Long Trade on DOT (CatchTheWave)
With 692.54 DOT at 1.225$ per unit. Take profit: 1.2477 (1.89 %) & Stop Loss: 1.213 (0.95 %)
Long Trade on DOT (CatchTheWave)
With 692.54 DOT at 1.225$ per unit. Take profit: 1.2477 (1.89 %) & Stop Loss: 1.213 (0.95 %)
Position
Entry 1.2246$
Qty 692.5364 DOT
Size 848.08$ (margin 100$) (leverage 8)
Risk Setup
TP 1.2477 (+1.89%)
TP $ 16$
SL 1.213 (-0.95%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 1.99
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7035
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.90×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.22×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.61×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.687002 15m : 0.622714 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 30/09 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/09 09:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | bull | expansion | 0.90 |
| 15m | 35.7% |
| 1h | 57.1% |
| 4h | 73.2% |
| 24h | 50.0% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 35.7% | -0.31% |
| 4h | 51.8% | +1.01% |
| 24h | 37.5% | -0.00% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7681 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.89% · r3d: -4.04% · ema21_slope: 1.1409% · dist_ema21: 6.075% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6131 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.69% · rs_3d: -3.10% · beta_24h: 0.981 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3304 | rvol_20: 0.80× · zscore_50: -0.206 · trend: 22.28% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7548 | ADX: 34.3 (trend) · Chop: 42.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.416% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5692 | r1h: -0.728% · r4h: -0.145% · r1d: 2.59% · r3d: 0.19% · ema21_slope: 0.1493% · dist_ema21: 2.170% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5028 | rs_1h: 0.014% · rs_4h: -1.390% · rs_1d: 2.07% · rs_3d: 0.64% · beta_24h: 1.278 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6653 | rvol_20: 2.90× · zscore_50: 0.312 · trend: -4.60% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6267 | ADX: 26.2 (trend) · Chop: 49.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.711% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5910 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.238% · r1d: 0.39% · r3d: -1.38% · ema21_slope: -0.1029% · dist_ema21: 2.131% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5933 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.493% · rs_1d: 0.91% · rs_3d: -0.20% · beta_24h: 2.516 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1422 | rvol_20: 0.30× · zscore_50: -0.866 · trend: -52.63% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4298 | ADX: 15.7 (weak) · Chop: 63.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8591 | ATR%: 3.423% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.310% | 0.3R | -0.996% | 1.1R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.903% | 2.0R | -1.192% | 1.3R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.776% | 2.9R | -1.192% | 1.3R | 2.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.776% | 2.9R | -1.192% | 1.3R | 2.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.776% | 2.9R | -1.192% | 1.3R | 2.3× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.62 | bull_high | +12.90% | -0.05 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.41 | bull_high | +1.97% | +0.00 | 30/09 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.46 | bull_medium_confirmed | +1.04% | +0.42 | 30/09 09:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.65 | bull_medium | +0.80% | -0.11 | 30/09 10:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
177510 |
↑ up | bull_high |
62%
|
early 14b 0.7ATR | noisy_chop 41% | 0.723 |
— — |
0.80 | value | -2.10 ATR | — | #97252 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:21
|
|
4h
182535 |
↑ up | bull_high |
63%
|
early 8b 0.6ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.699 |
— near -0.2ATR |
0.30 | above_value | -0.34 ATR | — | #99473 |
30/09 04:00
upd 30/09 08:14
|
|
1h
anchor
183391 |
↑ up | bull_high |
67%
|
mid 2b 1.3ATR | noisy_chop 43% | 0.560 |
— — |
2.90 | above_value | +0.28 ATR | — | #99876 |
30/09 09:00
upd 30/09 10:10
|
|
15m
183471 |
↑ up | bull_high |
62%
|
early 2b 0.6ATR | noisy_chop 40% | 0.619 |
— — |
1.76 | above_value | +0.28 ATR | — | #99876 |
30/09 10:00
upd 30/09 10:16
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 14b | — | 2.925×ATR | p21 | +0.707×ATR | p37 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 2.085×ATR | p4 | +0.582×ATR | p30 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 1.125×ATR | p2 | +1.281×ATR | p74 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.985×ATR | p15 | +0.617×ATR | p38 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
83965.8
-0.00130775
83856
0.687002
83741.8
0.00437251
84108
0.622714
83780.8
0.00860699
84502
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0.2614
0.6416
0.6312
0.1367
0.0678
1
1.3515
1.8577
0.5
0.5
1
5
1
0.587
0.6048
2.9952
0.65
0.525
1.5725
1.8577
0.4826
0.2845
0.26
-0.1419
0.4099
0.5778
0.7644
0.6312
-3.0399
5.202
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 07:35:00 | 1.2101 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 08:10:00 | 1.1975 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 09:35:00 | 1.2502 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 10:15:00 | 1.2271 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 10:40:00 | 1.2361 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 11:20:00 | 1.2176 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 12:20:00 | 1.2235 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 13:30:00 | 1.2619 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 13:40:00 | 1.2304 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 14:20:00 | 1.2176 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 23:30:00 | 1.1856 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 01:15:00 | 1.2195 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 02:15:00 | 1.1988 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 02:45:00 | 1.2175 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 04:15:00 | 1.2196 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 07:00:00 | 1.1881 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 09:30:00 | 1.2502 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 11:15:00 | 1.2176 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 13:30:00 | 1.2619 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 14:15:00 | 1.2287 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 07:00:00 | 1.2776 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 15:00:00 | 1.2189 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 00:00:00 | 1.2812 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 15:00:00 | 1.1507 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 18:00:00 | 1.2038 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 02:00:00 | 1.1411 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 11:00:00 | 1.238 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 17:00:00 | 1.1585 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 07:00:00 | 1.1881 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 13:00:00 | 1.2619 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2246 | 1.213 | 1.2477 | 1.99 | 1.183 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.213 - 1.2246 = -0.0116
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.2246 - 1.2477 = -0.0231
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0231 / -0.0116 = 1.9914
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 848.08 | 100 | 692.5364 | 8.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0116 = -689.66
Taille de position USD = -689.66 x 1.2246 = -844.56
Donc, tu peux acheter -689.66 avec un stoploss a 1.213
Avec un position size USD de -844.56$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -689.66 x -0.0116 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -689.66 x -0.0231 = 15.93
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.93$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.89 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.95 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.03 $ | -0.95 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9962 % | 105.17 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2246 | 1.213 | 1.2477 | 1.99 | 1.183 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.213 - 1.2246 = -0.0116
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.2246 - 1.2477 = -0.0231
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0231 / -0.0116 = 1.9914
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.310% | 0.3R | -0.996% | 1.1R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.903% | 2.0R | -1.192% | 1.3R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.776% | 2.9R | -1.192% | 1.3R | 2.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.776% | 2.9R | -1.192% | 1.3R | 2.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.776% | 2.9R | -1.192% | 1.3R | 2.3× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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