchor
183412
↔ neutral bull_high
61%
early 6b 0.9ATR noisy_chop 36% 0.558

—

near -0.9ATR

0.35 above_value +0.76 ATR — #99897 30/09 09:00
upd 30/09 10:11
15m
183337
↔ neutral bull_high
59%
mid 4b 1.2ATR noisy_chop 34% 0.657

—

near -1.4ATR

0.43 above_value +0.72 ATR — #99739 30/09 09:45
upd 30/09 10:03
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 1b — 3.15×ATR p16 +3.739×ATR p99
4h ↓ down mid 3b — 1.744×ATR p0 +0.983×ATR p62
1h ↑ up early 6b — 2.029×ATR p28 +0.903×ATR p50
15m ↓ down mid 4b — 1.05×ATR p4 +1.167×ATR p72

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.66515214
  2. tp_price: 0.75363125
  3. atr: 0.02803914
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-30T20:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 3
  2. total: 81
  3. score: 0.8244
  4. delta_2h: 0.0534
  5. extension_atr: 0.5
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.821
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.7352 0.6652 0.7536 0.26 0.7668
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.7352
  • Stop Loss: 0.6652
  • Take Profit: 0.7536

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.6652 - 0.7352 = -0.07

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.7352 - 0.7536 = -0.0184

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0184 / -0.07 = 0.2629

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
83.9113 83.9113 114.1262 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.07

Taille de position = 8 / -0.07 = -114.29

Taille de position USD = -114.29 x 0.7352 = -84.03

Donc, tu peux acheter -114.29 avec un stoploss a 0.6652

Avec un position size USD de -84.03$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -114.29 x -0.07 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -114.29 x -0.0184 = 2.1

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.1$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -114.29
  • Taille de position USD -84.03
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.1
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2629

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 2.1 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
9.52 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-4.05 $ -4.83
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-5.6529 % 59.37 % 5
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.7352 0.6652 0.7536 0.26 0.7668
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.7352
  • Stop Loss: 0.6652
  • Take Profit: 0.7536

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.6652 - 0.7352 = -0.07

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.7352 - 0.7536 = -0.0184

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0184 / -0.07 = 0.2629

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -9.521% (0.0700)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -2.308% 0.2R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -3.630% 0.4R 0.0× 24
4h +2.013% 0.2R -3.906% 0.4R 0.5× 48
6h ★ +2.013% 0.2R -5.653% 0.6R 0.4× 72
8h +2.013% 0.2R -7.444% 0.8R 0.3× 96
12h +2.013% 0.2R -7.444% 0.8R 0.3× 144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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